High States Poker

By Ted Belman

The next session of the United Nations opens in a week. Everyone is scurrying around trying to negotiate a deal that avoids the recognition of a Palestinian state. In the meantime Abbas is threatening to go to the Security Council hoping to put pressure on the US who doesn’t want to have to veto the resolution.

Netanyahu has offered to accept a GA resolution that offers the PA an upgrade but short of state recognition. His main concern is if the PA is recognized as a state, it will have the right to charge Israel with war crimes in the ICC. Evidently they will claim that the building of settlements are a war crime.

Apparently Abbas doesn’t actually want to go through with it because he fears that US and EU funds will be withheld thereby putting the PA into bankruptcy. He desperately wants a lifeline so he can abandon ship. Some face saving concession. If he were to simply drop it, the sharks that surround him in Fatah would devour him.

Analysis: The cost of jumping off the ship
By KHALED ABU TOAMEH

    The main concern is that the PA would go bankrupt without US and EU funding, leaving more than 150,000 civil servants without salaries. Other Palestinians are also worried about the possibility of a third intifada erupting in the Palestinian territories as tensions mount between Israel and the PA over the statehood bid.

PA foreign minister: Abbas awaiting ‘credible offer’

    a full cessation of settlement construction and Israeli recognition of the June 4, 1967, lines as the basis for peace talks aimed at achieving a two-state solution.
September 16, 2011 | 4 Comments »

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4 Comments / 4 Comments

  1. IsYou are right Jerry. That is Obama’s ultimate fear and that is the ONLY reason that he will veto the “Palestinian” proposal to the U.N. — certainly not out of any love of the Jews and Israel. Ultimately over the next few years your proposal will occur. The forces of the right in Israel yearly grow stronger while those on the left grow weaker and weaker, both demographically and socially. What we are seeing right now, both in the U.S. and Europe is, in truth, merely a “last gasp” on the part of the left. The swing to the right is irreversible as more and more reaction to the Islamic efforts to take over our culture intensifies. This conflict between Islam and the West CANNOT be halted. The momentum is too great and there is a war in our future. God willing this war will be fought in the streets within each separate nation as they deal with their muslim populations.

  2. Why not allow the Palestinians to have their state? Then we can finally discards decades of absolute nonsense if not insanity; i,e.The Oslo Agreement, the Roadmap , two states living side by side in peace, blah, blah blah. The fact is the Arabs wish nothing less than the destruction of Israel. Let the Israel government face that reality, annex Judea and Samaria and if need be go to war to put an end to the Arab dream of driving Israel into the sea. In that case it would as Obama said, ” it’s simple, we won and you lost”.

  3. All this speculation and analysis, from thousands of media outlets, blogs, etc. is quite enervating. We’ll know in a few days; can we give it a rest until then? It’s too late for any public action to change things; it’s now up to the diplomats to sort this out.

    Naturally, any actual developments remain newsworthy.

  4. I got a sneak preview photo of Netanyahu pleading Israel’s cause before the UN.

    Please tell me, if anyone recognizes the real identity of the speaker, and the occasion. A hint: It was a leader whose country was being attacked by Fascist Italy. He appealed to the League of Nations (the forerunner of the UN) for help, and got none.

    Not long afterward, the world was engulfed in war; and that leader’s country was on the front lines. The greatest similarity is in the result: like the other man, Bibi will get no help. Perhaps the British will offer Netanyahu a house in London as a “government in exile” for an Israel that the Brits and others have thrown to the crocodiles.