Peloni: Rabbi Pesach Wolicki talks with Dr. David Wurmser. The interview focuses on the war with Iran, with particular attention on the recent escalation by the Houthis. Wurmser explains that the Houthis are part of Iran’s broader strategy to raise oil prices, disrupt key shipping routes like the Bab el-Mandeb Strait, and prolong the conflict while avoiding direct confrontation, while also recognizing that this may also reflect Iran’s need for proxy support due to its diminished missile capabilities. The discussion challenges the narrative that Gulf states are weak for not joining the war, suggesting that the US and Israel might prefer to exclude them from participating in the war due to operational risks, intelligence concerns, and political complications, while they may still offer indirect support.
Saudi Arabia’s significant strategic position is also highlighted, while also noting both its vulnerability related to Red Sea oil routes as well as its potential role in countering the Houthis in Yemen. On diplomacy, skepticism is expressed regarding ongoing US-Iranian negotiations, with doubts that real regime change has occurred or that Iran will concede to any major demands. A formal ceasefire is viewed as risky, potentially enabling Iran to rearm quickly with foreign support. Instead, continued military pressure is favored. The interview concludes that Iran may be misreading the situation due to internal propaganda, increasing the likelihood of strategic miscalculation.
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