T. Belman. What this shows is that as of 1:00 am EST, Trump was ahead 646,000 votes however there were more than 2 million mail-in ballots left to be counted, which are expected to tilt to the Democrats.
In Penn with its 20 electoral votes and 78% of vote counted, Trump is winning 54.87% to 43.96% (Trump + 10.9)
In N. Carolina with its 15 electoral votes and 99% of votes counted, Trump is winning 50.1% to 47.8%. (Trump +2.3)
In Michigan with its 16 electoral votes and 71% counted, Bidenis winning by 49.3% to 48.8% (Biden + 0.5) Betting odds have Biden at 75%
In Wisconsin with its 10 electoral votes, and 97% counted Biden is up 49.5to 48.8% (Biden + 0.7)
In Georgia with its 16 electoral votes and 92% counted, Trump is up 50.5% to 48.3% (Trump + 2.2)
Assuming Mi, WI, NC., and Georgia go as indicated here, Biden has to win 69% of the remaining votes in PA. In other words, Trump must win 4 of these states.
Arizona with its 11 electoral votes and 84% reporting, Biden is up 51% to 47.6%. (Biden + 3.4)
Nevada with its 6 electoral votes and 67% of votes counting, Biden is up 49.2% to 46.6%. (Biden+ 0.6)
VOX
Pennsylvania is still counting votes. It’s critical to Joe Biden and Donald Trump’s hopes of winning the presidential election.
For months, political pundits have said the 2020 presidential election would probably come down to Pennsylvania. Late on election night, it became clear they were right — but nobody is sure yet how the state is going to go, with many votes left to be counted.
With Donald Trump leading in the Sun Belt swing states of Florida, Georgia, and Texas, Pennsylvania’s importance became more and more evident over the course of the night. The state awards 20 votes in the Electoral College. Trump won it by less than 50,000 votes against Hillary Clinton in 2016.
The Electoral College math for Joe Biden has always been simple: If he could flip Pennsylvania, Michigan, and Wisconsin, and every other state voted the same way it did in 2016, he would win the presidency. After Democratic optimism about the Sun Belt failed to materialize, Pennsylvania is once again central to Biden’s White House aspirations.
However, it must be emphasized: The vote count in Pennsylvania could take several days. Already, reports out of the state indicate that Democratic strongholds such as Philadelphia will not be done counting their votes until Wednesday at the earliest. As of midnight, there were more than 2 million mail-in ballots left to be counted, which are expected to tilt to the Democrats.
Pennsylvania is also the most likely battleground for legal challenges to the vote, with Republicans signaling on election night that they would sue to stop votes from being counted.
Political observers have been preaching patience in watching the election results in Pennsylvania. With the presidential election coming down to a handful of states, that advice looks prescient now. Check back here for the latest updates.
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