The resurrection of Abbas

BY DAVID M Weinberg, Israel hayom

Bungling international envoys, stale politicians, and clichéd columnists are revving up a campaign to “re-empower” Palestinian Authority President Mahmoud Abbas in the West Bank and Gaza.

They want Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to “pluck peace from the rubble of Gaza,” and throw himself into a conciliatory embrace of Abbas. This means that Israel should embark on withdrawals from the West Bank, not just from Gaza, and once again bet its future on “moderate” Palestinians.

This is dodgy talk. The notion that Abbas and his Palestinian “Authority” can be Israel’s salvation is without evidentiary foundation. Abbas is not “part of the solution,” but a central part of the problem.

Abbas’ regime is extraordinarily feeble — corrupt and unpopular. His security forces are politicized and inert. Hamas and other Islamic jihadists blew him away in Gaza and would do so in the West Bank too, if not for effective IDF control of the territory. Abbas cannot guarantee Israel’s security, neither in the Jordan Valley and the Samarian mountaintops overlooking Ben-Gurion International Airport, nor in Shujaiyya, Beit Hanoun and the Rafah border crossing between Gaza and Egypt.

Moreover, Abbas’ rump regime is no partner for any real peace accord, as the failed Kerry diplomatic process proved for the umpteenth time. Abbas made it clear over the past year that the Palestinian liberation movement will never recognize Israel as a Jewish state, or agree to forgo the so-called “right” of refugee return. He views Israel’s maximum contours for a two-state solution as a “sovereign cage”; as nothing more than a “statelet” in which he is not interested.

Sure, Abbas wants his state, but without an end to the conflict. He wants state status in order to continue the conflict; in order to brow-beat Israel into dissolution through demonization and criminalization. That is why Abbas was last seen fleeing the scene of negotiations.

Perhaps some people have failed to understand the meaning of Israel’s just-concluded mini-war against Hamas in Gaza.

This offensive was not about solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or opening a door to newfangled diplomatic arrangements. It was about destroying Hamas’ attack tunnels and rocket armories. It was about crushing an Iranian-backed terrorist army on our southern border. And to the extent that the job wasn’t finished, the IDF will have to go at it again.

In other words, the war was about degrading the enemy’s firepower and deterring it from attacking again for an extended period of time. Israel was “mowing the grass,” which is a way of managing protracted conflict. No more, no less.

Operation Protective Edge was not meant to be segue to swell peace conferences in Camp David or Geneva. It was not meant to give birth to phantasms of Palestinian unity, Palestinian moderation, and Palestinian statehood.

It was not meant to wedge Israel into yet another round of withdrawals.

Israel has suffered enough from escapades of iffy peacemaking. Nine years (exactly) after the disengagement from Gaza and destruction of Gush Katif, Netanyahu can honestly and bluntly say to the world: Not again.

Perhaps those who are now beautifying and remarketing Abbas have failed to notice the major changes that have come about in Israeli strategic thinking. Seismic shifts in Israeli defense concepts have been wrought by the gains made by radical Islamists in Arab civil wars raging across the region, and by the serial failures of peace negotiations with the Palestinians.

In short: Israel intends to build strong defenses on every frontier and to ensure the non-militarization of the West Bank and Gaza over the long term with its own forces. There is no power that can guarantee Israel’s security in these areas other than the IDF.

Israel cannot afford to, and does not intend to, withdraw anywhere, anytime soon.

Faced with multiple threats from implacable, nonstate enemies like Hamas, Hezbollah, Islamic Jihad, al-Qaida, and ISIS; and faced with chronically unreliable Palestinian neighbors, Israel will not quickly relinquish strategic tracts of land. Moreover, it will be lashing out occasionally to quash nearby insurgencies, especially when weapons are actually fired at Israel. Israel is in a long war of attrition.

Thus the Palestinian “independence” that Israel can countenance essentially amounts to a Palestinian province (or provinces) with political and economic autonomy, while Israel remains fully in charge of perimeter and inland security. A full-fledged, unitary Palestinian state, as in the “two-state solution,” has become an anachronism.

Netanyahu must not allow the Left to wring Israeli diplomatic defeat and introduce new security risk out of the hard-fought battles in Gaza. He should not be party to the glamming up of Abbas or any daft plans for Israeli withdrawal.

August 8, 2014 | 4 Comments »

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  1. Friday, August 8, 2014
    New Wave Poll during ceasefire: 18% President Obama favored Israel

    New Wave Poll during ceasefire: 18% President Obama favored Israel during Operation Protective Edge

    The survey of 500 Jewish Israeli Hebrew speaking adults was conducted by
    New Wave for Yisrael Hayom 6 August (during the ceasefire) and published on
    8 August 2014.
    Statistical error +/- 4.4 percentage points.


    How would you best term Operation Protective Edge?

    War 74% Operation 23% Don’t know 3%

    Should Israel have ended the operation?
    Yes 42% No 53% Don’t know 5%

    Until what goal should the operation have continued?
    Eradication of missile firing capability 35%
    Bring down Hamas regime 28%
    Kill Hamas heads 28%
    Occupy Gaza 9%

    Was the destruction of the tunnels a significant achievement?

    Yes 86% No 12% Don’t know 2%

    Was Hamas harshly hit?
    Yes 69% No 28% Don’t know 3%

    Who won Operation Protective Edge?

    Israel 45% Hamas 5% Neither side 49% Don’t know 1%

    Do you think the talks in Cairo will achieve a long term arrangement?
    No 68% Yes 19% Don’t know 13%

    Will there be an additional operation in the future?

    Yes 89% No 4% Don’t know 7%

    In the wake of the operation there were many anti-Israel protests in the
    world and an increase in anti-Semitic incidents. Are you concerned by the increase in ant-Semitism in the world?

    Yes 82% No 18%

    Should the Jews in Europe move to Israel in the wake of the anti-Semitic incidents?
    Yes 60% No 16% Don’t know 24%

    There is talk that Israel will be called to the International Court in the Hague to be charged with war crimes. Does this concern you?

    Yes 41% No 59%

    What has happened to the deterrence of the IDF in the wake of Operation
    Protective Edge?
    Increased 53% Same as before 33% Reduced 10% Don’t know 4%

    Did the home front show resilience during the operation?
    Yes 96% No 2% Don’t know 2%

    What do you think of how the president of the USA related to Israel during
    the operation?
    Unfavorable/against us 51% Favorable 18% Balanced towards both sides 24%
    Don’t know 7%

    Are you satisfied with the performance of PM Netanyahu in the operation?
    Yes 63% No 24% Don’t know 13%

    Are you satisfied with the performance of DM Yaalon in the operation?
    Yes 62% No 21% Don’t know 17%

    Are you satisfied with the performance of COS Gantz in the operation?
    Yes 83% No 8% Don’t know 9%

    Who is most appropriate now to be prime minister of Israel?
    Netanyahu 46% Bennett 12% Liberman 7% Herzg 5% Livni 5% Lapid 2% Gidon Sar
    2%

  2. Friday, August 8, 2014
    Panels Poll: 74% Goal is demilitarization 8% Goal quiet

    Dr. Aaron Lerner 8 August 2014
    Internet based polling of a sample of 506 adult Israeli Jews by Panels Politics for Maariv-Sof Shavua carried out during the period of the ceasefire – as reported in Maariv-Sof Shavua on 8 August 2014

    How were you political views affected by Operation Protective Edge?

    Unchanged 70% Shift left 2% Shift right 26% No reply 2%

    What should be the goal of the Government of Israel for the Gaza Strip?
    74% Demilitarization under supervision of international force
    16% Replace Hamas with Abu Mazen (aka Mahmoud Abbas) government
    08% Just security quiet
    02% No reply

    Should the Government of Israel see Abu Mazen as partner for an arrangement in the Gaza Strip?
    Yes 47% No 40% No reply 13%

    Should Israel apply the same policy to the Hamas heads that it has against Nasrallah since the Second Lebanon War – if they leave the bunkers they are a target for targeted killing

    Yes 92% No 4% No reply 4%

  3. This offensive was not about solving the Israeli-Palestinian conflict or opening a door to newfangled diplomatic arrangements. It was about destroying Hamas’ attack tunnels and rocket armories. It was about crushing an Iranian-backed terrorist army on our southern border. And to the extent that the job wasn’t finished, the IDF will have to go at it again.

    In other words, the war was about degrading the enemy’s firepower and deterring it from attacking again for an extended period of time. Israel was “mowing the grass,” which is a way of managing protracted conflict. No more, no less.

    ‘”Netanyahu must not allow the Left to wring Israeli diplomatic defeat and introduce new security risk out of the hard-fought battles in Gaza.”