THE IRAN DEAL IS NOT A DEAL AT ALL

US now indicates Iran interim deal wasn’t finalized
‘Technical details’ have yet to be worked out, State Department says, meaning six-month countdown to permanent deal hasn’t start and Iran isn’t bound by any new terms

By Elliot Abrams, ISRAEL HAYOM

There are many arguments today about the substance of the agreement between Iran and the P5+1. But there is a prior question: Is there really an agreement at all?

Looking at the text of the “agreement,” the most striking thing is the conditional or aspirational language:

“The goal for these negotiations is to reach a mutually agreed long-term comprehensive solution that would ensure Iran’s nuclear program will be exclusively peaceful. … This comprehensive solution would build on these initial measures. … There would be additional steps in between the initial measures and the final step. … This comprehensive solution would involve a reciprocal, step-by-step process. …”

Would, would, would. Not “shall.”

The White House fact sheet on the “agreement” says: “Today, the P5+1 and Iran reached a set of initial understandings. …”

But the White House text keeps saying “will,” not would. It does seem, at a minimum, that the “agreement” reached in Geneva is not self-executing and will next require negotiation of an implementation agreement. The text of the agreement says that “The E3+3 and Iran will be responsible for conclusion and implementation of mutual near-term measures. …” But the need for “conclusion” of near-term measures suggests that the “near-term measures” are not actually yet agreed.

The Obama administration should clarify whether that is or is not the case, because the entire “agreement” can be hung up over that negotiation over implementation. The “agreement” does not appear to be binding on any party, which is convenient for the Obama administration in one way: No one can argue that it is a form of treaty that must be approved by the Senate.

But what is this beast? Is it a binding agreement at all? An “Executive Agreement?” An expression of intent? Given the difficulty ahead in getting Iran to comply with any promises it has made, the exact nature of those promises is worth defining.

From “Pressure Points” by Elliott Abrams. Reprinted with permission from the Council on Foreign Relations.

November 27, 2013 | 2 Comments »

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  1. The “deal” appears to be a set of oral understandings that still have to be implemented.

    If anyone thinks Iran will seriously agree to restrict its nuclear rights in subsequent negotiations, they’re dumber than a post.

    The West got played for fools and Obama rushed to relax sanctions even before it was clear that Iran would keep its side of the deal.

    This deal is looking a lot like Obamacare. You have to read it first to find out what’s in it. And by the day it sure isn’t looking like the deal the Administration first described on Sunday.

  2. Not worth the paper it’s written on. Even if all of its terms, aim and implementation were were set out in exacting detail, there is not a hope in hell that it will be honored by the Mullahs in either letter or spirit. It was only meant to further isolate Israel and prevent it from taking unilateral action and to score a badly needed, even a shallow victory for BHO.