Trump now a full 2 points ahead of HC.

L.A. TIMES

More good news from the LA Times daily tracking poll (Aug 21):

Trump: 45.0% (+0.8)

Clinton: 43.0% (-0.6)

Weekly comparison of demographic margins between Aug. 14 vs. Aug. 21

Demographic———-Aug 14————-Aug 21——–Net Change

18-34——————HC+13.8———–DT+0.8——–DT+14.6

35-64——————HC+1.8———–=DT+1.0——-DT+2.8

65+——————–DT+1.0————-DT+5.3——-DT+4.3

High School——–DT+2.6————-DT+13.9——DT+11.3

Some college——-DT+4.5————DT+8.0——–DT+3.5

College degree—–HC+19.6———-HC+15.0—–DT+4.6

White—————–DT+15.9———-DT+20.1——DT+4.2

A/A——————–HC+82.3———-HC+70.1—–DT+12.2

Hispanic ————HC+39.1———-HC+15.5—–DT+23.6

<$35K—————-HC+18.7———HC+14.8——DT+3.9

$35K–$75K——–DT+10.0———-DT+16.8——DT+6.8

>$75K—————HC+7.9————DT+0.6——-DT+8.5

Female————–HC+12.9———-DT+10.4—–DT+2.5

Male—————–DT+4.2————DT+14.8——DT+10.6

—————————————————————————————

Aug 14:

HC: 46.3

DT: 41.6

DT was 4.7 points in arrears 1 week ago. He gained 6.7 points over a span of a week.

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Finally much of Trump increase in support came from A/A and Hispanics:

How many Dems are jumping off the ledge today?

August 21, 2016 | 14 Comments »

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14 Comments / 14 Comments

  4. Trump recognizes he is losing so he starting to makes changes just now.

    Trump pitches softer line on immigration: ‘fair and humane

    Donald Trump’s vow to deport 11 million undocumented immigrants if elected president appeared to be undergoing a shift Sunday as the struggling Republican candidate reaches out to minorities alienated by his harsh rhetoric.

    The New York real estate magnate intends to lay out specifics of his immigration plan over the next few weeks, Trump’s new campaign manager Kellyanne Conway said.

    http://www.breitbart.com/news/trump-pitches-softer-line-on-immigration-fair-and-humane/

  5. @ woolymammoth:
    I am for Trump you are attacking the messenger. I always have been for anyone but Hillary. I am telling what the polls say as of this point in time plus 538.com the best analyzer of polls and most successful forecaster. You may not agree or like the message that is certainly your right.

  8. American journalism is collapsing before our eyes

    The largest broadcast networks — CBS, NBC and ABC — and major newspapers like The New York Times and Washington Post have jettisoned all pretense of fair play. Their fierce determination to keep Trump out of the Oval Office has no precedent.

    http://nypost.com/2016/08/21/american-journalism-is-collapsing-before-our-eyes/

    What the author left out is that the establishment and conservative GOP are on the same page as hillary and the dem party on the main issues: trade and immigration

  10. Bear Klein Said:

    Though not impossible yet for him to win Trump is seriously behind in the electoral college polls and forecasts with all the major pollsters.

    I agree but for different reasons… do those pollsters have anti trump ties… look at the names and tell me if they are GOP or DEM establishment… with the key word being establishment.
    I think that it is almost impossible for Trump to win because the entire political and media machines of both parties are trying to destroy him. I dont think he has the experience and resource to counter such a massive attack. The media alone could destroy him with lies and spin… but the nail in the coffin is the GOP. Unless they can get him to turn around on the TPP they must destroy him and I have not one shred of doubt that hillary, like obama, will usher it through for them regardless of her “apparent shift”. That issue is too crucial for them to allow any risk with Trump. Rigged machines, rigged media, rigged politicos, rigged narratives…. its too much for anyone beat. if by some miracle he got in I expect he will change the TPP approach or be assasinated.

  12. RCP poll average including above cited poll is not so rosy for Trump. He is actually doing much worse in the state polls as he is behind in all the swing states in all the polls. Though not impossible yet for him to win Trump is seriously behind in the electoral college polls and forecasts with all the major pollsters.

    Polling Data
    Poll Date Sample MoE
    Clinton (D)

    Trump (R)
    Spread
    RCP Average 8/1 – 8/20 — — 46.8 41.5 Clinton +5.3
    LA Times/USC 8/14 – 8/20 2551 LV — 43 45 Trump +2
    Reuters/Ipsos 8/13 – 8/17 1049 LV 3.5 41 36 Clinton +5
    Economist/YouGov 8/14 – 8/16 911 RV 4.2 47 41 Clinton +6
    NBC News/SM 8/8 – 8/14 15179 RV 1.2 50 41 Clinton +9
    Bloomberg 8/5 – 8/8 749 LV 3.6 50 44 Clinton +6
    ABC News/Wash Post 8/1 – 8/4 815 RV 4.0 50 42 Clinton +8

  13. although I support Trump I put little faith in these polls…. in my view many are bought…. they are able to maintain credibility by adjusting it to reality when close to actual elections. We usually see a sudden improvement by the one who was not favored.