There are many reasons to expect a war this summer.

By Ted Belman

Sooner or later Israel will have to bomb Iran. Better sooner, because Iran is quickly approaching Israel’s red line. Since intelligence is never precise, why wait til the last minute?

Summer and early fall is the best time to attack because that’s when the sky is the clearest.

Israel is committed to destroying the S-300 missile defense systems should it arrive in Syria.

Close to 5,000 Hezbollah troops, if not more, are now fighting in Syria. Thus they are concentrated which makes their destruction easier. Also they are no longer guarding with full force, their missiles stored in Lebanon. Israel could call for a mobilization due to perceived threats from Syria. Then it could mount an all out ground attack on the stockpile of missiles in Lebanon. The Sunnis in Lebanon including the Lebanese government will probably stand aside and let Israel solve their Hezbollah problem. Israel could then go east and destroy the Hezbollah troops.

Hamas would stay quiet because it is in Qatar’s interest and Turkey’s interest that they do so. Qatar and Turkey would love to see Israel destroy Hezbollah because that would aid their efforts to bring down Assad. Obama would like that too. It would take the pressure off the US to act.

It would be nice to get Hezbollah out of the way for when Israel attacks Iran. Saudi Arabia and Qatar would be supportive.

May 31, 2013 | 2 Comments »

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  1. Close to 5,000 Hezbollah troops, if not more, are now fighting in Syria.

    Hezbullah has split its forces as did hitler when he attacked russia. the sunnis in syria and lebanon can finish off hezbullah with some help from israel. Israel needs to destroy supplies, links,communications, access between the split hezbullah and the sunni wolves can finish them off. there was an expectation that the syrian jihadis would make more of previous israeli strikes but they are weak.