The True-State Solution

T. Belman. There is no way this article could have been written without following the Jordan Option on Israpundit. It even quotes Mudar Zahran. And the Wall Street Journal published it.

By Daniel J. Arbess, WSJ Jan. 2, 2019

A view of the Dead Sea and Jordan from the West Bank.

The Trump administration has offered tantalizing clues about its forthcoming “Deal of the Century” for Mideast peace. It could be a bold new concept—replacing the failed “two-state solution” with a Jordan-Israel confederacy, in which Jordan would be recognized as the Palestinian state. Call it the true-state solution.

Palestinians have always been the majority in Jordan, though they haven’t been treated as such since its creation as a British-appointed Hashemite monarchy in 1921. The true-state solution would enfranchise the Palestinians. Jordan would extend citizenship to, and assume administrative responsibility for, Arabs now living on the West Bank of the Jordan River—including the cities of Jenin, Nablus, Ramallah, Bethlehem and Jericho—which would be Israeli territory. West Bank Jordanians could receive financial support to relocate across the river to Jordan itself if they wish, or remain as permanent residents (but not citizens) of Israel. Israelis would be free to live anywhere west of the Jordan River. Variations of this “Jordan option” have received increasing attention across the region in recent years.

Why would King Abdullah II accept such an arrangement? To be blunt, it would be his best option. His rule—and his family’s security and fortune—already teeters under pressure of regional migration and domestic Palestinian discontent. The king’s acquiescence—or possibly U.S.-guided abdication—would probably buy his family’s protection.

Trump administration officials have promised their plan will take advantage of Israel’s recent unprecedented collaboration with its Arab neighbors and other developments that suggest “things can be done today that were previously unthinkable,” as then-Ambassador Nikki Haley said last month. The administration promises a new approach based on practical realities.

Start with a truthful foundation of history. Britain inherited all of present-day Jordan and Israel when the Ottoman Empire dissolved after World War I. The Palestinian Mandate of 1922 divided the area into Arab Palestine (Transjordan), comprising 78% of the territory, and Jewish Palestine (Israel), the remaining 22%. Britain later tried to accommodate Arab opposition by further dividing Israel’s 22% in what became the United Nations Partition Plan of 1947. The Jewish Agency for Palestine immediately accepted that plan. But when the General Assembly passed the resolution recognizing Israel’s independence, the Arab states immediately launched a war, which squandered the Partition Plan’s window for an Arab state on the West Bank.

Jordan, encouraged by Britain, annexed the West Bank in 1950—a move the Arab League bitterly opposed and almost no state recognized. That arguably left Israel with the legal right under the original British Mandate to claim sovereignty over the entire 22% of Palestine outside modern Jordan. Israel’s claim was further consolidated by its victory in the 1967 war. Jordan later disavowed its claim on the West Bank and severed administrative ties in 1988, leaving the status of its former citizens further in limbo.

Yasser Arafat’s Palestine Liberation Organization had tried to win Palestinian control of Jordan, repeatedly attempting to assassinate King Hussein in the 1960s. After the PLO was evicted to Syria by Jordanian troops in “Black September” 1970, the PLO’s narrative shifted entirely to painting Israel as the Palestinians’ “occupier.” Despite underwriting a two-state settlement in the 1993 Oslo Accords, Arafat’s launching of the second intifada seven years later revealed that the PLO’s paramount goal was still rejection and delegitimation of Israel, not coexistence.

West Bank Palestinians have been fortunate to remain in territory under Israeli protection and administration since the 1967 war. They have been unwanted by the Hashemite Kingdom or other Arab nations—then and since. Little wonder that polls suggest a large majority of West Bank Palestinians would prefer life in Israel to being governed by the Palestinian Authority. They seek normal lives, jobs they can travel to and other basic human liberties. This would be possible with a Palestinian role in Jordan’s leadership that not only accepts the Jewish state’s legitimacy and mutual security responsibilities with Israel, as the Hashemite Kingdom already does, but also restores the Palestinians’ Jordanian citizenship and coordinates with Israel in civilly administering the West Bank.

There are Palestinians who would support such a move. Mudar Zahran, 45, is a Jordanian Palestinian who describes himself leader of the Jordanian Opposition Coalition. He lives in Britain under asylum, having been convicted in 2014 in absentia for “inciting hatred against the regime, sectarian strife and insulting the king as well as security services” to show for it.

Mr. Zahran told the European Parliament in September that what holds back the Palestinian people from enjoying Israel’s economic prosperity is the corruption of the Palestinian Authority and the Hashemite family’s exploitation of Jordan’s Palestinian majority. “Let our people go,” he implored, “both peoples, Jordanians and Israelis.” A true-state solution would let them end the futile refrain of resisting and defending and get on pursuing common interests as they have been for decades in Jerusalem’s Old City.

A Palestinian capital in Amman would have no use for the Palestinian Authority, much less its corrupt, illegitimate and unpopular leaders and their incitement. Would King Abdullah make room for more-representative governance in Jordan? Or might some forward-looking Palestinian emerge, with U.S., Israeli and Arab support, to advance his citizens’ economic prospects and human rights?

And what about Gaza? U.S. officials have said they see that as a separate problem and its resolution as a prerequisite for success. It seems logical that Palestinians there could also enjoy a confederacy option, with either Jordan or Egypt.

The true-state solution would be innovative and elegant—worthy of “Deal of the Century” designation. If it materializes, Barack Obama will ironically deserve some of the credit. His cultivation of Iran’s Ayatollahs stimulated the Arab states’ recent cooperation with Israel. And Donald Trump will have proved instrumental in helping Israel fully attain its potential as a “light unto nations,” for all its cultures and inhabitants—Christians, Druze, Muslims and Jews—and as a beacon of democracy, prosperity, peace and stability in the Middle East and beyond.

Mr. Arbess is CEO of Xerion Investments.

January 31, 2019 | 23 Comments »

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  1. Will Trump’s Mideast Deal Naturalize Palestinians in Arab Countries?

    While most of the attention, and speculation, has been focused on the concessions — principally the territorial ones — that the sides will purportedly be called upon to make, there is another element, just as significant, indeed, arguably more so, that is now being alluded to as comprising a central component of the “deal.”

    This is the naturalization of the Palestinian diaspora, numbering several million, resident for decades in various countries across the Arab world — particularly Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon.

    This development is an upshot of the Trump administration’s laudable approach to the anomalous UN entity, UNRWA (The United Nation Relief and Works). I have detailed elsewhere why UNRWA is such an egregious and injurious anomaly and what pernicious consequences result from this perverse situation. According, it will suffice here to point out that because of the unique (read “anomalous”) definition that UNRWA has for determining who is a refugee and mandate of how they are to be dealt with, the number of designated “refugees” has increased dramatically over time. This is in stark contradiction to all other groups of refugees in the world, who are under the auspices of another UN entity, the UN High Commission for Refugees (UNHCR) — and whose numbers typically decrease over time

    In this matter, the U.S. administration has — despite hitherto unexplained and inexplicable Israeli reluctance — exposed the fraudulent fiasco of UNRWA. As its erstwhile biggest benefactor, the U.S. has retracted all funding from the organization. But more importantly, it has focused a glaring spotlight on the myth of the “Palestinian refugees” and the spectacularly inflated number of such alleged “refugees” — which even include those who have long acquired citizenship of some other country!

    This salutary U.S. initiative has the potential to rescind the recognition of the bulk of the Palestinian diaspora as “refugees.” Thus, even if they continue to receive international aid to help ameliorate their humanitarian situation, this will not be as potential returnees to their alleged homeland in Israel.

    Clearly, once the Palestinian diaspora is stripped of its fraudulent “refugee” status, the door is then open to settling them in third party countries, other than their claimed homeland, and to their naturalization as citizens of these counties — as is the case with other refugee groups in the world.

    In this regard, the Trump administration has reportedly undertaken an important initiative — see here, here, and here. According to these reports, President Trump has informed several Arab countries that he plans to disclose a citizenship plan for Palestinian refugees living in those countries.

    Significantly, Palestinian sources told a London based news outlet: “Trump informed several Arab countries that the plan will include Jordan, Syria, and Lebanon.” According to these sources: “the big surprise [is] that these countries have already agreed to naturalize Palestinian refugees.” Moreover, it was reported that senior U.S. officials are expected to seriously raise an American initiative with several Arab countries — including stipulation of the tools to implement it, the number of refugees, the required expenses, and the logistics demanded from hosting countries for supervising the process of “naturalization of refugees.”

    It is difficult to overstate the significance of such an initiative!

    See whole article at Article by Martin Sherman

    https://www.newsmax.com/martinsherman/trump-palestinians-israel/2019/02/04/id/901200/?fbclid=IwAR1BZ3F63Dkhd80HPPrzhFTxDSEOBg0Ve9rfgg_Ov16Gw4vp-wGX9O0RaUg

  2. Actually very very good points there. I feel we all have to chose our ground. I am doing some work on campus sites in US and I know this prepares me for Ireland and Spain. This is what I focus on. It is a war situation. The antisemites are waging a war. Jews are involved almost in an amateur manner. The war situation must be recognized and there must be an agreed strategy. I amend what I said above. Do not dismiss the value of Trump. But at the same time decide independently what to do. This Jordan thing could go wrong too many variables. Maybe concentrate on the lefts in universities like Plaut did.

  3. @ Felix Quigley: Good point, Felix. What has America come to when a man whose only “crime” is being a long-time friend and political ally of the President of the United States can be subjected to a gestapo-style arrest? An unelected “deep state” elite class, with the courts and “law-enforcement” agencies as their principal enforcers, has taken power from elected officials in the United States, as they have done for years in Israel.

  4. @ Ted Belman:

    B…s…

    Trump cannot even stop his friend and loyal supporter for a generation being raided in a gestapo like operation in dead of night. Trump can no nothing and will do nothing against Islam the enemy of the Jews. What does that mean? It means Jews should not look to Trump for anything.

  5. According to this “plan” of Belman the new “Palestine” will be Gaza, Judea and Samaria (they remain as long as they wish) and Jordan. The poison of antisemitism will be extended. Some plan! Waste of time and even worse!

  6. @ Sebastien Zorn: Again , there is no independent confirmation from any source independent of Israpundit and JOC that these demonstrations have taken place on orders from the Zahran-JOC organization or its leaders. Also, no independent confirmation that this gentlemen really is the leader of a very large Bedouin clan or tribe other than his own assertion to that effect. As for Trump, he is under no obligation to back Mr. Zahran, and I have found nothing on the White House website or Trump’s personal Twitter account that suggests he is backing Mr. Zahran, or even that he has heard of him. I have found no evidence from any source independent of Israpundit that Mr. Trump commands the Jordanian army. Yes it receives American aid, but lots of countries accept American military aid without obeying orders from the UNited States.

    All of these beliefs derive exclusively from what Ted has posted on Israpundit, which seems to derive in turn from things Muhdar Zahran or his close associates have told Ted in private. There is no independent confirmation of any of this from other sources. And I think if Mr. Zahran’s claims were true, there would be some independent confirmation from sources like MEMRI or the Institute for Counter-Terrorism, which proved to be reliable and well-informed.

  7. @ Ted Belman: Do you have any confirmation of any of this, Ted, from anyone other than Zahran and the officers of his organization (JOC) with whom you have spoken? So far, I have found no confirmation for any of this in any English language newspapers or websites, whether published in the West or the Arab world, except for Israpundit.. I get the feeling that you simply accept on faith everything Mr. Zahran tells you as “gospel truth,” without seeking external confirmation.

    Speaking for myself, I have no faith in anyone except God.

  8. adamdalgliesh Said:

    The main accusation against Zahran is that he has no organization inside Jordan and no significant support there.

    This is fake news. I worked with Mudar about 5 years ago when he was organizing the Jordanian Opposition Coalition.. He drafted a 15 page platform that he sent to me for my input. I made a number of demands and he amended the platform. He then approached the leaders of 13 refugee camps and they all signed on . Subsequently he called me to tell me that the biggest Bedouin clan signed on. I posted the platform on Israpundit.

    When Mudar wants the refugees to protest he calls their leadership and tells them to take to the streets. And they do what he asks them to do.

  9. @ adamdalgliesh: Well, one of the speakers at the Jordan Option Conference was a major Bedouin leader and Zahran’s claim to have been able to stop riots or start demonstrations in Jordan appears to be correct from the news — despite the news blackout.

    Also, if his organization was so apparent that its details could be revealed in the news, how long do you think it would last?

    Lastly, does it matter? With or without an organization, Trump would have to install him and direct the army to obey him for this to work.

  10. @ adamdalgliesh: The main accusation against Zahran is that he has no organization inside Jordan and no significant support there. This is an allegation that is impossible, from the public record, to either prove or disprove. Jordan does not have complete freedom of the press, and so what people can write about oppositionist groups inside the country, directed to people outside, is extremely limited. Zahran can point to the fact that Jordanian newspapers have published several articles over the years denouncing him, and that he has been indicted in absentia for treason, as evidence that the Jordanian government considers him a threat.

  11. @ Bear Klein:
    I wouldn’t call it a trial balloon.. Instead I would deduce that the central players are in agreement on the Plan and are now introducing it and Mudar to the elite (WSJ and Oxford Union) as a prelude to a wider dissemination.

    Meanwhile Trump and Israel continue to squeeze the PA financially and politically. The latest is that they have been barred from activities in eastern Jerusalem. In addition, the Europeans observers have been thrown out of Hebron. So even the Europeans are having their wings clipped.

  12. No doubt that Arbess almost certainly followed Ted’s writings on the subject. A huge scoop for the project. It looks more and more hopeful. And all very lately and suddenly, as the wide-ranging threads and rumours are compressing into the carefully designed outcome

    Just one thing….. Arbess said that Britain “inherited” Palestine. This implies ownership, which was most certainly NOT the case. Britain inherited NOTHING. It was granted a “Trusteeship” to safely pilot the declared Jewish Homeland towards a viable State. ,Which it did NOT do. Instead, it turned completely Arabophile and hindered and opposed Jews at every turn . I directly blame Britain’s policy in Palestine, not only for blocking much Jewish progress towards a Jewish State, but for the slaughter of as many as millions of Jews whom, trying to escape the Nazis, they prevented from coming into Palestine, where their fellow Jews were trying to build a Jewish State in line with the Mandate terms.

  13. @ Ted Belman:
    So if your deduction or Mudar’s of what happen would mean that this could be a trial balloon (provided it is accurate).

    That your concepts are being kicked around perhaps is certainly interesting!

  14. @ adamdalgliesh:
    If you read this article by Arbess and my article Trump’s Deal of the Century, yo0u will see that Arbess simply followed my work almost paragraph by paragraph.. I hear that the administration were instrumental in getting this article written and published at the WSJ.. In addition Mudar just gave an 8 minute talk at Oxford University as a prelude to a debate that he took part in. I will be posting the video in a few days. Evidently the establishment in Britain was instrumental in getting Oxford to invite him.

    Recall that both Arbess and I referred to Mudar’s address to members of the European Union. recently held.

    Need I say more.

  15. So far, my searches of USG web sites, including the White House website, private nonprofit websites that monitor U.S. foreign policy, ssuch as the CFR website, and President Trump’s twitter account have failed to turn up any references to Mudar Zahran and the JOC. However, I don’t know how to conduct a truly exhaustive computer search of any of these sites, and I know from experience that using the very simple search techniques such as googling, which is all I know how to use, often miss things. If any of our readers have spotted a reference to Mudar Zahran by President Trump or some official in his administration, or a reference to him on a USG web site, please let me know. I have also found few references to Jordan of any kind on these web sites and on Trump’s Twitter account. A bit mysterious.

  16. There is no question that enlisting Daniel J. Arbess as a supporter is a major political coup for Zahran. He is a major player in the petrochemical industry and has been for decades. He is also described as a lifetime member of the Council on Foreign Relations and a member of the Atlantic Council as well. This gives him a lot of political clout. What I don’t know about him at this point is whether he is also a donor to Trump’s campaigns. If so, he could give Zahran an in in the Trump administration.

  17. Wikipedia’s article about Zahran. Some of it is accurate. Some of it consists of very dubious accusations. But bear in mind–only an influential politician makes influential and well known enemies and becomes a magnet for accusations in the press. This does not necessarily discredit Zahran. Only demonstrates that he is a heavy hitter, at least in Israeli politics.

    Mudar Zahran

    Mudar Zahran in Jerusalem
    Mudar Zahran (born 19 April 1973) is a Jordanian Palestinian writer who has been described as the secretary general of the Jordanian Opposition Coalition.[nb 1] In 2010, Zahran moved to live in the United Kingdom. In 2014, Zahran was indicted by a Jordanian military court on four separate charges against him.

    Biography

    Born on 19 April 1973, Zahran is a Jordanian national opposition writer of Palestinian origin.[1] Zahran’s parents were born in Jerusalem, and moved to Jordan during the period when the West Bank was under Jordanian control (1950–1967).[1] He has two master’s degrees and was reported in 2012 to have been completing a Ph.D in finance.[1] Before seeking asylum in the UK, Zahran was serving as assistant policy coordinator at the United States Embassy in Amman.[1]

    In 2010, Zahran wrote an article in The Jerusalem Post that described Jordan as an apartheid state in its treatment against Palestinians;[2] he also claims the Jordanian state resembles that of former apartheid South Africa.[3] The article provoked an uproar of criticism by both Jordanians and Palestinians alike.[4] Shortly after the article was published, Mudar sent a letter of apology through Ammon News after his father Adnan Zahran threatened to cut off relations if the former wrote anything else and considered Mudar’s continuation of writing as “ingratitude” on a personal level against his father, and as an “ungratefulness” towards Jordan.[2] The father described Mudar’s writings as far from truth and reality.[2] Mudar vowed through the letter dating 26 July 2010 to “not publish any articles or reports in any language related to Jordanian domestic or foreign affairs.”[2] He continued: “This decision comes because of I have sensed clearly that my articles are being misunderstood and exploited by some against my precious country whether by ill intention or misunderstanding.”[2]

    After leaving Amman to live in the United Kingdom in 2010, a local gazette published an announcement on 31 May 2011 by Amman’s Magistrates’ court calling on Mudar to present himself at court for a lawsuit filed against him by the HSBC bank branch in Jordan.[5] The announcement said he was called for failing to repay the bank amounts totaling up to 47,000 Jordanian dinars (about US$66,000).[6]

    He told The Times of Israel in 2012, “The King (Abdullah II) is not going to survive, it’s out of the question… I give him until next summer, more or less. And even if I am wrong, I can’t see the King making it to 2014 by any stretch.”[1]

    In December 2013, Zahran was charged by a Jordanian military court and scheduled to be tried in absentia for four separate charges against him: “inciting hatred against the regime, sectarian strife and insulting the king as well as security services.”[7] According to the Jordanian newspaper Al Ghad, “Zahran’s social networking sites carry articles and phrases offensive to Jordan and his own people (Palestinians).”[8] In February 2014, The Jerusalem Post reported that Zahran had been convicted and sentenced in absentia to jail with hard labor.[9] The reports concerning the length of his sentence differed, with AFP reporting earlier that he might face up to 15 years.[9]

    According to The Jerusalem Post’s deputy managing editor Caroline Glick, she was contacted by three of her acquaintances in October 2017 who discouraged her from writing in support of Zahran. “They did not coordinate their calls. Each one told me independently that Zahran is not a credible source. He is not a leader of an opposition movement. He doesn’t have an organization. He has multiple websites, they said…” Her sentiment was shared by other Israeli right-wing writers and publications including the Elder of Ziyon blog.[10]

    Personal life

    Zahran lives in London and has two daughters and a son.[1]

    Notes

    References

    External links

    Zahran’s articles in The Jerusalem Post

  18. The article from Mideasteye identified one of the protest leaders as Fakher Daas. I looked him up and found he has a twitter page. He tweets only in Arabic, which I can’t read. However, Microsoft provides rough translations of parts of some of them. Unfortunately.the translations of some of Daas’s tweets raise concerns. In one, he refers to Israel as ” the Zionist entity.” In another he tweets this:

    More
    ???? ???? ?????? ??????? ???????. ?? ??? ????? ???? ??? ????? ?????? ????????? ..
    ?? ??? ???? ???? ??? ????? ?????? .. ?? ??????. #???_????
    Translated from Arabic by Microsoft
    Start my New year with an optimistic tweet. Every year and you are closer to fulfilling your hopes and ambitions.
    Every year we are closer to freeing Palestine. All of Palestine. #

    Raises concerns that the demonstrators may be anti-Israel as well as anti-Abdullah.

  19. @ adamdalgliesh:
    As it turns out, Arbess and I have a mutual friend who is a very strong Zionist and activist in Israel. He got Arbess to look into the Jordan Option and referred him to Israpundit. Arbess obviously studied what I had written and bought in to it. He them submitted his article to WSJ. WSJ demanded changes. After a few revisions, they published it.

    Yes, we are very excited they did so. The Jordan Option is now mainstream.

  20. Some important background information about Daniel J. Arbess, the author of this article, from Wikipedia.

    He is clearly an influential ‘heavy hitter” in the financial world and in financial journalism. Getting his support is certainly an important coup for the JOC.

    What I don’t know at this point is what influence he has with the Trump administration and within Jordan.

    Daniel Arbess
    From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia
    Jump to navigationJump to search
    Daniel J. Arbess
    Born January 23, 1961 (age 57)
    Montreal, Quebec, Canada
    Nationality American
    Alma mater Osgoode Hall Law School
    Harvard Law School
    Organization Xerion Investments, Xerion.io
    Title Founder, CEO
    Daniel J. Arbess is a professional investor, social entrepreneur, policy analyst and lawyer who focuses on macroeconomic, geopolitical and major industrial developments.[1] He founded investment firms Xerion Capital Partners and Xerion Investments and co-founded Stratton Investments, Taiga Capital Partners and Triton Partners.[1]

    Contents
    1 Early life and education
    2 Career
    3 Boards
    4 Published works
    5 Bibliography
    6 External links
    7 References
    Early life and education[edit]
    Arbess was born on January 23, 1961, in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, and is a United States citizen.[citation needed] He received an LLB from Osgoode Hall Law School in Toronto, and an LLM from the Harvard Law School.[2] He was an affiliate at the John F. Kennedy School of Government and a fellow at the New York-based World Policy Institute.[3][1]

    Career[edit]
    Arbess joined the international law firm White & Case in 1987, after having been in the Kremlin as a foreign observer when Mikhail Gorbachev unveiled the policies of Glasnost and Perstroika. He was the first American lawyer to re-locate to Eastern Europe, moving to Prague in early 1990.[4][5] He advised the Czechoslovak (later Czech) government on its economic transition, principally involving privatization policy and transactions.[6] In 1992, at 31, he became the youngest partner in the history of White & Case and Head of its Global Privatization Group.[7] Arbess advised the Czechoslovak government on the restructuring of its auto industry, including the 1991 sale of Skoda Auto to Volkswagen AG for $6.4 billion, and the restructuring and sale of its downstream petrochemicals industry to a consortium of international oil majors.[8][9] Arbess’ privatization advisory work extended to Russia, Vietnam, Israel and other countries.

    Arbess has been a principal investor since 1995, first pursuing restructuring-oriented private transactions in Europe.[10] Arbess is a co-founder of investment firms Taiga Capital, Stratton Investments and Triton Partners and founder, CEO and CIO of Xerion Investments.[1] He launched Xerion Investments and Xerion Capital Partners in 2003 with the backing of S. Donald Sussman and his Paloma Partners. Arbess sold Xerion Capital Partners to Perella Weinberg Partners and became a partner of that firm in 2007.[11] He was CIO of the $3.25 Billion Xerion Hedge Funds from 2003 to 2014. Xerion’s noted investments captured the devolution of Communism and phases of China’s economic reforms;[12] the U.S. housing and financial crisis;[13] monetary policy reflation of financial markets after the 2008 crisis;[14] and the restructuring of the U.S. airline and auto industries.[15][16] He returned investor capital in late 2014 after Xerion incurred and substantially recovered losses in 2011, and resigned from Perella Weinberg Partners in 2015 to pursue private interests and purposeful investment opportunities through Xerion Investments and its affiliates.[17]

    Boards[edit]
    Arbess is a lifetime member of the Council on Foreign Relations, is a member of the Atlantic Council and advises the Vaclav Havel Library Foundation. He is also a co-Founder of No Labels, a U.S. political organization promoting collaboration across the political spectrum.[18]

    Published works[edit]
    Daniel J. Arbess (October 28, 2018). “Investors, Look Up From Your Algorithms”. The Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (September 14, 2018). “Get Ready for the Next Financial Crisis”. The Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (August 15, 2018). “Advice for a Palestinian Icon”. The Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (June 5, 2018). “Is Trump Following a Grand Mideast Strategy?”. The Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (February 28, 2018). “The Economy Looks Good Today, But the Next Debt Crisis Is on the Horizon”. fortune.com. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (January 30, 2018). “The Crypto Community is Splitting in Two–And That’s a Good Thing”. fortune.com. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (April 13, 2017). “On Passover, Think About Liberating The State Of Israel”. The Jerusalem Post.
    Daniel J. Arbess (November 22, 2016). “How Donald Trump Can Bring Jobs Back To America”. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (August 16, 2016). “An Historic Moment: How Israel Can Bolster Its Standing and Strengthen Alliances l”. The Algemeiner Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (June 15, 2016). “This Is The Future of Artificial Intelligence”. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (May 5, 2016). “Leader’s, Get To Work Already On America’s Economic Challenges”. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (February 19, 2016). “The Young and the Economically Clueless”. The Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess, Karl Theodor ZuGuttenberg (February 12, 2016). “Jihad & a Geopolitical G-X: Winning the War and Building the Peace”. Center for Strategic and International Studies.
    Daniel J. Arbess (November 10, 2015). “It Was Duty, Not a Poisoned Chalice”. The Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660.
    Daniel J. Arbess (November 8, 2015). “The Battle for the 2016 Middle Ground”. The Wall Street Journal. ISSN 0099-9660.
    Daniel J. Arbess (October 19, 2015). “The Problems with U.S. leaders in the era of social media/”. Fortune.
    Daniel J. Arbess (May 13, 2013). “Bring on the Helicopter Money” (PDF). Wall Street Journal.
    Daniel J. Arbess (October 11, 2011). “China Record Boosts Confidence This Is No Bubble”. Bloomberg Businessweek.
    Daniel J. Arbess (August 12, 2011). “How To Win In A New Economic Framework”. Institutional Investor.
    Daniel J. Arbess (June 15, 2010). “Managing the Debt Crisis Means Rebalancing Global Consumption and Leverage”. Institutional Investor.|
    Daniel J. Arbess & James Varanese (Spring 1993). “On the frontier: What your lawyer brings to privatization in Eastern and Central Europe”. The Columbia Journal of World Business.
    Daniel J. Arbess (January 21, 1992). “Prague Has to Drive Fast in Economic Mud”. New York Times.|
    Daniel J. Arbess & Marlene Greenberg (March 13, 1989). “Moscow’s Puzzle is How to Motivate the Soviet Worker”. LA Times.|
    Daniel J. Arbess (October 1985). “Star Wars and Outer Space Law”. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: 19-22.
    Daniel J. Arbess and William Epstein (May 1985). “Disarmament role for the United Nations”. Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists: 26-28.
    Daniel J. Arbess (1984). “The International Law of Armed Conflict in Light of Contemporary Deterrence Strategies: Empty Promise or Meaningful Restraint?” (PDF). McGill Law Journal: 89-142.
    Daniel J. Arbess (1983). “Limitations on Legislative Override under the Canadian Charter of Rights and Freedoms: A Matter of Balancing Values”. Osgoode Hall Law Journal: 1/83.
    Bibliography[edit]
    Daniel J. Arbess and Hal Harvey (June 1, 1992). Alternative Security: Beyond the Controlled Arms Race. Farrar Straus & Giroux. ISBN 978-0-8090-8051-9.
    Daniel J. Arbess (1987). Reykjavik and Beyond: The Democrats and Strategic Policy. Harvard Law School.
    Arbess, Daniel J.; Moravcsik, Andrew M. (1988). “Lengthening the Fuse: No-First-Use and Disengagement”. In Nye, Jr., Joseph S. Fateful Visions: Avoiding Nuclear Catastrophe. Cambridge: Ballinger. pp. 68-91. ISBN 0887302726.
    External links[edit]
    “Stocks Today Are Note Expensive Says Xerion Investments’ Arbess”. CNBC. October 23, 2018.
    “Concerns About Rates and Tax Reform Are Overblown Xerion CEO Arbess Says”. Bloomberg. October 16, 2018.
    “China Has Clearly Telegraphed How Their Economy is Changing Says Pro”. CNBC. September 4, 2018.
    “Why Xerion Investments CEO Says Fed Dot Plots Don’t Matter”. Bloomberg. March 2, 2018.
    “We’re Living In A Disinflationary World Despite Appearance of Abundance Says Xerion CEO”. Bloomberg. March 2, 2018.
    “Kushner Loses Top Security Clearance”. i24. February 28, 2018.
    “Xerion’s Arbess Says Market Volatility Is More Like 2011, Not 2008”. Bloomberg. February 6, 2018.
    “Xerion’s Arbess Sees Fiscal Policy as a Very Serious Risk”. Bloomberg. February 6, 2018.
    “Xerion CEO Arbess on U.S. Economy, Corporate Profits”. Bloomberg. September 5, 2017.
    “Dan Arbess Says Take a Step Back, Things Aren’t That Bad”. CNBC. July 14, 2017.
    “2014 is a Stock Picker’s Market: Fund Pro Arbess”. CNBC. January 22, 2014.
    “Xerion Founder’s Biggest Worry About the Fed”. Bloomberg. March 6, 2017.
    “Does China Have a Communications Problem”. Bloomberg. January 7, 2016.
    “Turkey Coup: U.S. Must Lead From the Front”. The Wall Street Journal. July 19, 2016.
    “Huntsman, Arbess on Bipartisan ‘No Labels’ Group”. Bloomberg. April 30, 2015.
    “Xerion’s Arbess: Both Major Parties Are Fractured”. Bloomberg. November 7, 2016.
    “When Past Performance Is a Guide: Using History to Make Sense of the Post-Crisis World”. Milken Institute. May 1, 2013.
    “How to Invest Amid China’s Slowdown”. Bloomberg. September 16, 2015.
    References[edit]
    ^ Jump up to: a b c d “Daniel J. Arbess”. Bloomberg L.P. August 5, 2017.
    ^ “Daniel Arbess”. Milken Institute. May 1, 2013.
    ^ “White & Case’s Man in Prague”. The American Lawyer. March 1991.
    ^ Karen Dillon (June 1992). “Infiltrating the East” (PDF). The American Lawyer.
    ^ Michael Weinstein (November 13, 1991). “Editorial Notebook: Not a Yawn, Real Help”. New York Times.
    ^ William Echikson and Ricardo Sookdeo (October 17, 1994). “Young Americans Go Abroad to Strike it Rich: From Budapest to Beijing, record numbers of ambitious entrepreneurs and pioneering professionals are staking claims–and finding rich rewards”. Fortune.
    ^ Nick Paumgarten (March 5, 2012). “Magic Mountain”. The New Yorker.
    ^ Irwin Speizer (August 25, 2009). “Dan Arbess: to Chrysler from Skoda”. Institutional Investor.
    ^ “Daniel Arbess”. The Vaclav Havel Library Foundation. Retrieved August 2, 2017.
    ^ Michael M. Weinstein (January 11, 1998). “The Capitalist; Giving Russia The Business”. The New York Times.
    ^ Michael J. de la Merced (October 2, 2007). “Perella Weinberg acquires Xerion Capital amid credit market turmoil”. The New York Times.
    ^ “China: Bubble or Bonanza”. Market Folly. September 14, 2011.
    ^ “Wall Street’s Bad Dream”. The Economist. September 18, 2008.
    ^ “Dan Arbess Ira Sohn Presentation: Investing as the Foundation Shifts”. Market Folly. June 24, 2010.
    ^ Zachary Kouwe (May 30, 2009). “The Lenders Obama Decided to Blame for Chrysler’s Fall”. New York Times.
    ^ Eric Uhlfelder (October 23, 2010). “From East to West”. Barron’s.
    ^ “MOVES-Hedge fund manager Arbess leaves Perella Weinberg”. Reuters. July 22, 2015.
    ^ “Jihad & a Geopolitical G-X: Winning the War and Building the Peace”. Center for Strategic and International Studies. February 12, 2016.
    Categories: 1961 birthsAmerican investment bankersHarvard Law School alumniLiving peopleOsgoode Hall Law School alumniPeople from Montreal