The Fall of Kirkuk: Made in Iran  

By Jonathan Spyer, MEFORUM

Iraqi forces took Kirkuk city from the Kurds this week with hardly a shot fired. Twenty-two Kurdish fighters were killed in the sporadic and disorganized resistance, while seven Iraqi soldiers also lost their lives. It is a remarkable setback for the Kurds, who just a few weeks ago held an independence referendum. The loss of Kirkuk especially, given the city’s vast oil resources, lessens the likelihood that an independent state will emerge from the Kurdish Regional Government area in northern Iraq.
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October 20, 2017 | 7:33 am | Comments »

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Israel finishes advancing 2,600 West Bank homes as settlers push for more  

Second day of meetings sees 1,323 units across West Bank okayed, including for evacuees of Migron and Amona outposts; settlers protest outside PM’s residence

By JACOB MAGID, TOI

Defense Ministry dismantling Amona outpost in the central West Bank on February 6, 2017. 

AMICHAI, West Bank — The Defense Ministry body responsible for authorizing settlement construction advanced plans for some 1,300 West Bank homes Wednesday, capping off a week which saw the green-lighting of over 2,600 homes.

Included in the plans that gained final authorization for building by the Civil Administration’s High Planning Subcommittee were projects for the evacuees of the illegal Migron (86 units) and Amona (102 units) outposts.

The two communities were demolished in September 2012 and February 2017, respectively, after the High Court of Justice ruled they had been built on private Palestinian land.
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October 19, 2017 | 4:39 pm | 7 Comments »

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China’s debt woes need more of the spotlight  

President Xi Jinping’s talk of giving market forces a “decisive role” is belied by his war on the internet and mainland gateways to information flows.

ASIA TIMES

Déjà vu was in the air in Washington last weekend as the keepers of the global economy convened for the annual International Monetary Fund confab.

Twenty years ago, at the same event, officials obsessed over Japan’s corporate debt bubble. It was seen as a clear and present danger to the banking system of what was then Asia’s biggest economy – and global stability. Officials urged Tokyo to get its house in order for everyone’s sake.

China now finds itself in a similarly uncomfortable spotlight.
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October 19, 2017 | 3:17 pm | 1 Comment »

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The S-400 Deal: Russia Drives another Wedge between Turkey and its NATO Allies  

Gallia Lindenstrauss, Zvi Magen
INSS Insight No. 982, October 18, 2017

The recent statement by Turkish President Erdogan that Ankara had made an advance payment to Russia for the purchase of two S-400 air defense batteries, combined with Russia’s confirmation of this report, constitutes a significant development that adds to the question marks about Turkey’s future in NATO. This development also strengthens Russia’s standing in the Middle East, because it is another expression of the rapprochement between Moscow and Ankara. However, the Turkish-Russian rapprochement does not by itself reduce the leverage available to the West in its relations with Turkey, above all the defense relations in the context of NATO and the extensive trade between Turkey and the European Union. While many believe that Turkey will remain a NATO member for the foreseeable future, they note at the same time that Turkey is a problematic member of the alliance that is already suffering from quite a few internal tensions.

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October 19, 2017 | 2:47 pm | 1 Comment »

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King Salman’s Visit to Moscow: Affirmation of Russian Influence in the Middle East  

Zvi Magen, Yoel Guzansky INSS Insight No. 983, October 18, 2017

The recent visit by Saudi King Salman bin Abdulaziz to Russia was described by Saudi Arabia as historic; Moscow likewise attributed much significance to the visit, because it regards Saudi Arabia as a key Middle East state, and because it saw in it Riyadh’s recognition of Russia’s influence in the region. Despite their differences on Syria and other issues, Riyadh and Moscow have a string of common interests, headed by the goal of stabilizing oil prices. Furthermore, Moscow realizes that not only will it be difficult to enhance its influence in the Middle East without improving its relations with Riyadh, but that Riyadh still has considerable influence on the forces opposing Assad, and therefore on the chances of a settlement in Syria, as well as influence on Islamic forces in Russia itself. As for Israel, Russia is keeping close track of the discourse about an Israeli-Saudi rapprochement as part of the formation of an anti-Iran regional front.

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October 19, 2017 | 2:41 pm | Comments »

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US envoy: Hamas must disarm under Palestinian unity deal  

In first official remark on last week’s reconciliation agreement between rival Palestinian factions Fatah and Hamas, U.S. envoy Jason Greenblatt says that if Hamas wants to play a role in the Palestinian government, it must heed U.S., Israeli demands.

ISRAEL HAYOM

U.S. special envoy to the Middle East Jason Greenblatt and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, in Jerusalem | Photo: GPO

A week after rival Palestinian factions Hamas and Fatah signed a reconciliation agreement, U.S. President Donald Trump’s special envoy to the Middle East said Thursday that if Hamas wants to play a role in any Palestinian government, it must renounce violence and commit to peaceful negotiations with Israel.

Jason Greenblatt’s statement Thursday was the first American comment on the advancing Palestinian reconciliation efforts and echoed Israeli demands.
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October 19, 2017 | 2:32 pm | Comments »

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8 European countries demand Israel pay for West Bank structures it destroyed  

EU, Israeli diplomats at odds over mobile classrooms and solar panels, with Jerusalem insisting they amount to an effort to strengthen Palestinian claims

TOI

Eight European Union member states are demanding that Israel pay them back for the demolition and confiscation of buildings and other installations constructed for the benefit of Bedouin encampments in Area C of the West Bank by the EU’s mission in Israel.

A letter from the EU member states, led by Belgium, setting out the demand will be handed to the Israeli Foreign Ministry in the coming days, according to the Haaretz newspaper, citing an initial report in France’s Le Monde daily.

In August, Israel dismantled a structure in West Bank Bedouin Arab village of Jabal al-Baba adjacent to al-Azariya, that was slated to open as a kindergarten for 25 children and a structure being used to house a small primary school in the southern West Bank. In addition, it confiscated solar panels on another structure being used as a school in the southern West Bank.
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October 19, 2017 | 11:56 am | 3 Comments »

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SHOCK IN KURDISTAN REGION OF IRAQ AS KIRKUK FALLS TO IRAQI FORCES  

As US expresses concern, Iraqi forces launch major attack alongside Iranian-backed militias to take city run by Kurdistan Regional Government.

BY SETH J. FRANTZMAN, JPOST
Just after two o’clock in the morning in Baghdad the prime minister of Iraq ordered the Iraqi security forces to “secure bases and federal institutions in Kirkuk province.”

Overnight, confusion along the front line between the Iraqis and Peshmerga of the Kurdistan Regional Government led to clashes which destroyed several vehicles and a chaotic situation. By morning groups of Kurdish forces had abandoned their posts, some due to a prior local agreement. In the afternoon scenes of defeat were everywhere, with black Humvees of the Iraqi counterterrorism forces surrounding a famous statue to Peshmerga at the entrance to the city and thousands of Kurds fleeing in their cars towards Erbil and Sulaymaniyah.
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October 19, 2017 | 11:30 am | Comments »

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A review Jordan Option Conference  

By Raphi Dobrin

Over the years I have gone to numerous talks and conferences on the Israel-Arab confrontation. Most have been interesting. There’s always something new that I learn at these events. But the conference on “The Jordan Option – the Ultimate solution” that I attended on Tuesday, 17th November at Jerusalem’s Begin Center, was different from any event I have ever attended. It went beyond mere words and actually offered hope for a brighter future for this region.

The conference was an all-day affair that featured over a dozen speakers who covered all the aspects connected with the issue of how through a drastic change in Jordanian leadership, a major breakthrough can be made in resolving regional conflict.
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October 18, 2017 | 6:01 pm | 1 Comment »

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The ‘Jordan option’ and the failure of the Israeli right  

By Hassan A. Barari, JORDAN TIMES

Implicit in the call for the implementation of the “Jordan option” is the failure of Israel’s leaders to transcend domestic constraints and overcome internal impediments to peace.

The seeming collapse of the peace process has led many analysts to ponder what role Jordan can play in the West Bank.

Should Amman intervene, and if so, under what conditions?

Such questions tend to tie Jordan’s moves in the region to the changing dynamics of the Palestinian political arena.
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October 18, 2017 | 5:36 pm | 4 Comments »

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A foundation for real peace. Really  

By Drora Clement, POLITY HEBREW SITE.


Today, a special conference is being held at the Begin Center to discus the “Jordanian option” for a political solution. On the chapter “What is!” When it is clear to every rational person that the Palestinian Authority and Hamas are “what’s not!” We prefer to ignore the fact that it is the body that determined it decisively, and it is clear that all the lands west of the Jordan River will be allocated to the use of the Jewish home as a member of the Commonwealth. However, in 1946, It is important to repeat the truth: There was never, in 1948, a sovereign Arab state in all the lands west of the Jordan River.
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October 18, 2017 | 5:18 pm | 2 Comments »

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OUR WORLD: The opportunities and risks of Trump’s Iran initiative  

By placing the nuclear deal in the context of Iran’s hostility and aggression, Trump made it self-evident that no US interest is served in continuing to give Iran a free pass.

BY CAROLINE B. GLICK, JPOST

On Friday, US President Donald Trump initiated an important change in US policy toward Iran.

No, in his speech decertifying Iran’s compliance with the nuclear accord it struck with his predecessor Barack Obama, Trump didn’t announce a new strategy for preventing Iran from acquiring nuclear weapons, or stemming its hegemonic rise in the Middle East, or limiting its ability to sponsor terrorism.

Trump’s move was not operational. It was directional.

In his address Friday, Trump changed the policy dynamics that dictate US policy on Iran. For the first time since 2009, when Obama backed the murderous regime in Tehran, spurning the millions of Iranians who rose up in the Green Revolution, Trump opened up the possibility that the US may begin to base its policies toward Iran on reality.
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October 18, 2017 | 2:33 pm | Comments »

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The “Jordon is Palestine” conference – A review by a born skeptic  

By Mordechai Ben-Menachem

This short article is to ‘report’ on this conference, which I attended,  from the stand-point of an objective observer, who arrived at the conference highly skeptical, I am still to be convinced as to the idea’s practical implementation, but found the conference well-organised and the basic idea quite sound – though somewhat thin on practicality. [Like Trump we keep our plans close to our vest.]

Basically, the conference was quite good.  As one could expect from Ted, it was reasonably well-organised.  Most speakers knew well what they were talking about and expressed themselves well.
So much for the conference technical aspects!

The conference had two types of speakers, those who spoke about the concept of “Jordon is Palestine” and those who spoke about the present government of Jordon.  The majority were of the former type (and that was well thought of).
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October 18, 2017 | 10:44 am | 2 Comments »

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The conference was A HUGE SUCCESS  

By Ted Belman

The long awaited conference on The Jordan Option came and went, not without its drama.

First the event itself and then the drama.

About 200 people showed up for this historical event including many bloggers and i24 News.  We could have and should have had more main stream press.  Of particular note was that Amira Haas of Haaretz registered for the Conference.

The speakers performed brilliantly in so far as what they had to say and how they said it. Its all on video tape. I am working feverishly to get it loaded.  It will be available to anyone who donates $18.00 to Israpundit.
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October 18, 2017 | 4:14 am | 12 Comments »

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Iraqi forces launch ‘major’ Kirkuk operation  

ALJAZEERA

Iraqi security forces have launched a “major operation” in the Kurdish-held region of Kirkuk, advancing towards oil fields and a strategic military base, according to Kurdish and Iraqi officials.

The objective of the push early on Monday is to take control of the K1 airbase, west of Kirkuk, Lieutenant Colonel Salah el-Kinani, of the Iraqi army’s 9th armoured division, told Reuters news agency.

Iraqi forces rolled into parts of the countryside outside Kirkuk city and took control of “vast areas” without facing resistance from Kurdish Peshmerga fighters, Iraq’s state TV said.
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October 16, 2017 | 6:55 am | 2 Comments »

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Paradigm shift on a two-state solution  

Op-ed: Promoting Jordan as the Arab Palestinian state is consistent with international law and would resolve the problem of national self-determination both for Arabs living in Judea and Samaria and for those in Israel.

By Moshe Dann, YNET

The problem with “the two-state solution” —creating a sovereign independent Palestinian state west of the Jordan River—is that a Palestinian state already exists east of the Jordan River; it’s called Jordan. Its population is predominantly “Palestinian” and it is located in the eastern part of what was once called “Palestine.” Demographically and geographically, therefore,

Jordan is a Palestinian state.

The Oslo Accords, however, removed the “Jordanian option” from the range of possible alternatives. Instead, Yasser Arafat, the PLO and the Palestinian Authority (PA) were installed as the rulers of what was intended to be another Palestinian state west of the Jordan River. The “peace plan” failed not only because of Palestinian terrorism, but also because of the opposition to Israel’s existence. Moreover, the PA—which includes Hamas and other Arab terrorist organizations—and the PLO never intended it to work. Their goal is to destroy Israel.
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October 15, 2017 | 10:27 pm | 1 Comment »

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Saudi view of Trump’s new Iran approach “identical’ to Israel’s  

King Salman praised Trump in a phone call for his “firm strategy” against Iran.

By Ben Lynfield, JPOST

Saudi Arabia’s reaction to US President Donald Trump’s more confrontational posture toward Tehran was strikingly similar to Israel’s, highlighting the two countries’ common desire for a more determined American effort to counter Iranian influence in the region.

On Saturday, King Salman praised Trump in a phone call for his “firm strategy” against “Iranian aggression and its support for terrorism in the region,” the Saudi Press Agency reported.

“The king praised the Trump administration, which recognizes the magnitude of these challenges and threats and the need for concerted efforts on terrorism and extremism and its primary sponsor, Iran,” the Agency added.
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October 15, 2017 | 7:01 pm | 4 Comments »

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Why I agreed to speak at the Jordan Option Conference  

By Rachel Avraham

A few months ago, Palestinian Jordanian dissident Mudar Zahran invited me to speak at the Jordan Option Conference in Jerusalem.  He asked me to take part in this conference at a time when King Abdullah of Jordan was increasingly inciting violence against Israel, thus greatly contributing towards tension in the Middle East. This incitement led by the Islamic Movement, Hamas, Fatah and Jordan’s king created an atmosphere in Israel where two Druze police officers and an Israeli family sitting at the Sabbath dinner table in Halamish were murdered.  Around the same period of time, an Israeli was stabbed in a supermarket in Yavne, a female terrorist attempted to stab a Haredi man in Jerusalem while actually stabbing an Israeli Arab who was wearing a tee-shirt with Hebrew letters on it and another Israeli was stabbed in Petach Tikva, which is not too far away from the city of Netanya, where I live.
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October 15, 2017 | 6:00 pm | 8 Comments »

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Iran-backed Iraqi ultimatum to Kurds to leave Kirkuk. First test for Trump’s threat to Rev Guards  

DEBKA

Iraqi Prime Minister Haydar Al-Abadi Saturday night, Oct. 14, gave the Kurdish Peshmerga an ultimatum to surrender the positions in the Kirkuk oil region they have held since pushing ISIS out three years ago, and also cancel the Kurdish Republic’s Sept. 25 independence vote.

The Kurdish troops were given until early Sunday to comply with those demands, in the face of heavily armed troops of the Iraqi army and Popular Mobilization Force (PMU), an arm of the Iranian Revolutionary Guards, massed around Kirkuk.
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October 15, 2017 | 12:52 pm | 1 Comment »

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Experts on Decertifying Iran Deal: Trump Should Have Killed Terror-Fueling Agreement  

By Edwin Mora, BREITBART

WASHINGTON, DC — Some experts welcomed U.S. President Donald Trump’s decision to decertify the Iran nuclear deal, but they said the American leader should have gone a step further and killed the agreement, which some analysts argue has strengthened Tehran’s narco-terror proxy Hezbollah and its hard-line Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

While some analysts praised Trump for decertifying the Iran deal, others stressed that the president did not go far enough.

“The Iran deal was, as the president said, a bad deal, possibly the worse in modern history. We should kill it. That’s what I recommended the president do, but I’m happy to see him decertify it,” Dr. Sebastian Gorka, a former deputy assistant to President Trump, told Breitbart News.
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October 15, 2017 | 12:21 pm | Comments »

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