A systematic blunder

Can Israel afford to defy U.S. presidential pressure to concede land, which is historically and militarily critical to the future of the Jewish state?

U.S. presidential pressure has been an integral part of the U.S.-Israel saga since 1948. However, in retrospect, U.S. pressure on Israel has been based on erroneous assessments of the Middle East, failing to advance the cause of peace, as evidenced by the only two peace accords (between Israel and Egypt and Jordan), which were the result of direct Israeli initiatives, not U.S. pressure.

In fact, U.S. pressure on Israel has forced Arabs to outflank the U.S. from the maximalist side, causing further setbacks to the peace process.

Furthermore, the outbursts of U.S. pressure over the last 69 years have resembled bumps on the road of staggering, mutually beneficial, defense, commercial, technological, scientific and agricultural U.S.-Israel cooperation, which has exceeded expectations.

From 1948, U.S. presidential pressure on Israel — in defiance of the majority of Americans and their representatives in Congress — has reflected the worldview of the State Department bureaucracy, which has systematically misread the Middle East.

For example, in 1948, “the wise men” at the State Department opposed the establishment of the Jewish state, contending that Israel would be an ally of the USSR and would be crushed by the Arabs. In 1979, the State Department stabbed the back of the pro-U.S. Shah of Iran and courted the anti-U.S. ayatollahs. In 1990, it considered Iraqi President Saddam Hussein a potential ally, unintentionally providing a green light for his invasion of Kuwait. In 1993, Foggy Bottom embraced Palestine Liberation Organization Chairman Yasser Arafat as a messenger of peace worthy of the 1994 Nobel Peace Prize. In 2011, it assumed that the Arab Spring would be a flowering of democracy. It turned its back on Egypt’s pro-U.S. President Hosni Mubarak, welcomed the rise to power of the anti-U.S. Muslim Brotherhood, and in 2014, it turned a cold-shoulder toward the current pro-U.S. Egyptian leader, President Abdel-Fattah el-Sissi.

If Prime Minister David Ben-Gurion had succumbed to U.S. pressure during 1948-1949, he would not have established the Jewish state, nor asserted Israeli sovereignty over west Jerusalem and significant parts of the Galilee and the Negev, laying the foundations for the most effective U.S. beachhead in the Middle East.

If Prime Minister Levi Eshkol had submitted to the 1967 U.S. pressure, he would not have pre-empted the Soviet-backed Egypt-Syria-Jordan military assault, intended to annihilate Israel, as a prelude to pro-Soviet Egyptian hegemony in the Arab world, toppling the pro-U.S. Arab oil-producing regimes, and devastating the U.S. national security and economy. Nor would Eshkol have reunited Jerusalem, which has allowed unprecedented access to all holy sites in the city.

The defiance of U.S. pressure since 1967 transformed Israel from a supplicant to a strategic partner of the U.S., bolstering the vulnerable pro-U.S. Arab regimes, sparing the U.S. the mega-billion-dollar requirement to expand its naval, air and land military ?presence in the Middle East, Indian Ocean, Red Sea and Mediterranean Sea.

If Prime Minister Menachem Begin had surrendered to U.S. pressure in 1981, he would not have ordered the destruction of Iraq’s nuclear reactor, which spared the U.S. a traumatic 1990-1991 confrontation with a nuclear Saddam.

If Prime Minister Yitzhak Shamir had acceded to U.S. pressure, retreating from the mountain ridges of Judea and Samaria, which dominate the 9-15-mile-wide pre-1967 Israel, he would have transformed Israel from a national security producer, extending the strategic hand of the U.S., into a national security consumer, a burden on the U.S.

If Prime Minister Ehud Olmert had abided by U.S. pressure, he would not have devastated the Syrian nuclear reactor in 2007, which would plague today’s global order with a nuclear Bashar Assad or nuclear ISIS.

If Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu had succumbed to U.S. pressure, allowing the establishment of a Palestinian state in the mountain ridges of Judea and Samaria, he would have triggered an anti-U.S. chain reaction in the region. This is evidenced by the Palestinian track record, and would have led to the toppling of the vulnerable Hashemite regime in Jordan, causing a ripple effect which would have destabilized all pro-U.S. regimes in the neighboring Arabian Peninsula, upgrading the geo-strategic profile of Iran, Russia, China and possibly North Korea in the Middle East.

U.S. presidential pressure on Israel has been an inherent, unavoidable leadership litmus test for Israeli prime ministers, whose challenge has been to overcome — not avoid — pressure, while adhering to core ideology and strategic goals. True leaders do not sacrifice deeply rooted ideology and long-term national security on the altar of short-term, tenuous convenience (e.g., relief from U.S. pressure). Leaders are aware that steadfastness and defiance of pressure may injure frivolous popularity but enhance durable respect. Fending off — not hesitating and retreating in the face of — pressure has advanced Israel’s posture of deterrence, thus moderating Arab aggression.

In the battle against Iran’s ayatollahs and other Islamic terrorists, and in the attempt to bolster pro-U.S. Arab regimes, the U.S. prefers a defiant, not a vacillating, Israel as an ally.

The assumption that Israeli prime ministers must bow to U.S. pressure and commit to dramatic concessions, lest they severely undermine U.S.-Israel relations, ignores precedents set by former Israeli prime ministers and constitutes a poor excuse for weak leaders.

At the end of a 1991 meeting between Shamir and Senate Majority and Minority Leaders George Mitchell and Bob Dole, which was replete with disagreements, the latter said: “Mr. Prime Minister, do you know why the majority leader and I absolutely disagree with you, but immensely respect you?  Because you’re tough!”

Ignoring Middle East reality, U.S. pressure on Israel has focused on the Palestinian issue, which has never been the crux of the Arab-Israeli conflict, a core cause of regional turbulence and anti-U.S. Islamic terrorism, or a crown jewel of Arab policy-making. Hence, the Israel-Jordan peace treaty and the recent enhancement of Israel-Saudi relations are totally independent of the Palestinian issue.

Will U.S. President Donald Trump learn from past mistakes, by avoiding self-defeating pressure on Washington’s most reliable, effective, democratic and unconditional ally?

Will Netanyahu follow in the footsteps of Ben-Gurion, Eshkol, Golda Meir, Begin and Shamir, who generally defied U.S. pressure — while expanding the Jewish presence in Jerusalem and the mountain ridges of Judea and Samaria — and therefore earned esteem, catapulting the national security of Israel and its strategic ties with the U.S. to unprecedented heights?

Yoram Ettinger is a former ambassador and head of Second Thought: A U.S.-Israel Initiative.

June 26, 2017 | 11 Comments » | 660 views

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11 Comments / 11 Comments

  1. The ambassador speaks “truth to power.” I voted for Trump reluctantly because it was either him or Clinton but this was what I was afraid of. I voted for Cruz in the Republican Primary because of Caroline Glick’s endorsement and by the time of the NY Primaries, there were only two candidates left. But, I became a Republican in 2015 to vote for Mike Huckabee. In NY, changes to party affiliation only take effect after the next November election.

    This is why he was and is my candidate. I hope he runs again.

    https://www.nytimes.com/politics/first-draft/2015/08/19/in-jerusalem-mike-huckabee-calls-west-bank-part-of-israel/

    He declare his candidacy in August 2015

  2. @ Sebastien Zorn
    The “ambassador” was a career, government bureaucrat. Such individuals do not “speak truth to power”. They *enforce* the structure and edicts laid down by the (Establishment) powers.

    Huckabee sucked as a governor.
    He sucks as a television commentator.
    He sucks as a guitarist.

    He would suck as a dog catcher.

    But I suppose that he could make a good president.

  3. “Yoram Ettinger is a consultant on US-Israel relations as well as the Chairman of Special Projects at the Ariel Center for Policy Research. Formerly the Minister for Congressional Affairs to Israel’s Embassy in Washington, DC, Ettinger also served as Consul General of Israel to the Southwestern US. He is a former editor of Contemporary Mideast Backgrounder, and is the author of the Jerusalem Cloakroom series of reports which is featured on the ACPR website.”

    http://www.acpr.org.il/people/yettinger.html

    http://www.theettingerreport.com/

  4. “Huckabee received widespread praise for his state’s rapid response to Hurricane Katrina. In 2005, Time named him one of the five best governors in the U.S., writing “Huckabee has approached his state’s troubles with energy and innovation” and referred to him as “a mature, consensus-building conservative who earns praise from fellow Evangelicals and, occasionally, liberal Democrats.”[37] Governing magazine likewise honored Huckabee as one of its 2005 Public Officials of the Year.[38]
    By the end of his term, Huckabee held the third-longest tenure of any Arkansas governor. Only Democrats Orval Faubus, who served six consecutive two-year terms (1955–1967), and Bill Clinton, who served 11 years, 11 months (1979–1981; 1983–1992), had longer tenures.
    During his time as a governor Huckabee supported a net tax increase of $505 million.[39] According to columnist Margaret Carlson, that money was used to improve roads, health care, and schools in the state.[40]”

    https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mike_Huckabee

  5. @ Sebastien Zorn

    According to USGovernmentSpending.com (imperfect but still good figures), during the period when Huckster was governor, state spending basically DOUBLED.

    A true conservative.

  6. So what? Was it wasted? You don’t even want to repair roads? I know you think poor people should be left to their own devices when it comes to education or health care. Or anything else. You said you can afford private school for your kids but you are poor? Bull. No such thing. So far, that’s all you’ve said about yourself and I don’t believe you.

    He was lauded as one of the five best governors in the country for his handling of Hurricane Katrina, among other things. In his place, I’m sure you’d just tell people to just pull them selves up by their bootstraps and lump it.

  7. @ Sebastien Zorn

    At least 95% of government spending is WASTE. Yep, including roads and bridges (public welfare for contractors and union tradesmen).

    2X the government requires 2X the government’s oxygen supply (taxes). All that buys is BIGGER government.

    But how would you know? Why should you care?

    You were a public sector type (tax leech).

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