Analysis: Don’t bet on the Lebanese Army to restrain Hezbollah
Peloni: The Lebanese lack agency as they lack any independence from their Iranian task masters in Tehran. Iranian control of that captured nation will remain fixed til either some outside force frees them from the Shia control domination, something which is not likely to ever take place, or til the Mullahs controlling Lebanon as its vassal state are overthrown in Iran. Hence, while the time to free Lebanon is at hand, it would require decisive action to take place in Iran, not in Lebanon.
By David Daoud | December 10, 2024

The Assad regime has fallen. Meanwhile, the dreaded Third Lebanon War, during which Israel gave Hezbollah an unprecedented drubbing, is either over or in a ceasefire-induced lull. But the Iranian-backed organization has neither been conclusively defeated nor is it past the point of regeneration. Recognizing this situation, the ceasefire deal’s drafter, US envoy Amos Hochstein, included safeguards ostensibly meant to prevent Hezbollah’s regeneration—to ensure, in his words, this would be the final Hezbollah-Israel war. However, Hochstein made a critical mistake, one that will likely prove fatal to his anticipated objectives: much like UN Security Council Resolution 1701, the latest agreement made action by the Lebanese government and Lebanese Armed Forces (LAF) against Hezbollah the cornerstone of the ceasefire.





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