JISS conference on “Iran and Israel – The Confrontation.”
Ted Belman. I attended this 4.5 hour conference and found all the talks very informative and interesting.
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Ted Belman. I attended this 4.5 hour conference and found all the talks very informative and interesting.
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T. Belman. My buddy Jerry Honigman references my article The Jordan Option published by me and American Thinker last Dec. Be sure to read it.
by Gerald A. Honigman
Herb Keinon reported in the October 21, 2018 Jerusalem Post on King Abdullah II of Jordan’s decision to downgrade its peace treaty with Israel.
More specifically, this decision involves Jordan wanting to…“opt out of annexes from its 1994 peace treaty with Israel that leased two border areas that historically were difficult to delineate…the king’s decision followed a request from government activists not to renew the agreement and to revoke Israeli ownership from Jordanian land.” Israel had been using the areas for agricultural purposes. The report further explained that…
“Abdullah is in a vice. While he needs the peace treaty with Israel for the security of his regime, he has domestic Islamic elements to deal with and at times placate. He is also dealing with Syrian crisis, which has not only inundated his country with refugees, but also put Iran perilously close. The language Abdullah used in announcing the move–Jordanian land, Jordanian interests–is a bone thrown to the Islamists.”
Read more…
BELMAN: TRUMP IS BLOWING SMOKE
US president reportedly tell French leader he can treat prime minister same as he treats Palestinians. Comments came days before administration backed two-states for first time
By TOI STAFF 22 October 2018,
US President Donald Trump has said he is willing to “be tough” on Israel in peace negotiations, mirroring the administration’s combative stance toward the Palestinian Authority, according to an Israeli report Monday.
Such a move would mark a significant shift in the US approach to peace talks so far, which has seen a number of concessions to Israel and punitive measures against Ramallah, stoking Palestinian anger and a boycott of efforts to jump start peace talks.
Read more…
By Ted Belman

In response to this query by Prof Paul Eidelberg,
I would deeply appreciate your thoughts about the invasion of migrants into the USA?
What can be done to diminish this enormous NATION-DESTROYING problem?
I replied:
My first thought was that the upcoming invasion bore many similarities to the attempted invasion of Israel by Gazans. Israel responded with a policy of zero tolerance.
Read more…
A confederation of the West Bank and Jordan is once again under discussion. Is it such a bad idea?
TEL AVIV — In January 1968, only a few months after Israel conquered the territory on the West Bank of the Jordan River, Prime Minister Levi Eshkol received a memo. The reasonable way to deal with the newly occupied territory, wrote the memo’s author, a professor named Benjamin Akzin, was to join it to Jordan, the country from which it was taken during the 1967 war.
Akzin’s memo, which is recounted in a new book by the historian Yoav Gelber, was one of the first articulations of what is known as “the Jordanian option.” It’s still alive today.
(Amman) – In reaction to the King of Jordan’s announcement regarding the cancellation of annexation agreement between Jordan and Israel, the Jordanian Opposition Coalition (JOC) announced its commitment to peace with Israel, and continued support for the agreement and called the King a Liar.
“The JOC will uphold the agreement after it achieves its goal of regime change,” Dr. Mudar Zahran, Secretary General of the JOC said. “We hold sovereignty near and dear and appreciate the parts of the agreement that enforce Jordan’s sovereignty over the areas leased to Israel”.
Millennial Evangelicals are not as automatically supportive of Israel as their parents’ generation was. Evangelical groups are taking action – some trying to secure young Evangelicals’ love of the Jewish state, others to get them to learn about Palestinians
Western intel revelations regarding Iranian, Hezbollah activities vindicate Netanyahu’s claim Iran building arsenal inside of Lebanon.

On Saturday, news broke that Western intelligence sources believe Iran is stepping up its efforts to deliver sophisticated weaponry, including GPS systems meant to turn unguided rockets into high-precision missiles, to Hezbollah in Lebanon.
FOX News reported that a Boeing 747 civilian airplane of the Iranian carrier Fars Air Qeshm made an unusual stop in Beirut after flying to Damascus International Airport as flight QFZ9950.
Read more…
It really is quite simple. Everyone is smart except Donald J. Trump. That’s why they all are billionaires and all got elected President. Only Trump does not know what he is doing. Only Trump does not know how to negotiate with Vladimir Putin. Anderson Cooper knows how to stand up to Putin. The whole crowd at MSNBC does. All the journalists do.
They could not stand up to Matt Lauer at NBC. They could not stand up to Charlie Rose at CBS. They could not stand up to Mark Halperin at NBC. Nor up to Leon Wieseltier at the New Republic, nor Jann Wenner at Rolling Stone, nor Michael Oreskes at NPR, at the New York Times, or at the Associated Press. But — oh, wow! — can they ever stand up to Putin! Only Trump is incapable of negotiating with the Russian tyrant.
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T. Belman. This is why Abdullah has to be replaced.
Jordan’s King Abdullah notified Israel on Sunday, Oct. 21, that he will not renew two annexes of the peace treaty which his father King Hussein signed with Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin in 1994. They granted Israel ownership rights for 25 years under Jordanian sovereignty in the Naharayim/Baqura and the Zofar/Al Ghamr areas of the Arava region of southern Israel, which Israeli farmers have been working.
While the announcement came two days after a big anti-Israeli demonstration in Amman, DEBKAfile’s sources disclose that it is part of a calculated move by the Jordanian monarch to bring his kingdom into alignment with Turkey, Syria and Qatar. In recent days, his prime minister, Dr. Omar al-Razzaz, has been holding intensive talks with Turkish ministers in an effort to persuade Ankara to stop routing its export goods to the Gulf via Haifa port and send them instead through Syria and Jordan. To this end, Jordan earlier this month reopened its Nassib border crossing with Syria, against strong objections from Washington and Jerusalem. The king is in the process of mending his ties with Syria’s Bashar Assad and looks forward to an early visit to Amman by an impressive Syrian official delegation headed by Foreign Minister Walid Moallem.

It’s late in the day and a loud and ugly mob mentality is utterly dominating midterm elections.
The Protest that was the legacy of ex-President Barack Obama is no longer out in the town park or on the street, it has moved into the restaurants where average people stop for a bite to eat, the gas station where they go to fill up and in other once safe and public spaces.
A phrase that has become a mark of our time: “It’s getting crazier and more dangerous out there by day!”
Read more…
Interviews with Daniel Pipes: Still Skeptical [of Trump’s Israel Policy]
L’Informale October 19, 2018
This is the English version of an article that appeared originally in Italian as “Con sguardo lucido e disincantato.” The interview was conducted by Niram Ferretti.
Question: The Trump administration seems to be following the logic of MEF’s Israel Victory Project launched in January 2017: it recognized Jerusalem as the capital of Israel, closed the PLO office in Washington, and cut funds to UNRWA and other Palestinians entities. With this, has your initial skepticism about President Trump’s attitude towards the Palestinian-Israeli conflict changed?
Answer: I remain skeptical. I see Trump’s grand Middle East goal to weaken the Iranian regime. Toward this end, he has rewarded the Saudis with arms sales and the Israelis with Jerusalem. The steps against the Palestinian Authority serve as pressure on it to come to the table and receive what I expect to be its reward, namely recognition of Palestine with Jerusalem as its capital. If I am right, things will not turn out well.
Read more…
BESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 981, October 21, 2018
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: For the world to emancipate itself from anti-Semitism, religions and political movements will have to accept individual freedom of conscience and cultural pluralism, which are essential if universalism and particularism are to coexist. That universalism and particularism can, in fact, coexist and thrive together is demonstrated by 3,000 years of Jewish history. When the world finally understands the merits of embracing universal values without shedding ethnic identity, Jews and Judaism will be genuinely understood and accepted.
Anti-Semitism is the world’s oldest hatred. This hatred has been justified on religious, economic, political and social grounds. A cogent philosophical theory of anti-Semitism is nevertheless overdue. This theory should explain the persistence and ubiquity of anti-Semitism throughout the ages.
By Ruth Eglash and Taylor Luck, WASH POST

The first power station, built in 1932 by a Russian-Jewish engineer, located on today’s border with Jordan.
JERUSALEM — Jordan’s King Abdullah II announced Sunday that he does not plan to renew parts of the country’s 24-year-old peace agreement with Israel, amid public pressure to rebuke the Israeli government following the U.S. Embassy’s move to Jerusalem and ongoing violence in Gaza.
In Israel, the announcement was received with surprise. Analysts said it was a populist move by the king aimed at opposition groups. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, however, appeared unruffled by the announcement. He said relations with Jordan were still strong.
The deal was signed in November 1994 by Abdullah’s father, King Hussein, and then-Israeli Prime Minister Yitzhak Rabin.
“The United States, as we have said many times, cares for the Palestinian people and wants to help, but we will not empower a regime that launches attacks on Israeli kindergartens.”
This Administration vehemently opposes everything Hamas, a terrorist organization that targets and hides behind innocents, stands for. But, judging by Yahya Sinwar’s interview published on October 5, 2018, it would appear that he agrees with the Administration’s position on some things: we agree that Palestinian children should have every opportunity to become doctors or pursue any other profession they choose and we agree that they should be able to see “what the world looks like on the other side.” We share the desire to see a thriving economy in Gaza with jobs for all those who strive to work. We both understand that war will not bring a better life to Palestinians in Gaza; in fact it will create more misery, suffering, and loss for all.
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Retired Jordanian diplomat has written a column extolling Trump in a Jordanian newspaper. He did not do this without approval.
Any lingering thought that the Palestine Liberation Organization (PLO) would have any role to play in President Trump’s soon to-be-released peace plan has vanished – after Secretary of State Mike Pompeo announced that $165 million had been deducted from funding to the PLO because of its continuing “pay for slay” policyin breach of the Taylor Force Act.
Jordan has now signalled its preparedness to replace the PLO by publically supporting Trump in an article written in the Jordan Timesby Walid Sadi – a retired Jordanian diplomat with over 35 years’ experience and himself a former editor of the Jordan Times.
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Demonstrators in Amman call on Jordanian government to take action to return areas in Israel to Jordanian sovereignty.
A mass demonstration was held in Amman, the capital of Jordan, on Friday, in which protesters demanded that the lands of Baqoura (Naharayim) and Ghumar (in the Arava region) be returned to Jordanian hands.
According to the 1994 peace treaty between Israel and Jordan, these areas are currently under Israeli control for 25 years, and after the end of the lease period, each party may demand to cancel the existing arrangement.
Read more…

The US is continuing its military buildup in Manbij in response to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan’s threats to clear the region of Syrian Kurds. Speaking on condition of anonymity to Sputnik, a Manbij Military Council representative disclosed that the US has sent heavy arms to the region.
A source close to the Syrian Democratic Forces (SDF) told Sputnik Turkey that the US had started beefing up their military presence in Manbij and sent weaponry to the region in response to Ankara’s signals about a potential operation in the city, located in the northeast of Aleppo Governorate.
Read more…
[Manbij is in the NE corner of Allepo, 30 miles west of the Euphrates River.]

FILE – A member of the Kurdish internal security forces patrols a commercial street in Manbij, northern Syria, March 28, 2018. Manbij, a mixed Arab and Kurdish town of nearly 400,000, was freed from Islamic State militants in 2016 by YPG fighters with the backing of U.S. forces.
Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan is warning of military action against a key U.S. ally in the disputed Syrian city of Manbij, as bilateral tensions threaten to resurface between the NATO partners.“We will do what is necessary,” was Erdogan’s message to U.S. Secretary of State Mike Pompeo when they met Wednesday in Ankara, according to Turkish Foreign Minister Mevlut Cavusoglu who also attended the meeting.
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