An Argument: The Myth of the Iranian Military Giant
T. Belman. This article attempts to make the case that Iran is weak militarily and therefore there is little to worry about their dominance of the Middle East. I don’t buy it. $100 billion in sanctions relief will go a long way to modernize the army in 5 years. The P5 + 1 can’t wait to sell them billions of dollars worth of arms.
Saudi Arabia’s military outspends the Islamic Republic’s 5-to-1; the UAE’s does by 50 percent. And ending the arms embargo after a nuclear deal won’t change that.
By Trita Parsi and Tyler Cullis, FOREIGN POLICY – JULY 10/15
You’d be forgiven for thinking that Iran, unshackled from economic sanctions, would have free rein to domineer its vulnerable Persian Gulf Arab neighbors and cause trouble for Israel. As the fearful refrain goes, if an Iran restrained by crippling sanctions has managed to assert its influence over four Arab capitals — those of Iraq, Lebanon, Syria, and Yemen — what will an Iran freed from sanctions and a global arms embargo do? As noted Iran hawk Ray Takeyh recently wrote, “the most important legacy of the prospective agreement [may be that it] enable[d] the Islamic Republic’s imperial surge.” This same line has been pushed so hard that it has become accepted fact in Washington.
The problem is, the line isn’t true. But, nonetheless, it is threatening to upend a lasting nuclear deal with Iran.
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