See the discussion of the final lists at the bottom. This current election is gearing up to be his most difficult challenge yet. With the High Court having effectively driven a split between the haredim parties and Netanyahu, along with Winter insisting he will not sit with the haredim who have not served in the IDF, it will be a difficult task for the PM to pull out another victory in the coming election cycle. This likewise also spells for a difficult election of the national camp. Nonetheless, as Gil Hoffman explains, you can never count Netanyahu out. So we will see.
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Poll: Gap between blocs closes
Channel 12 poll has Netanyahu and his rivals tied at 52 seats each, while Channel 14 gives the Prime Minister’s bloc a commanding 63 seats to 44.
Israel National News
Sep 7, 2026, 10:08 PM (GMT+3)
polls
An election poll the Midgam Institute conducted on Monday for Channel 12 found that the distance between the two major political blocs is closing, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s bloc receiving 52 seats and the anti-Netanyahu bloc receiving 52 seats.
According to the poll results, if the elections were held today, Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar Party would receive 25 seats, leading the Likud, which would receive 21. Bennet and Lapid’s Together Party would earn 13 seats, the Democrats 11, Yisrael Beytenu eight, United Torah Judaism (UTJ) eight, the Joint List (Balad, Ta’al, Hadash) seven, Shas seven, Otzma Yehudit six, the Religious Zionist Party six, United Arab List (Ra’am) four, and Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael Party would receive four.
A poll conducted by NEXT DATA for the pro-Netanyahu Channel 14 grants the current Prime Minister’s bloc a total of 63 seats, while projecting those opposed to him to receive only 44 seats. In this poll, the Likud wins 30 seats, Yashar 22, and Shas and the Democrats win 10 each. The poll sees the Religious Zionist Party skyrocketing from its past standing to eight seats. Also receiving eight seats are Otzma Yehudit and the Joint List. UTJ receives seven seats, Together six, Yisrael Beytenu six, and Ra’am five.
According to the Channel 14 poll, Ofer Winter’s Amcha Yisrael does not pass the electoral threshold.
https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/432858
Ofer Winter, has said he will be not in a coalition unless legislation is passed where all are drafted. This then would rule out him being in a coalition with the UTJ and Shas. So, if Winter passes the threshold his votes will be needed for the Likud coalition to get a majority.
Gap between blocs closes
What must not be forgotten in this is that the Right Bloc requires the support of the Haredi parties. Without them, the Right has no chance of forming a govt.
It would be wonderful if the Israeli electorate were to think ahead instead of remorsefully backwards. More along the lines of, what kind of government do we want, rather than, that was bad and we will never consider a coalition with you.
As they quote in Israel, “we will not play together, we’ll break everything.” Hebrew speakers will recognize this…
Herzl said, “If you want it (Israel), it need not remain a dream”.
Of course we all know that two Jews can seldom, if ever, agree on anything. 2 Jews –> at least 4 opinions.
However, at the end of the day, power greed will still drive them together for a while.
@dreuveni
I couldn’t agree more.