By Ted Belman
The NYT published an Op-Ed by Gadi Taub titled In Israel, Settling for Less
He warns the the religious settlers numbering 130,000 out of 500,000 settlers by their “actions could spell the end of the Israel we have known.” [..]
The consequences of these differences are huge. If the settlers achieve their manifest goal — making Israel’s hold on the territories permanent — it will mean the de facto annexation of a huge Arab population and will force a decision about their status. In Israel proper, the Arab minority represents about a fifth of its 7.2 million citizens, and they have full legal equality. But between the Mediterranean and the Jordan River, there are roughly equal numbers of Arabs and Jews today.
His argument is only as good as his facts and they are lousy. The most recent and authoratative demographic study reports that in this territory the Jews would constitute 60% of the combined population.
Even if Israel annexed only the West Bank, it would more than double its Arab population. With birthrates in the territories far exceeding those of Arabs and Jews within Israel, Jews would soon enough be a minority. This would void the very idea of a Jewish democratic state.
In this case the study reports that Jews would constitute 67% of the population. Even more important the study says that the Jewish population would maintain their percentage due to changing demographic trends.
Israel would have to choose between remaining democratic but not Jewish, or remaining Jewish by becoming non-democratic. Israel’s enemies have long maintained that Zionism is racism and that Israel is an apartheid state. If the settlers succeed, they will turn this lie into truth.
On the contrary, with these percentages, Israel could be both democratic and Jewish.
Mike Wise who was closely involved with the New Demographic Study wrote the Jewish One State Plan some six years ago based on their findings. In his plan, he proposed a constitution which ensured Israel would remain both democratic and Jewish.
Because Taub has based his analysis on erroneous facts it can be ignored as irrelevant,