The Agreement and Its Implications – In a Nutshell:

Peloni:  Yossi provides what is probably the most optimistic and far reaching potential benefits of Trump’s 21 Point Peace Deal which is intended to be a lead-in to Trump’s New Deal of the Century.

I would caution that the denial of Israeli victory emboldens and strengthens Israel’s enemies.  Additionally, not only does Israel not regain it sovereignty over Gaza in this war, but Gaza will remain Judenrein, presumably forever, and instead, this ancient Jewish land will be overseen by a council of appointed foreigner as stakeholders, even as it filled with weaponized psychopathic Gazans, and not a single Jew amongst them.  Also, thousands of detainees and hundreds of some of the worst terrorists will roam freely.  Israeli troops will vacate territories won in a defensive war, ignoring the enormous price of the blood spent in depriving it from the barbarians in this defensive war.  Finally, the lesson being taught to our enemies is that Jew Hunts have a value, that atrocities  and Pogroms against the Jews is very useful in achieving political goals, and that Jew Ransoms carry rewards of a kingly nature.

Yossi Baum | X

The agreement reached regarding the issue of the hostages has numerous implications in countless Israeli and even international matters — mainly in five areas: diplomatic, security, political, international, and economic. Here they are:

1. Security

• The main immediate achievement is that there is no more Hamas. Simply — there is no more Hamas. It will take a few weeks for full implementation, but that’s where things are heading, and there is almost no scenario in which it won’t be realized. There is no “constraint” here — on the contrary, this is the summit of achievements.

• The immediate result: there is no more Hezbollah. Once Gaza is completely emptied of Hamas, this will also affect the Lebanese arena. As it becomes proven that “it is possible to eliminate an idea” — a similar process will occur in Lebanon.

• Contrary to various concerns, even in the “day after,” Gaza will not be able to serve as an incubator for terror. The remaining Gazan survivors who choose to continue living there despite everything will undergo a de-radicalization process in the areas of education, religion, and media.

• Furthermore: in any case, security control over the Gaza Strip will remain fully in Israel’s hands, until the end of days. These are the facts, detailed among the 270 pages of agreements signed in the U.S. with 120 countries — including almost all Arab states (see elaboration in the comment).

• The rehabilitation of Gaza will take about a decade. During this period, most Gazans will be in other countries. A decade is enough time to assimilate in the host country and cause most residents of Gaza to abandon it forever.

• There are those trying to compare the current deal to the Shalit deal. But as stated — not at all. In the Shalit deal, we paid an exorbitant security price for one soldier. Now, the reality is completely opposite: we give nothing in the security field but receive extraordinary security achievements — such as the end of the Hamas era — alongside the return of the hostages and countless other achievements as detailed below.

• In my opinion, the last word has not been said regarding the Palestinian Authority, and it is likely we will also see significant changes there within about a year.

• The same applies to Khamenei. It seems to me that the last word has not been said regarding Khamenei’s rule in Iran — not to mention the possibility of further Israeli strikes there. Note that over the past two years Netanyahu has been accelerating his pace moment by moment.

• Likewise regarding the Houthis — the last word has not been said. Far from it.

• The chance that stage B of the deal will not be carried out is almost zero. The only question is whether it will happen the easy way or the hard way, as Netanyahu put it. The understanding is that the main obstacle was getting the process started now. Its successful advancement shows that Qatari and Turkish control over Hamas is total, and therefore, it is understood that they will also be able to continue maneuvering Hamas to go along with the deal.

2. Diplomatic

• As part of the deal, peace agreements will be signed between Israel and Saudi Arabia and additional Arab states. The meaning: the Arab claim of ownership over the Land of Israel will be annulled. A full paradigm shift.

• One must understand: the agreements signed here with 120 countries — as I wrote in a separate post (see comment) — involving the division of territories, resources, and more among such a large number of states, are essentially a new and upgraded version of the Sykes-Picot Agreements — or, if you wish, the Potsdam Conference after the Holocaust, where the powers divided control among themselves over Europe and the rest of the world.

This is the reality: after a regional war, international consensus and reality-altering processes crystallize. Incidentally, the Potsdam Conference also convened before Japan’s surrender, since the trend was already clear. The same is true here. After a regional war, the trend of Hamas’s defeat is clear, and all the agreements are being made with that understanding.

• Words can hardly describe the impact of this new “Deal of the Century” on Israel’s international standing, which strengthens not only in its resources but also in its international power. Netanyahu, de facto, has set the international agenda in the past year and has become one of the most influential leaders in the world — regardless of Israel’s size or population.

• And what price did Israel pay? Absolutely nothing. There will be no Gaza in the coming years. Its reconstruction will take years. Even the terrorists who will now be released in the deal — they now have nowhere to return to, in every sense of the word.

• Remember what the naïve said: there’s no way Hamas will agree to give up all the hostages at once — they are its human shield. What turned out? That Netanyahu understands better than anyone how to maneuver the international community into achieving even the impossible.

• And what Netanyahu understood was that if both Qatar and Turkey can be brought to bring about the end of the Hamas era — it will indeed happen. That’s the key point. Not that there wasn’t a gamble here, but it was very well calculated. And as a fact — it succeeded.

• Netanyahu personally becomes here one of the great leaders of the free world. From the height of his experience, he sees countless steps ahead. Alongside his unimaginable stamina — as one who has managed to stand alone against all forces, internal and international, that rose to defeat him.

• Needless to say: the extraordinary pressures Netanyahu faced — no one in Israel could withstand. Only a naïve person would think otherwise. Not only did they fail to defeat him — he even dragged the international community to go along with the framework he conceived back in the Biden era.

3. Political

• Once the celebrations of the agreement subside, the relocation phenomenon in the left will erupt even more strongly. Some will do it immediately, and others around election time — but that’s where it’s heading. Too many people are expected to be investigated for their part in one or more of the coup attempts we experienced here over the past decade.

• Trump is coming. The stock market will rise even more. From here, Netanyahu goes to elections. After such a chain of phenomenal achievements — the opposition is in a catastrophic state. Perhaps that’s why, for the first time in two years, all faction heads agreed to meet yesterday. Their situation is going to be dire.

• Among other things, a bloody battle will begin within the opposition over the remaining mandates after Netanyahu’s achievements, which will undoubtedly affect the division of mandates.

• And not only from the left — Ben Gvir and Smotrich are also in big trouble. Netanyahu managed to defeat the left’s thesis of “land for peace” — without firing a single shot. There may be quite a few in religious Zionism asking themselves: what exactly is so bad about Netanyahu?

• Once we understand that there are factors or parties whose very existence is threatened by Netanyahu’s success — we’ll understand that those factors or parties will do everything to mentally diminish every one of Netanyahu’s achievements with various marginal claims. Against this backdrop, one must view such “claims” that will be heard from right-wing elements whose status might be undermined if Netanyahu “succeeds too much.”

• The amplification of the agreement’s celebrations in the coming days and weeks is a shared interest of both Trump and Netanyahu. Trump desires a Nobel Prize and the legacy of a peacemaker; Netanyahu needs voters ahead of the elections. That’s why Trump was invited and will come to speak in the Knesset.

• One more note: starting next term, the composition of the Judicial Selection Committee changes — another factor in Netanyahu’s overall considerations for a quick election.

• Along the way, the panic channels will take a hard blow, which will surely be reflected in a ratings crash in favor of Channel 14 and its affiliates. This day is Judgment Day for the “peace camp,” the elite media, and so on.

4. The International Arena

• Anyone who tried to challenge Trump’s leadership or undermine it — suffers a crushing defeat today. Trump now officially becomes the undisputed master of the world.

• The first loser is Putin. A strong Trump is a Trump who sees nothing before his eyes and charges at every goal he sets. Putin also loses to Turkey, which shares strategic access to Russia via the Dardanelles. China also weakens as Trump strengthens.

• It can be assumed that at this very moment a bloody battle is taking place over awarding the Nobel Peace Prize to Trump. In the U.S., an official campaign for the prize is already underway in recent hours, including a tweet by Eric Trump. Conversely, Trump’s rivals will do everything to prevent him from receiving the prize, which could mentally cement his power and abilities. It will be interesting to see how it turns out.

• Don’t pay attention to Erdogan’s statements — look at his actions. Note that Turkish Airlines suddenly wants to return to Israel…

• Nothing like schadenfreude: Macron, the loser who tried to cover his repeated political failures at home by promoting a pro-Palestinian agenda, suffers two blows this week — one from the success of the agreements led by Trump and Netanyahu, which removed his “initiative” from public discourse, and the other — the fall of his government again, for who-knows-what time.

5. Economic

• If until now the Israeli stock market has shown the best returns in the world — even during wartime — from now on, the sky’s the limit.

• And that’s before we mention the vision of the overland bridge from India to Europe through Israel, which is already taking shape, and now can even be seen as a realistic option for a direct railway line from India to Europe, via Israel, Lebanon, Syria, and Turkey — and from there to Europe. See elaboration in the comment.

Thank God in Heaven for all this goodness.

And a personal word to end: as someone who accompanied Netanyahu’s vision regarding the agreement with Saudi Arabia and the connection to the Gulf states up to India — and later in the relocation plan implemented under the radar already during the Biden administration — I repeatedly received dismissive responses in various styles with a single intention:
“Behold, this dreamer cometh.”

But it turned out my sources were accurate — thank God. Nothing remains but to await the full realization of all the agreements, speedily and in our days.

Yossi Baum is an Israeli researcher who has broken several important stories over the past many years.  His reports include the story relating Bibi being gagged by the courts while being restrained from declaring war on October 7 for more than 12hrs due to the interference of pro-Pal NGOs and their support by Israel’s rogue Attorney Gen. He also reported on the ties between the Israeli Supreme Court and the New Israel Fund, how Bibi was likely behind Trump’s Gaza relocation plan, the ties between Israeli media and the Biden regime, and a great many other stories.