Trump on the rise

technopeasant • 2 hours ago

Rasmussen daily tracking poll:
Trump: 43% (+1)
Clinton: 40% (-2)
Johnson: 6% (-1)
Stein: 3% (+2)
Others: 3% (0)
Und: 6% (0)
———————————————————————————————
DT: +3 (was tied at 42-42 yesterday)
—————————————————————————————–
Independents: DC +6
Males: DT+ 14
Females: HC+ 8
Trump commands 82% of GOP members and 14% of Dems while HC has 77% of Dems & 9% of GOP support.

technopeasant • 3 hours ago
IBD/TIPP daily tracking poll:
Trump: 41.2% (-0.1)
Clinton: 40.2% (+0.2)
Johnson: 7.3% (-0.3)
Stein: 4.8% (-0.7)
Other: 1.7% (+0.6)
Und: 4.8% (+0.3)
————————————————————————————-
DT+ 1.0 (was DT+ 1.3 yesterday)

Demographic breakdown:
———————–T————C————-J——————–
Males————–47———–31————9—————-
Females———–36———-48————6—————–
Whites————-48———-35————8—————-
White men——–54———-25———–9—————
White women—-43———-43———–7—————
Black—————16———-68———–6————–
Hispanic———–25———-43———-16————-
High school——-59———-25———-6————-
Some college—-44———-35———-7————
College degree–34———-47———-8———–
Dems————–7———–77———–7———-
GOP————–83———–6————5———
Indies————43———-31———–10——–
Suburbs———42———-36————9——-
——————————————————————-
In 2012 margin of victory was compared to 2016:
————————2016————2012——–Diff
Males—————DT+16———MR+7——DT+9
Females———–HC+12———BO+11—-HC+1
Whites————-DT+13———MR+20—-DT(-7)
White men——-DT+29———-MR+27—DT+2
White women—–Tie————-MR+14—DT(-14)
Black————-HC+52———-BO+87—HC(-35)
Hispanics——–HC+18———BO+44—HC(-26)
High school—–DT+34———MR+3—–DT+31
Some college–DT+9———–MR+1—–DT+8
College degree-HC+13——–BO+4—–HC+9
Indies————DT+12———MR+5—–DT+7
Suburbs——–DT+6———–BO+2—–DT+8

—————————————————————–

Notice the difference of how Obama performed in 2012 among Blacks & Hispanics and how Hillary is performing.

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