The real purpose of Israel’s gas deal with Egypt

Peloni

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Below is the link to the Israel Hayom report on the Isreali-Egyptian gas deal, which contains the best reporting and details of the reports I have read on this subject.

The truth is that the gas deal could have been an important victory for Israel, for Egypt and for the US, but the reality which came to be is far less rosy than what could have been.

The gas deal will make Israel and her gas partners in Cyprus and Greece into a geopolitical lynch-pin thru which gas will be first sold to Egypt which will then be exported to Europe.  This will make both Egypt and Europe dependent upon Israel, while also making Israel enormously wealthy.  This wealth can be used in many ways, most importantly it can be used to potentially extricate Israel from its dependency on US aid, but it could also be used to finance many other things including upgrading or financing Israel’s infrastructure.  Meanwhile, Egypt will have access to gas which it needs, Israel will be able to keep enough gas to keep gas prices in Israel low, and everyone will become extraordinarily wealthy as they help wean Europe off of its dependence on Russian gas, a long long held goal of the US.  It also certifies Israel and her gas partners as major players in the geopolitical gas deals, which aids Israel at Turkey’s expense, recalling that the latter is explicitly focused on all energy being controlled thru Turkey one way or another.  All of this is the good part of the deal.

The bad part of the deal began with Egypt breaking the Camp David Accords during the Gaza war by bringing armed forces into the Sinai and then multiplying these forces, digging tunnels in which to hide massive ordinances, and extending airfields which can be used for heavy cargo deliveries into the Sinai which could only have one purpose, all while describing Israel as ‘the enemy’.  Egypt has never accepted that it lost the ’73 war, and it has been training and arming itself over the past five decades to try to turn that fantasy into reality.  Despite the import of the gas deal to Israel, Bibi was determined to not sign the deal unless Egypt returned to compliance with the terms of the Camp David Accords.  Sisi, however, refused to do so unless Israel simultaneously agreed to evacuate Gaza and to gives up control over the Rafah crossing, something which Bibi won’t and can’t do.  So this led to a stalemate between Israel and Egypt.

Trump attempted to diffuse the matter by offering to hold a summit between Bibi and Sisi, but Sisi refused to accept Trump’s offer.  Having failed to pressure Sisi to accept Trump’s offer, and recalling that the 4yr clock on Trump’s term in office was ticking away, Trump turned to pressure Bibi into surrendering his position instead.  Bibi complied and signed the deal without anything but a promise by the US to try to intervene and resolve the matter in the future, but with no guarantee of any positive outcome.

Hence, Sisi broke the terms of the Peace Treaty and was successful in having Israel accept this fact.  This victory by Sisi over Israel is the bad news, and it is very bad news indeed.  Egypt’s army sits feet away from the Israeli border and they have been trained and itching for war with Israel for decades while having a significant military capacity which includes both American and Chinese war systems and an enormous army.  Recalling that the Egyptians have been looking to turn their dreams of victory over Israel into reality while an emboldened Sisi just managed to get Trump to force Bibi into complying to Sisi’s demands, this bodes very badly for the future.

Hence, while Bibi is claiming victory in this deal, the truth is that there is a secured threat which sits on Israel’s Western border for the first time in forty years.

Click Link to Read Israel Hayom Article

https://www.israelhayom.com/2025/12/17/the-real-purpose-of-israels-gas-deal-with-egypt/