Latest polls in Israel

Maagar Poll of National Religious:38%:40% add more secular to leadership of Bayit Yehudi
Dr. Aaron Lerner – IMRA 1 November 2013

The survey was conducted by Maagar – Interdisciplinary Research and Consulting Institute Ltd., managed by Professor Yitzhak Katz. The survey was
conducted by telephone 28 October 2013 of a sample of 508 respondents,
constituting a representative sample of Israel’s Jewish national religious adult population (aged 17 and over). Results published in Makor Rishon on 1 November 2013. Statistical error +/- 4.5 percentage points.

To what extent are you satisfied with the performance of Naftali Bennett as
representative and promoter of the interests of the national religious community in Israel in the last year?
Very satisfied 52% Moderately satisfied 32% Not satisfied 16%

Has the opinion of the Israeli public towards the national religious changed
for the good or the bad or has not changed in the last year?
For the good 37% Unchanged 58% For the bad 5%

Should the Bayit Yehudi Party add in more secular people to its leadership?
Yes 38% No 40% Don’t know 22%

[Bennett is more than holding his own. Why would the National Religious camp want more seculars in leadership? Probably they see the embrace of secular nationals as a good thing. So do I.]

Smith poll: Likud/Beteinu 34 Labor 17 Bayit Yehudi 13 Yesh Atid 12 Shas 12
Meretz 11

[Yesh Atid lost seats to Meretz and Labour.]

November 2, 2013 | 7 Comments »
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  3. @ Ted Belman:
    Ted, Perhaps your Alon Ben Meir article, which seeks to delegitimize Israels security claims for the Jordan Valley, is timed to influence these polls opposing giving it up or foreign troops.

  5. Israel Poll Trends
    October 27, 2013
    A Centrist Country? The Polls Paint a Partisan Trend

    Jewish Home has 15-17 depending on which poll.

    The polls we added that were taken in October don’t show much change in the political map. In fact, their importance stems from the fact that they ratify the results of previous polls – proving them not to be a coincidence or a blimp but rather a trend.

    They include, first of all, a further weakening of Yesh Atid, Yair Lapid’s party (the big winner of the 2013 election). While it has 19 mandates in the current Knesset, the polls now project that Yesh Atid would decline to around 10 mandates if the elections were held today. From being the second largest party, it is now on the verge of being the fifth largest, following Likud, Labor, Habait Hayehudi and Mertetz. Yesh Atid is running neck to neck with Shas, so in fact it would come out number five or six if elections were held today, shattering Yair Lapid’s dream of becoming the next Israeli Prime Minister. In fact, in the latest Dialogue-Haaretz survey, barely 5% of Israelis said they believe Lapid to be the best candidate for the PM office, and 51% say he is a disappointment (for comparison: 6% say Netanyahu is a disappointment, 4% say Tzipi Livni is a disappointment).

    The decline of Yesh Atid is old news, as is the rise of Zionist-Orthodox Habait Hayehudi and leftist Meretz. We are adding Meretz to our table this month as it appears to have become one of Israel’s many midsize parties: five parties with more than 10 but less than 20 mandates. In fact, the political landscape today is shaping in ways that are quite remarkable. Likud is the only large party, and right now it is hard to envision any coalition that could be formed without it. On the other hand, what we see since the election is the relative decline of the Israeli political center. Yesh Atid, Hatnua and Kadima have a cumulative 27 mandates in the current Knesset, with which they can represent the center. They got a cumulative 16, 17 and 17 in the last three polls.

    And while the center is shrinking, the “right” and the “left” are getting stronger. From 43 in the current Knesset, the right rises to 48 and 47 in the two polls from October – mainly due to the strengthening of the Jewish Home (Habait Hayehudi). The left bloc, wich has 27 mandates in the Knesset, got 33 and 34 in the October polls. But if you click for the full table you will notice that the surge in left votes began shortly after Election Day and what we see now is merely a more consistent performance by the left-wing parties.

    Read More

  6. Wednesday, October 30, 2013
    Poll: Most Israelis reject Jordan Valley withdrawal by IDF
    74% of Israeli Jews are against having international forces in the Jordan
    Valley, rather than the IDF, according to poll.

    http://www.jpost.com/Defense/Poll-Most-Israelis-reject-Jordan-Valley-withdrawal-by-IDF-330128

    Sixty-three percent of Israelis oppose Israel withdrawing from the Jordan
    Valley, even if international forces take on responsibility for Israel’s
    security along the West Bank, a recent poll revealed.

    The Jerusalem Center for Public Affairs (JCPA) commissioned the poll from
    Mina Tzemach, the noted pollster who is with Midgam. She surveyed 588
    Israelis.

    JCPA president Dore Gold, a former adviser to Prime Minister Binyamin
    Netanyahu, said his organization had sponsored the poll in response to
    various press reports on the subject.

    The poll also showed that 74% of Israeli Jews were against having
    international forces in the Jordan Valley, rather than the IDF.

    The current US administration has proposed that international forces be
    installed in the Jordan Valley as part of an Israeli-Palestinian peace
    agreement.

    Israel maintains that there must be an IDF presence on the Jordanian border,
    but the Palestinian Authority rejects the idea of having any Israeli forces
    in the West Bank.

    A likely explanation for an overwhelming majority of Israelis opposing the
    deployment of international forces in the Jordan Valley, Gold said, is the
    United Nations’ historical inability to defend Israel’s borders.

    Gold noted that the Six Day War followed the UN Emergency Force’s evacuation
    of the Sinai Peninsula because then-Egyptian president Gamal Abdel Nasser
    had ordered the force to leave. The UN Interim Force in Lebanon (UNIFIL)
    also failed to prevent the First and Second Lebanon Wars and Hezbollah’s
    rearmament, he said, and much of the UN Disengagement Observer Force
    (UNDOF), which is in the Golan Heights to maintain the cease-fire between
    Syria and Israel, has requested to leave as well.

    According to the poll, 63% of Israelis also oppose NATO forces in the Jordan
    Valley.

    Gold was surprised that “the aura of NATO as the powerful force that blocked
    the spread of the Soviet military on the European continent is no longer the
    perception of people around the world.”

    Especially because of Afghanistan, the image of “NATO as representing
    Western security has changed,” he said.

    Besides the issue of the Jordan Valley, the poll showed that over 70%
    percent of Israelis were against dividing Jerusalem and transferring the
    Temple Mount to the Palestinians.

    All of these results are roughly the same as those of a December 2012 poll
    the Dahaf Institute conducted, which suggests that the peace negotiations in
    the last year have not caused Israeli public opinion to fluctuate.

  7. Looking at the polls – nothing much changed in party standings since February’s election. For this reason, few politicians are eager to return to face the voters again.