Here’s Why THE POLLS ARE WRONG – Trump Will WIN IN A LANDSLIDE!

AMERICAN LOOKOUT

Realclearpolitics.com has the following electoral map right now. They did an average of all the leading polls to get this map.

Electoral vote totals in the “safe states” (red or blue) are:

Trump (red): 164

Hillary (blue): 203

real-clear-politics-245-7-nov

In the remaining gray states, what’s going on?

The pollsters say those states are a toss-up. But they’re wrong.

Here’s why:

  1. Pollsters are wrong on the percentage of white voters relative to other voting groups.
  2. Pollsters are ignoring the increased Republican turnout this year.
  3. Pollsters are underestimating the numbers of Democrats voting for Trump – the “Trumpocrats.”

Statespoll.com has gone state-by-state and adjusted the polls for these factors. Each day, they publish realistic numbers for key states.

Here are the latest results for key states (click on the adjusted numbers to see the analysis for each state):

North Carolina: Trump +9.1%
Remington, 11/1-11/2, 2596 Likely Voters
TRUMP 48% | Hillar 45% | Johnson 3%
Adjusted: TRUMP 50.9% | Hillary 41.8% | Johnson 3.3%

Florida: Trump +6.7%
YouGov 11/2-11/4, 1188 Registered Voters
TRUMP 45% | Hillary 45% | Johnson 4% | Stein 2%
Adjusted: TRUMP 48.1% | Hillary 41.4% | Johnson 4.5% | Stein 2.8%

Colorado: Trump +5.9%
Gravis, 11/1-11/2, 1125 RV
Hillary 40% | TRUMP 40% | Johnson 7% | Stein 4%
Adjusted: TRUMP 42.9% | Hillary 37%

Pennsylvania: Trump +3.3%
Remington 11/1-11/2, 2683 Likely Voters
Hillary 46% | TRUMP 45% | Johnson 4%
Adjusted: TRUMP 46.6% | Hillary 43.6% | Johnson 4.4%
Note from Statespoll.com: Remington didn’t include stein, with Stein perhaps hillary’s numbers could be minus 1~2%.

New Hampshire: Trump +2.9%
Emerson. 11/4-11/5. 1000 Likely Voters
Hillary 45.4% | TRUMP 43.8% | Johnson 4.5% | Stein 3.3%
Adjusted: TRUMP 46.3% | Hillary 43.4%

Nevada: Trump +.45%
Emerson 11/4-11/5, 600 Likely Voters
Hillary 46.8% | TRUMP 45.8% | Johnson 3.9% | Stein 1.1%
Adjusted: TRUMP 46.5% | Hillary 46.05%

With those six states in the Trump column plus Ohio and Georgia (Trump +5.2%) and several others, here’s what Statespoll.com believes the election will look like:

statespoll-prediction

Bottom line: When you adjust the polls for real voters in 2016, you get very different results.

You get:

Trump: 315 electoral votes

Hillary: 200

Toss up: 23 

That’s what real polling numbers show.

They’re showing a Trump landslide!

November 8, 2016 | 57 Comments »

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7 Comments / 57 Comments

  1. Austin Said:

    not a spot of Jewishness about him at all….except maybe for his circumcision, …. I’m purely speculating.

    I wager there is no circumcision and that if he was jewish by background his family probably converted generations ago. Apparently many wealthy Germans over the prior couple of hundred year had converted but still married each other… Jews converted to christianity marrying other Jewish converts. I knew such a family. For all we know, the Jewish histories of these folks could be invented by the CIA when they brought over all the nazis. That is a cover that has been used… it avoids many questions.

  2. Austin Said:

    the empty headed bust-enhanced Hollywood drek that said they would move

    that would be a blessing, I rarely watch any movie or tv show originating in hollywood.. I find the product mediocre, comercialized, predictable and highly overated. I dont watch TV anymore… for movies and TV shows I tend to watch netflix foreign productions. These celebrities get rich on the most shoddy of endeavors and then we are all subject to their whining as if their commercial success endowed them with a brain. A Hollywood shutdown and all of these 2nd rate undeserving parasites moving out would be like manna from heaven for me…. no more hearing them, seeing them, news stories about their inane exploits… a blessing.

    the same is true for the news media.. I get my news reading on the internet. In fact I had a great election experience with no announcers and analysts giving me their ludicrous and childish opinions. I took the links from drudge which lead me to NYT website and I think an nbc or cnbc website where I could read just the numbers and watch the computer models do the forecasting as the votes came in. I found the nyt site forecasting models good, in fact they had pennsylvania for trump early on while he was behind and on the wire the whole night. It was wonderful NOT to hear any talking heads. I did not realize how great is was until I went to a live feed of trump victory speech and it was then all these voices started pouring into my head and reminded me of how incredibly stupid they are with their childish speculations. it was the most peaceful and rewarding election nights I ve had. There is just so much irrelevant and meaningless chatter coming from videos and live feeds these days… as if these babes who were born yesterday actually know whats happening.

  3. @ bernard ross:
    Kissinger has a heavy, authentic GERMAN accent, not a spot of Jewishness about him at all….except maybe for his circumcision, and that’s no proof nowadays. Besides I haven’t seen any eye-witness accounts of a person who happened to be in the toilet at the same time, so I’m purely speculating.

  4. @ babushka:

    As for me Bushy-Wushy I don’t know what you are, male of female…..but there’s a third “gender” ….androgyny….that sounds more like it….something like the Minotaur… with a substitution of a tiger’s head for a good old bull. You probably didn’t want to waste the impact of a bull, because you needed it to shoot all the crap you’ve been deluging these pages with for the past couple of months….. Tut….and I say again…tut…even tut-tut…

  5. @ bernard ross:
    heard from a relainle source that the horse is “still running”, and isn’t expected to finish the course but fade at the stretch, probably stop precipitously.

    Just have rachmonas on the poor Democratic hierarchy, who are buying up all the tums, ani-acids, headache tabs Tylenol and other palliative medications, giving New York’s economy a much needed boost.

    Keep a good watch out for all the empty headed bust-enhanced Hollywood drek that said they would move to Canada (and make sure the door hits them on the backside on their way out…) if they can recover their strength and maybe know where Canada is…. Actually, they’d be better off in Canada, which presently is headed by a similarly empty-headed half-cretin named Trudeau, a creature of the Liberal Party Gurus who used his name to do their backroom deals and emerged with the win. Trudea himself, hardly knows what’s going on around him…. Just the company for Hollywood drek.