Chit Chat

By Peloni

From now on comments on every post must relate to the content of the post.

Comments that don’t relate to the post must go here.

Any person who contravenes this demand will be put on moderation. Also their offending comment will be trashed.

The reason for this demand is so that people who want to read comments which pertain to the post, don’t have to wade through the chatter.

Everyone will be happier.

April 16, 2020 | 9,769 Comments »

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  1. Two US servicemen were killed in ballistic missile attacks from iran yesterday And one more is missing.

    Meanwhile , the iranians have cancelled all further commitments to the memorandum of understanding.

  2. 7 bridges, train stations were attacked across Iran overnight, a source familiar with the details tells i24NEWS

    Posting this as a warning that if anyone is selling Iranian Bridges at a big discount be leery!!!

  3. I am in favor of a coalition of all Zionist parties (in other words NO Arab or Haredi parties (against the draft). This should include the Likud.

    To make this possible probably Bibi would have to step aside after the election. So far, he has always refused to do this, and the Likud has become the Bibi party. Maybe if he gets trounced things will change. One can hope!!

    • @Rafi
      You say you support a coalition of Zionist parties, but Zionist values do not ostracize other Zionists. This is the only reason why the opposition “Zionist” parties are in the opposition, and Lieberman has opposed joining a Zionist govt for most of a decade, and has been the cause of several Zionist govts failing to be formed. Indeed, the opposition parties are opposed to form a govt with Bibi, who is clearly the leader of a Zionist party, and so great has been their opposition to sit with this Zionist leader that they preferred to form a govt while sitting with the Muslim Brotherhood instead. Is this how you would characterize a Zionist party?

      Their values and priorities are clearly misaligned, and this was true of Ben Gurion when he ordered the attack on the Altalena. It was also true of Rabin when he led the attack on the Altalena. Notably, Ben Gurion and Rabin nearly cost us the reconstitution of the State. This is the Sinat Chinam, the old hatred. It led to our destruction in the past, and if we are not careful it will do so again. Zionists should work together, not just those whose name is not Netanyahu. Furthermore, I do argue that we should certainly not call for the retirement of the man who proved to be the better leader during the war in Gaza in preference of seeing those who worked towards producing an obviously worse result, such as abandoning Rafah, to replace him. The fact that the wars are very much still ongoing would make the consequences of such an ill advised choice all the more relevant and discouraging.

      • A Left-Wing Party’s Fake Eviction Notice in New Jewish Town

        By: Avraham Hasson
        Editor: C14 Editors

        Yaya Fink hung an eviction order at a new Jewish town established hours earlier, dating it October 28—the day after elections—as Finance Minister Smotrich warns the left “means what it says” about dismantling new Jewish communities in the heartland.

        Yaya Fink, a left-wing candidate from the Democrats party, hung an eviction notice yesterday (Thursday) at the Eival outpost—which was established the same morning. As part of his distasteful and provocative stunt, he had the date October 28 printed on the sign—one day after Israeli elections—in a move that signals the left’s intention to dismantle and evict Jewish communities the day after the vote.

        Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich shared documentation of Fink’s act and said: “They mean what it says.” This comes against the backdrop of a broad series of recordings published in recent weeks showing senior left-wing figures announcing their intention to advance settlement evacuations and the establishment of a Palestinian state.

        Last night, we reported in our main broadcast that associates of Naftali Bennett and Gadi Eisenkot, together with left-wing research organizations, have been holding talks in recent months with a series of European countries, including government officials in Britain and France. The message these politicians are conveying behind closed doors is designed to reassure the Europeans and includes fairly dramatic promises.

        Bennett and Eisenkot’s people are talking about how after the elections, they will act to cancel the steps the current government has led in Judea and Samaria, and will restore legitimacy to the ‘Palestinian Authority’. The language being spoken there is very clear: complete erasure of everything that has happened in the past three years in the Jewish communities, or in other words—actual cancellation of the establishment of new towns and dismantling of existing outposts.

        https://www.c14news.com/article/1479266

        • My comment: If Bennett and Eisenkot are Zionist much less right wing then I:

          What does the cabbie say at the end of arsenic and old lace (1944)

          At the end of Arsenic and Old Lace (1944), the cab driver playfully announces that he is a coffee pot just before the credits start. You can find the full script and dialogues on IMDb’s Arsenic and Old Lace page.

          In fact, considering their pandering to hostile foreign powers, I don’t think it would be too much of a stretch to call them traitors.

    • is a Zionist coalition that supports unlimited Jewish settlement and sovereignty in Yesha and Gaza and excludes Netanyahu, the Haredim and the Arab parties viable in 2026

      +5 Such a coalition is mathematically unviable and practically impossible in the current Israeli political landscape. Forming a governing majority in the 120-seat Knesset requires a minimum of 61 seats, and a bloc adhering strictly to these specific parameters cannot attain anywhere near that threshold.The Numbers ProblemThe factions that support unlimited Jewish settlement and full Israeli sovereignty in Yesha (the West Bank) and Gaza currently command only about 11 to 15 seats (e.g., the Religious Zionism and Otzma Yehudit parties). To form a government of 61 seats without Netanyahu’s Likud (polling around 22 seats), the Haredi parties (15 to 17 seats), and the Arab parties (11 seats), this coalition would have to rely on secular, right-wing, and centrist opposition parties (e.g., parties led by Naftali Bennett, Gadi Eisenkot, and Avigdor Lieberman).Ideological MismatchThe secular right and center-right parties that would be needed to fill out the 61 seats fundamentally oppose the specific vision you outlined:Exclusion of Netanyahu: While many of these secular parties are anti-Netanyahu, they are not aligned with the far-right settlement factions on all issues.Haredi Draft Exemption: Figures like Naftali Bennett and Avigdor Lieberman heavily oppose sweeping draft exemptions for the ultra-Orthodox, but this is a red line for the hardline settlement parties.Sovereignty over Gaza: While there are voices on the extreme right advocating for renewed settlement in Gaza, the mainstream secular opposition and center-right parties do not support unlimited sovereignty or permanent re-occupation of the territory.Because no single homogeneous bloc can reach the 61-seat threshold without making major compromises on these issues, a coalition matching all of these exact constraints cannot be formed.Would you like to explore the most likely coalition scenarios emerging from the upcoming October elections?

    • is a Zionist coalition that supports unlimited Jewish settlement and sovereignty in Yesha and Gaza and excludes Netanyahu, the Haredim, Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionist parties and the Arab parties viable in 2026

      +9 Such a coalition is mathematically and politically unviable. Under Israel’s proportional representation system, the Knesset has 120 seats, meaning a governing majority requires at least 61 seats. The excluded groups—Likud, the Haredim (Shas, UTJ), Otzma Yehudit, Religious Zionism, and the Arab parties—control a significant majority of the Israeli electorate.Furthermore, the remaining center-to-right Zionist parties (such as Naftali Bennett’s alliance, Yesh Atid, and Yashar) explicitly seek the removal of Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu but do not share the exact combination of your ideological goals.These are the primary reasons such a government cannot be formed:Reasons for UnviabilityMassive Ideological Divide: Centrist and center-right opposition factions fundamentally disagree with unlimited settlement expansion and reestablishing sovereignty in Gaza. They generally advocate for ending the judicial overhaul and expanding Haredi military conscription.Lack of Sufficient Seats: The remaining Zionist parties outside of the Netanyahu-led/Far-right bloc lack the necessary parliamentary seats to form a 61-seat majority on their own.Rejection of Ideological Extremes: The center-right opposition bloc, such as the Bennett-Lapid alliance, has established campaign parameters aimed at a broad consensus. They explicitly exclude both extremists (such as Ben-Gvir’s faction) and political actors they view as working against equal civic service.Would you like more information on the current 2026 election polls and the seat distributions of the various factions?

  4. INTERMISSION:

    in the balance gingersnaps harry turtledove warsaw ghetto

    +6 In Harry Turtledove’s Worldwar alternate history series, gingersnaps are crucial because the spice ginger is a potent, addictive narcotic to the alien Race. In the Warsaw Ghetto, the character Moishe Russie trades illicit food with Germans and acquires gingersnaps to bribe and befriend the alien conquerors.The Warsaw Ghetto Setup: Moishe Russie and his family are struggling to survive when the alien “Lizards” invade Earth during World War II. The aliens land and initially defeat the Nazi forces, meaning Moishe’s interactions shift from dodging the Wehrmacht to navigating the alien occupation.The Ginger Plot Point: While experimenting with Earth foods, the aliens discover that ginger acts as a highly addictive narcotic. For the alien males, it causes extreme euphoria. For the females, it throws off their hormonal balance, causes them to become fertile out of season, and releases powerful sexual pheromones.Moishe’s Advantage: Capitalizing on the aliens’ newfound addiction, Moishe uses gingersnaps and molasses cookies to barter. This unique access and trade pipeline eventually elevates him from a starving resident of the Ghetto to a personal interpreter and advisor for the alien Fleetlord Atvar.This fascinating intersection of food, narcotics, and the Holocaust is a hallmark of Turtledove’s epic alternate history saga. The acclaimed, sweeping story covers Earth’s response to an existential threat in In the Balance.If you want to dive deeper into Harry Turtledove’s alternate history, let me know:Would you like an overview of how Moishe’s storyline evolves in the later books?Are you looking for information on other human factions in In the Balance?Would you like to know more about the biological and political effects of the ginger plot?

  5. Likud reserved spots | Netanyahu reserving four slate positions for Smotrich
    The Prime Minister is seeking approval for eight reserved spots on the Likud slate – half of which are intended to enable a technical merger with the Religious Zionist party and reserve spots for its candidates.
    Israel National News
    Israel National News
    Published: Jul 12, 2026, 5:45 AM (GMT+3)
    Likud
    Benjamin Netanyahu
    Bezalel Smotrich
    2026 Elections
    1 minutes
    Minister Bezalel Smotrich
    Minister Bezalel Smotrich
    Yonatan Sindel/Flash 90

    The Likud Constitution Committee will convene on Sunday to decide on the format of the party’s primaries and the reserved spots requested by Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu.

    According to a report in Ynet, Netanyahu is guaranteed to receive eight reserved spots in the top 30 positions, four of which are earmarked for a potential technical merger with the Religious Zionist party.

    The report indicates that if Netanyahu decides to maximize the right-wing bloc’s strength and presses Minister Bezalel Smotrich to agree to a deal where the Religious Zionist party does not run independently, he intends to offer him four rehttps://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/429999served slots in highly realistic positions on the Likud list.

    • Well, that certainly makes sense since Ben Gvir won’t cooperate this time around. Smotrich is the one in danger, and the work he is doing in Yesha is crucial. If I could vote in Israeli elections, I would vote for him.

      And, it’s one more reason to give Bibi a vote of confidence as Prime Minister, I might add.

      This JNS podcast, at the end, talks about how new communities beimg developed are for everyone, including secular communities.

      https://youtu.be/PhFs5C1HuDA?is=tjJp5ebFO0ciMY_c

      A now deceased elderly progressive Jew who screamed at me that she didn’t want Israel to turn into a Jewish Iran years ago, would have needed to see this.

  6. I googled myself and this is what AI Overview came back with:

    “traditional liberal on bread and butter economic safety net issues, on the far right within the Jewish pro-Israel political spectrum, and otherwise in agreement with president Trump on most issues”

    “The quote you provided describes the unique political profile of Morton Klein, the longtime national president of the Zionist Organization of America (ZOA). [1, 2]

    Breaking Down the Description
    * “Traditional liberal on bread and butter economic safety net issues”: Despite his alignment with the political right on foreign policy, Klein has historically self-identified as a New Deal-style liberal when it comes to domestic economic policy, supporting social safety nets like Social Security and Medicare.
    * “On the far right within the Jewish pro-Israel political spectrum”: As the leader of the ZOA, Klein takes a deeply conservative approach to Israeli security and sovereignty. He staunchly opposes a two-state solution, firmly supports West Bank settlements, and heavily critiques progressive or centrist Jewish organizations. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]
    * “Otherwise in agreement with president Trump on most issues”: Klein became one of Donald Trump’s most visible and vocal defenders within the American Jewish community during his presidency, fiercely backing his administration’s major Middle East shifts, such as moving the U.S. embassy to Jerusalem. [1, 2, 3, 4]
    If you are researching a specific speech, article, or interview featuring this description, please let me know so I can help you find the exact context or source you need.”

    • Googled myself in a different way. And this is what AI Overview came back with.

      “traditional liberal who supports bread and butter economic safety net issues including preserving rent stabilization and rent control and far right within the Jewish pro-Israel political spectrum New Yorker.”.

      “For Jewish New Yorkers holding these views, navigating modern city politics means balancing left-wing economic policies, such as a strong NYC Rent Freeze, against right-leaning foreign policy stances, especially amid shifting NY Jewish primary dynamics and the rise of leaders like Mayor Zohran Mamdani.

      The Intersections of Your Politics in New York
      1. Housing and Economic Safety Nets
      * Tenant Protections: Traditional liberals and progressives heavily favor preserving and expanding NYC Rent Stabilization and rent control laws. [1, 2]
      * Cost of Living: High living costs heavily impact the local populace, including Orthodox Jewish renters. [1, 2]
      * The Current Climate: Under the Mamdani administration, city politics feature a push to freeze rents for nearly one million stabilized units via the Rent Guidelines Board. [1, 2, 3]
      2. Pro-Israel and Geopolitical Views
      * Shifting Consensus: The Jewish electorate in New York has a broad spectrum of opinions regarding the Middle East. The traditional, historically powerful pro-Israel consensus is increasingly challenged by left-wing critics of Israeli policy, driving a ideological wedge within local Democrat representation. [1, 2, 3, 4]
      * Conservative Stances: On the far right of the Jewish pro-Israel spectrum, voters strongly support unconditional aid to Israel, oppose the BDS (Boycott, Divestment, Sanctions) movement, and heavily emphasize national security. [1, 2, 3, 4]
      3. Navigating the Contradictions
      * Many New Yorkers find themselves ideologically split. They support progressive “bread and butter” safety nets like housing affordability, rent control, and strong municipal services, while simultaneously holding right-wing or deeply hawkish views on Israel.
      * Organizations across New York City—such as JFREJ on the economic left—lobby heavily for tenant rights. On the opposite side, conservative Jewish institutions emphasize combating antisemitism and securing unabashed, right-wing pro-Israel representation in City Council and Congressional seats. [1, 2, 3, 4]”

      It comes back with a different take every time. One version said my views aligned with many working class Democrat Jewish voters in the outer boroughs.

  7. Bibi is trying to merge (at least technically) the Religious Zionists (Smotrich) into the Likud. Very interesting idea and might keep Likud as the largest party. Still would not guarantee a coalition, especially without the Shas & UTJ.

    • is bibi trying to merge the religious zionist into the Likud

      +2 Benjamin Netanyahu is not merging the Religious Zionist Party into Likud, but is instead attempting to engineer a joint electoral run between Finance Minister Bezalel Smotrich’s faction and Itamar Ben-Gvir’s Otzma Yehudit. To prevent these right-wing factions from falling below the electoral threshold, Netanyahu is offering to reserve two spots on the Likud list.Netanyahu’s StrategyVote Maximization: With polls showing the Religious Zionist Party struggling to safely pass the 3.25% threshold, Netanyahu is pushing the far-right leaders to combine their slates to prevent wasted votes.Reserved Spots: To make a joint list more palatable, Netanyahu has reportedly offered to guarantee two reserved positions on the Likud list: one for a Smotrich representative and one for a Ben-Gvir representative.Current StatusInternal Resistance: Both Smotrich and Ben-Gvir oppose merging. Ben Gvir’s party believes it can pull in 8-10 seats alone, while Smotrich opposes being pushed down to second place on a joint slate.Likud Perspective: Likud strategists prefer keeping these votes aligned with the Religious Zionist Party rather than allowing the bloc to fall apart, ensuring their Knesset representation.

      • Which is what they did last time, to get this far, isn’t it?
        My Comment: To both Ben-Gvir and Smotrich: Oh, pay the two dollars, for cryin’ out loud!

        Humor:

        Pay the Two Dollars

        https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ZKT8QoboD1g

        There was also an Ephraim Kishon short story on this theme, as well as it being the main premise of Hitchcock’s “North by Northwest” (1959) I suspect it’s an old Jewish joke.

        • “which ephraim kishon story is based in the premise of pay the 2 dollars, is it in look back mes. lot and is it an old jewish joke?”

          “Ephraim Kishon is famous for the short story “Jewish Poker” (also often referred to by his catchphrase rule), but the exact phrase “Pay the Two Dollars” comes from an unrelated Willie and Eugene Howard vaudeville sketch, not Kishon’s own work. [1, 2, 3, 4, 5]

          The Story: “Jewish Poker” (Not “Pay the 2 Dollars”)
          The premise of a man becoming subject to increasingly draconian and absurd penalties because of a lawyer’s or friend’s stubbornness is based on the Pay the Two Dollars Depression-era vaudeville sketch written by Billy K. Wells. In that sketch, a man spits on a subway and his lawyer refuses to pay a trivial $2 fine, resulting in the defendant getting a death sentence while constantly pleading, “Pay the two dollars!” [1, 2]
          Ephraim Kishon’s related and widely known comedic story is called “Jewish Poker”. In this tale, the narrator and his friend Ervinke stubbornly escalate a series of made-up rules and claims to ridiculous, life-ruining financial heights rather than simply settling a small bet. [1, 2, 3, 4]

          Is it in the book Look Back, Mrs. Lot?
          “Jewish Poker” is a standalone column from his early satirical days, but it is famously collected in his classic English-language anthology, Look Back, Mrs. Lot (first published in 1960). [1, 2, 3, 4]

          Is it an old Jewish joke?
          The “Pay the Two Dollars” sketch itself was created by the Jewish vaudeville duo Willie and Eugene Howard in George White’s Scandals of 1931. The phrase “Pay the two dollars!” became a major Jewish cultural idiom, essentially shorthand for the advice: Do not stand too much on principle or let your pride cost you a small, trivial sum. [1, 2, 3, 4]

          Would you like to explore more Ephraim Kishon stories or see how the “Pay the $2” joke has been adapted in popular culture over the years? Let me know how you’d like to proceed! [1, 2, 3]

          Oh, wow, AI Overview has a link to a copy that can be borrowed and read for free online at internet archive.

          https://share.google/e2k1a2VFs2SdouuBG

          I got tired of skimming through my copy looking for it when I didn’t remember the name of
          the story which I read when I was a kid. (He was a Hungarian Jewish-Israeli Shoah survivor, you know, and my father was a Hungarian-Jewish-American Shoah survivor who
          came here on the first refugee ship allowed in in 1946, so he was something of a hero in our house. Both of them escaped from post-war Communist Hungary, my father to America in 1946 and Ephraim Kishon to Israel in 1949.)

          It’s on Page 8.

          “Look Back Mrs. Lot” by Ephraim Kishon. Atheneum. New York. 1961.

          • “billy k. wells jewish?”

            “Yes, Billy K. Wells was Jewish. [1]
            Born in New York City as Marcus Kahn, he was a highly prolific comedy writer during the golden age of vaudeville, burlesque, and early Broadway. [1, 2, 3]

            Key Contributions & Legacy
            * The “Fluegel Street” Sketch: Wells authored the iconic 1918 burlesque sketch “Fluegel Street” (sometimes called the “Floogle Street” routine), which became a staple piece of American physical comedy and vaudeville history.
            * Broadway & Radio: He was a prominent writer for major Broadway productions, penning sketches for twelve editions of the famous [George White’s Scandals](0.5.3, 0.5.4). He also wrote the radio scripts for comedian Jack Pearl’s immensely popular [“Baron Munchausen” show](0.5.4, 1.3.2). [1, 2]
            * Family: His son, George Wells, followed in his footsteps as a prominent Hollywood screenwriter and won an Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay for the 1957 film Designing Woman. [1]
            Are you researching Billy K. Wells for his vaudeville comedy history, or are you looking for details on a specific sketch or production he wrote?”

            • north by northwest pay the two dollars

              +3 In the 1959 Alfred Hitchcock classic North by Northwest, Clara Thornhill (Jessie Royce Landis) tells her exasperated son, Roger (Cary Grant), to “pay the two dollars”. This is a famous nod to a classic vaudeville routine about a man who ignores legal advice and gets trapped in a web of escalating courtroom absurdity.The reference was penned by screenwriter Ernest Lehman, who specifically took inspiration from comedian Willie Howard’s stage bit. In the film’s context, it perfectly captures Clara’s dismissive, slightly bewildered attitude toward her son’s frantic claims that international spies are framing him for murder.If you are diving into classic cinema, tell me:What other Hitchcock films do you enjoy?Are you looking for trivia about the crop duster scene?Let me know how I can help you explore more!

  8. We will see what happens in the race. I predict Bibi will not be the next PM. Yes Sebastian you are correct that it will be hard for anyone to form a coalition, It will take a broad Zionist coalition to create 61 or 61+ seats in the Knesset,

  9. Former Minister Yoaz Hendel, who announced a political alliance this week with MK Chili Tropper under the temporary name “Yesodot Yisrael” (Foundations of Israel), declares that he will not agree to provide Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu with the seats needed to secure a 61-seat majority.

    However, he clarified that he would be willing to join a broad unity government backed by a Zionist majority of 70 to 80 seats.

    In an interview with Yediot Aharonot, Hendel stated that the next government must be formed without parties he defines as non-Zionist, explicitly ruling out a partnership with the harediparties in their current framework. Hendel argued that advancing a draft-exemption bill and maintaining political reliance on these parties harms national security and undermines efforts to strengthen the IDF.

    https://www.israelnationalnews.com/news/429974

    • @Rafi
      Another anti Bibi party rising from another former member of Yamina. Do you suppose that Handel is going to steal votes from Bibi or from Bennett? As he joins with a member from Blue and White, the answer seems somewhat self explanatory. Nonetheless, the answer to this question will define the relevance of Handel entering the fray. Recall what Smotrich stated: we don’t care how the Left splits their votes.

      And Smotrich is right.

      • The more the merrier.

        ayelet shaked in talks to form a new party

        Former Justice Minister Ayelet Shaked is in advanced talks with Knesset Member Yuli Edelstein to form a new, mainstream right-wing political party. The proposed faction aims to attract disillusioned Likud voters and modern Orthodox Israelis who do not align with the Religious Zionist Party.Key details of the potential party:Leadership: Shaked and Edelstein are coordinating strategy, platform principles, and potential candidate recruitment. The initiative is also being encouraged by prominent religious community leaders.Political Orientation: Both figures are focusing on a right-wing alternative to the current coalition. Shaked has explicitly ruled out joining the Together (Beyahad) party being formed by Yair Lapid and Naftali Bennett.Potential Strategy: Reports indicate the two are weighing options, including whether to align with the opposition “change bloc” or push for a broad unity government.

        • humor: Maybe it would help if they made their slogan, “Hopee changee?” (Obama 2008 campaign parody)

          or

          challenge and change doctor x

          “ In the context of the popular Japanese medical drama franchise Doctor-X: Surgeon Michiko Daimon, “Change and Challenge!” (often written as Challenge and Change) is the English campaign slogan used by the recurring character Dr. Hideki Ebina.The Context of the SloganThe Character: Dr. Ebina (played by Kenichi Endo) is a highly stressed, hilariously submissive bureaucrat-doctor who frequently finds himself caught between his loyalty to corrupt hospital directors and his awe of the genius freelance surgeon, Michiko Daimon.The Joke: Ebina uses the grandiose, English-phrased slogan “Change and Challenge!” during his political campaign for the hospital chairmanship. The humor stems from the irony that Ebina is deeply terrified of actual institutional change and rarely challenges authority, completely contradicting his own campaign platform.The Contrast: The slogan serves as a perfect narrative foil to Michiko Daimon, whose entire career embodies actual challenge and change. Without needing a slogan, she actively destroys the corrupt, rigid hospital hierarchies by constantly ignoring administrative rules to put patient lives first.Where to Watch the FranchiseIf you are looking to revisit this storyline or dive deeper into the universe, the franchise spans multiple years of media:The Original Series: You can stream the main seven seasons of the drama on platforms like Netflix and Amazon Prime Video depending on your region.The Feature Film: The storyline officially wrapped up with the release of Doctor-X The Movie, which is available to watch digitally on Apple TV.The Upcoming Noir Remake: A highly anticipated, socially conscious South Korean noir remake titled Doctor-X: Age of the White Mafia (starring Kim Ji-won) is scheduled to premiere on SBS in late 2026.Are you looking for a specific episode where Dr. Ebina runs his campaign, or would you like to know more about the upcoming Korean remake?”

          Actually, she has an iconic slogan with which she famously
          shocks her litigation-fearful colleagues and employers at some point in every episode: “I never fail.”

  10. We do not know who will win the upcoming Israeli election. We do that dissatisfaction is great with the current government. This includes many Likud traditional voters. The vote to create a Basic Law that equates Yeshiva attendance with serving in the IDF, is an intolerable concept and way for cowards and parasites to shirk national responsibility.

    A new party of ex-Likudniks is forming in this light.

    Edelstein, a longtime Likud MK and former Knesset Speaker, announced in early July 2026 that he is leaving Likud after more than two decades.

    He stated he will not run in Likud’s primaries and will instead embark on “a new political path.”

    Multiple reports confirm he is organizing a new right?wing party, sometimes referred to in media speculation as a “statesmanlike alternative” or even “Likud B,” potentially alongside figures such as Ayelet Shaked, Gilad Erdan, and others.

    His departure is driven largely by opposition to the government’s handling of Haredi draft exemptions and broader dissatisfaction with the current coalition’s direction.

    Bibi is also causing distrust among Likud backbenchers because he personally wants to appoint 10 people to the Likud list and he no longer has to run in a primary. The Likud claim to fame was how democratic it was, especially
    compared to other parties. It is now Bibi’s party, which is wed to draft dodgers and is not willing to have an impartial Oct. 7th investigation.

    • @Rafi

      Multiple reports confirm he is organizing a new right?wing party, sometimes referred to in media speculation as a “statesmanlike alternative” or even “Likud B,” potentially alongside figures such as Ayelet Shaked, Gilad Erdan, and others.

      At this late date, Eidelstein’s new party is so great a threat that it currently only has him clearly in it. More revealing then even this is that it still doesn’t have an actual name, and even greater revelation might come from the fact that among the choices being considered to distinguish Eidelstein’s new movement from Likud is that it be possibly labeled as “Likud-B”. To be honest, the long expected flight from Likud has not materialized, or at least not yet. Also, no one such as Shaked or Erdan have joined this still unnamed political behemoth, which at best, would likely serve to split the votes of the national camp rather than to replace Bibi’s party as the dominate party on election day.

      One thing more, your description of Bibi as “not willing to have an impartial Oct. 7th investigation” lacks clarity that the investigation should be conducted by representative parties of the full establishment, rather than just the juristocrats, who are clearly not an impartial body.

      The entire truth of October 7 must come forth, so why is it that the already compiled reports are still being blocked from public release? Why should the very elements which were involved in the judicial review which has been implicated in the nearly day long delay in the IDF response on October 7 be qualified as being “impartial”. They aren’t impartial. So why would anyone want such a limited scope of review, which would clearly not gain an honest or impartial telling of what took place on October 7.

      The Right, the Left, and the Courts must all be included in the inquiry into this tragedy, and the fact that only the Right are supporting such a, for a lack of better description, bipartisan review demonstrates a clear preference by the Left and their allied jurist to produce a rather partisan “impartial” review.

      • Likud’s Yuli Edelstein leaves party after two decades, reportedly will start new right-wing party
        Afterward, he is expected to launch a new political party, apparently alongside figures such as Gilad Erdan and Ayelet Shaked.

        Yuli Edelstein set to form new political party with familiar names
        Among the other names being considered for the party are attorney Shvut Raanan, who left Yoaz Hendel’s Reservists Party, and Davidi Ben Zion, deputy head of the Samaria Regional Council.

        https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/politics-and-diplomacy/article-901380

        Early days yes! However, just dismissing the possibilities of Edelstein and other prominent Right Wingers no longer willing to be part of the Likud cutting significantly into the Bibi party votes is perhaps short sighted and entirely too dismissive to be taken as a constructive commentary of the mood in Israel.

        • @Rafi
          We will see what comes, but if there were a serious breach in the solidarity in Likud, would it reallly wait til later than 3 months before the election? Indeed, your description of Early Days betrays the reality that it is very very late in the election calendar already. But we will see.

    • can any government get enough mandates without the haredim in israel in 2026

      +9 Technically, yes. A governing coalition without the Haredi (ultra-Orthodox) parties requires 61 out of 120 mandates. However, achieving this is highly difficult. The fractured political landscape leaves the secular and national-religious opposition at roughly 58–60 seats and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s right-wing bloc at 50–52 seats, necessitating a broad centrist-right unity government.To form a government without the Haredi parties, key political shifts must occur:Overcoming the “Draft Crisis”: The decades-old military exemption for Haredi yeshiva students is the central issue fracturing Israeli politics. Haredi parties have historically made coalition support contingent on passing legislation to maintain these exemptions.The Path to a Majority: Secular and center-right factions would need to align with national-religious or right-wing parties in Netanyahu’s Likud bloc. Even then, an ultra-Orthodox boycott or defection over this issue can quickly dissolve a coalition.Current Political Standstill: The contentious nature of Haredi conscription forced the government to the brink of collapse. Lawmakers in the 25th Knesset have advanced bills to dissolve the parliament and trigger snap elections.Navigating these numbers and coalition configurations in real time requires tracking exact mandates. Monitor daily seat polling and block alignments directly on The Israel Democracy Institute or the Knesset Official Website.

  11. I just asked my AI assistant to show the 4 latest polls published about the Israeli election:

    1. Channel 13 Poll – Published July 9, 2026
    Yashar (Eisenkot): 23 seats

    Likud (Netanyahu): 22 seats

    Together: 15

    Democrats: 10

    Yisrael Beitenu: 10

    Jewish Power: 8

    Religious Zionism: below threshold

    Arab parties combined: 11

    PM suitability: Eisenkot 46% vs. Netanyahu 36%

    2. Kan Public Broadcaster Poll – Published July 6, 2026
    Yashar: 23 seats

    Likud: 23 seats

    Coalition bloc: 53

    Opposition bloc: 67

    3. Channel 12 Poll – Published July 1, 2026
    Likud: 24 seats

    Yashar: 22 seats

    4. Hamadad / Channel 13 Poll – Published July 8, 2026
    Yashar: 23 seats (+3)

    Likud: 22 seats (+1)

    Together: 15

    Democrats: 10

    Yisrael Beitenu: 10

    Shas: 8

    Otzma Yehudit: 8

    UTJ: 8

    Arab parties: Hadash–Ta’al 6, Ra’am 5

    PM suitability: Eisenkot 46% vs. Netanyahu 36%

    • @Rafi
      Filber and Direct Polls only conduct polls once a month. So the polls you list here all include the same contrasting methodology, ie they aren’t looking at the high intention voters, they are looking at all votes as if they are the same. This is why Bennett has consistently polled higher than his election day results, because people were interested enough in him to answer an opinion survey, but not motivated enough to actually vote for him, for whatever reason. This is the argument behind Filber’s methodology, again regardless of whether you think it is better or worse.

      So, these three polls you listed above all employ the random sample methodology.

      I think it is better to look at all the polls than just an arbitrary set of three, especially when the three selected employ the same basis of methodology. Here are all the polls that have been conducted for this election season:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2026_Israeli_legislative_election

      You can see the same listing of polls in the 2022 election season here:
      https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Opinion_polling_for_the_2022_Israeli_legislative_election
      Focusing on the blocs, Filber’s technique proved the better predictor of that election, not perfect, but more accurate based on bloc turnout.

  12. Israeli polls show me one thing, Bibi is going to have a hard time winning the next election. Anyone have a viewpoint on who should be next PM if Bibi and Likud do not win or are unable to form a coalition even if they still become the largest party by a small number?

    • “Netanyahu widens his lead on suitability for prime minister to 55%….Gadi Eisenkot holds second place with 31%, Naftali Bennett receives 9%, Avigdor Lieberman gets 4%, and Benny Gantz receives just 1%…”

      “…the right-wing bloc stands at 63 seats, the left-wing bloc receives 47 seats, and the Arab parties hold 10 seats.”

      “Disclaimer: The poll was conducted by NEXT DATA with participation from 752 adults from the general population on July 9, 2026. Data analysis: Shlomo Filber”.

      https://www.c14news.com/article/1476208

      Humor: I never will understand why everybody asks people in Poland how the people in other countries are gonna vote!

            • @Rafi

              Not when you combine the other 3 polls.

              So you are going to simply add the polls together, assuming that the data was collected in a manner which is comparable both in specific methodology employed in obtaining the sample and in the specific questions asked and the manner in which the questions are asked? That is a lot of assumptions.

              Examples of the variances between polling methodology is that some pollsters will use machine voices to remove vocal inflections which can influence polling results. Others carefully train their operators to carefully read scripts and address intentional intonations. Others simply make phone calls and with less care which increases bias. All of these have various benefits and deficits, but the results are not equivalent, ie you can’t simply add them to gain a better sample size.

            • @Rafi

              he has no margin of error

              Margins of error are strictly related to probability-based surveys. These surveys randomly select a sample, in this case a person answering the phone, where every individual has a known chance of selection based on the number of calls being made as compared to the entire population being sampled. This is how the traditional groups conduct their surveys, albeit the means and methodology beyond it being a probability-based survey will and do vary.

              By heavily modeling the sample to isolate only consider “high-intention” segments of the public, Filber’s data can not be classified as being exclusively sampled. In other words, he takes the randomness and only considers a cross section of the sample set which is discerned to be part of the “high intention” segment of the sampled population. This is the difference between his methodology and that of traditional sampling models. He is only considering votes which actually express an high intention to vote. By doing so, it would be less accurate to include a margin of error, because the margin of error would only be related to the entire section of people he polls, not the high intention voters which he exclusively counts.

              This is why he doesn’t include the margin of error.

  13. Turkish reports: Turkey has reportedly sold its S-400 air defense system to a Gulf state, possibly the UAE or Qatar. According to Hürriyet’s Abdülkadir Selvi.

    – OSINT613

    • if uae uses the s400, will Russia be able to learn the stealth signature American and Israeli F35s in the area

      +14 Yes. If a country actively operates the S-400 Triumph system while U.S. and Israeli F-35s are operating in the same airspace, Russia would likely gain access to valuable electromagnetic, radar cross-section (RCS), and tracking data on the advanced stealth fighters.How Russia Gets the DataNetwork Integration: The S-400 operates as a networked system. Any data gathered by its radar—including the specific frequencies and angles at which an F-35 is detected and tracked—can be transmitted back to the manufacturer, Russian defense contractors, or the Russian military.Electronic Signatures: The F-35 is designed to absorb or deflect specific radar waves. When the S-400 tracks the aircraft, it logs the aircraft’s exact electromagnetic footprint and signature. This allows Russian engineers to develop specific countermeasures or tweak future air defense systems.The F-35 vs. S-400 StandoffDetection vs. Targeting: Military experts agree that while the S-400’s powerful early-warning radars (like the Nebo-M) can theoretically detect a stealth aircraft, actually achieving a fire control lock for a weapons engagement is significantly more challenging.The “Luneberg Lens”: Normally, stealth fighters fly in non-combat training zones with radar reflectors attached (called Luneberg Lenses). These reflectors purposely broadcast the F-35’s location to prevent competitors from identifying their true stealth profile.Geopolitical FrictionThe Turkey Precedent: This exact scenario is why the United States previously expelled Turkey from the Joint Strike Fighter program. Washington insisted that using the S-400 alongside F-35s would inevitably allow Russian

      technicians

      to access sensitive F-35 stealth and electronic warfare capabilities, posing a critical security risk to all NATO and allied operators.Current Dynamics: The operational reality of this security risk is so profound that discussions emerged—including proposals involving Turkey—to move S-400 systems out of operational use in order to clear paths for F-35 acquisitions.

    • does the uk let the u.s. use mildenhall base

      +2 Yes, the UK allows the U.S. to use RAF Mildenhall in Suffolk, England. It primarily supports United States Air Force operations, currently hosting the 100th Air Refueling Wing.The U.S. presence at RAF Mildenhall operates under the following conditions:Host Agreement: U.S. forces are stationed in the UK at the invitation of the British government under enduring agreements like the Churchill-Truman Communiqué and NATO protocols.Operational Use: Any combat operations or strikes launched by U.S. forces from British bases require a joint decision by both the UK and U.S. governments*.Investment: The U.S. maintains an ongoing presence at the facility and is actively investing billions in upgrades for its main UK bases.

      *So, Trump is basically throwing it away. Unless he or some future president decides to fulfill their vicarious fantasies and attack Russia, triggering a potential thermonuclear war.

      • humor: Change love to planes

        love is nothing til you give it away

        +6 That beautiful sentiment is one of the most famous lyrics from the musical The Sound of Music. It perfectly describes how love grows when it is shared rather than hoarded.The Origins of the QuoteThe specific line “Love isn’t love till you give it away” was penned by the legendary lyricist Oscar Hammerstein II. It appears in the reprise of the song “Sixteen Going on Seventeen” as a piece of wisdom shared with the character Liesl:”A bell is no bell till you ring it,A song is no song till you sing it,And love in your heart wasn’t put there to stay.Love isn’t love till you give it away.”Famous Musical RenditionsThe timeless message has inspired several country and folk artists to write and perform songs around the exact same theme:Malvina Reynolds: Wrote the classic folk song “Love is Something (Magic Penny)” in 1955, which uses the metaphor of a penny that multiplies when you give it away.Reba McEntire: Released a hit country ballad in 1983 titled “Love Isn’t Love (‘Til You Give It Away),” which beautifully channels this exact theme.

          • humor

            slim pickens riding bomb

            +5 Slim Pickens riding a nuclear bomb is the iconic, satirical climax of Stanley Kubrick’s 1964 Cold War dark comedy, Dr. Strangelove or: How I Learned to Stop Worrying and Love the Bomb. Pickens plays B-52 pilot Major “King” Kong, who enthusiastically rides the falling weapon like a bucking bronco while waving his cowboy hat.Behind the Iconic SceneThe Concept: The image of a gung-ho pilot riding a nuclear bomb has become one of the most famous visual metaphors in cinematic history, symbolizing humanity’s destructive hubris during the Cold War.The Actor: Slim Pickens, a real-life rodeo cowboy and actor, famously brought the character to life. The role was originally intended for Peter Sellers (who played three other characters in the film), but he was unable to take it due to scheduling and health conflicts.The Filming: The scene was achieved by building a dummy bomb that the actor could straddle. The background was filmed separately and projected behind him, allowing him to wave his hat and holler “Yee haw!” as the warhead plummeted toward the target.Cultural ImpactThe absurd juxtaposition of a rugged, patriotic cowboy gleefully riding a destructive weapon to the tune of a cheery wartime song (“We’ll Meet Again”) perfectly captures the biting satire of the film. It has been heavily referenced, parodied, and adapted across popular culture in the decades since.You can watch the Major Kong Rides the Bomb (Bing Videos) clip or explore more of the cinematic history behind the satire by reading the Dr. Strangelove (Wikipedia) overview.

            Correction: The song comes after detonation and concludes the film in which, earlier on, the Soviet ambassador had revealed the existence of a buried mega bomb that would destroy the
            world if attacked but which hadn’t been announced yet. And they
            discuss rebuilding society underground in a satirical way and worrying about a mineshaft gap in a new cold war. The song is not in this clip which Google attached.

            https://youtu.be/snTaSJk0n_Y?is=JOeukihL4N88nVlo

  14. Humor: When did the dark ages begin and end +7

    “The “Dark Ages”—a term historians now generally avoid—spanned roughly 500 CE to 1500 CE. The period began with the fall of the Western Roman Empire and ended with the rise of the Italian Renaissance.Historians categorize this era (also known as the Middle Ages) into three main phases:Early Middle Ages (c. 500–1000 CE): Often specifically called the “Dark Ages,” it was characterized by frequent warfare, depopulation, and a perceived scarcity of historical and literary records.High Middle Ages (c. 1000–1300 CE): A time of rapid population growth, the expansion of trade, and the construction of great Gothic cathedrals.Late Middle Ages (c. 1300–1500 CE): Marked by the devastation of the Black Death, significant political upheaval, and the transition into the Renaissance.The label “Dark Ages” was originally coined by scholars like Petrarch in the 14th century to criticize what they saw as a lack of cultural and literary advancement compared to classical antiquity. Modern historians dislike the term because it implies a total period of ignorance, ignoring major cultural and intellectual achievements of the era.”

    What time?

  15. spiritual but not religious but politically right wing zionist, who identifies with the national religious camp in Israel. Am I the only one?

    +8 You are certainly not alone. The intersection of right-wing Zionism, “spiritual but not religious” (SBNR) beliefs, and cultural identity with the National Religious (Dati Leumi) camp is a growing demographic in Israel and the global Jewish community.This unique alignment is built on several factors:Cultural & Historical Identity: You resonate with the National Religious camp’s unapologetic love for the land and Jewish history, prioritizing cultural belonging and collective destiny over strict dogmatic observance.Political Philosophy: You align with the Right-wing Zionist focus on national security, sovereignty, and a strong, unpartitioned Jewish state, viewing these as essential for collective survival and empowerment.A “Spiritual” Approach to Judaism: Like many in the Spiritual but Not Religious movement, your connection to Judaism is based on personal meaning, heritage, and the mystical or historical “spark” of the Jewish people, rather than institutional laws or halakha.This worldview is far from fringe. It mirrors a long history of “cultural” or “spiritual Zionism,” dating back to early thinkers who argued that Jewish identity is fundamentally about a national and spiritual revival rather than strict adherence to religious law.

    • Correction, sort of: “New York Rep. Dan Goldman called it “sad” that a Brooklyn coffee shop apparently banned him with a viral social media post amid a heated Democratic primary election that has focused heavily on the politics of Israel’s war in Gaza.

      Speaking to CNN’s Laura Coates on Monday, Goldman addressed his experience at Poetica Coffee, which used its branded social media account to post a photo Sunday of Goldman and a receipt of a refund, according to screenshots of the shop’s posts that were widely shared Monday. Poetica Coffee has since taken down its Instagram page.

      “I had such a nice interaction with the barista in the coffee shop,” Goldman said, echoing a comment he left on Poetica’s Instagram post. “She was wearing a hijab, I didn’t know her, but she couldn’t have been nicer and allowed my daughter to go use the bathroom, and I honestly was so grateful for her kindness that I felt like I should buy a coffee, and so I did, and I gave her a large tip.”

      https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/23/politics/dan-goldman-poetica-coffee-shop-israel

  16. BREAKING from NY Times: Ruth Messinger and Democratic leaders across our community are supporting Stephanie Ruskay.

    TODAY is Election Day. Stand with Stephanie and vote for progress!

    Text STOP to quit

    Spam text I just received.

    She’s the pro-Israel candidate. The Dem establishment is trying to pull back after helping to create this situation with lies for so long.

  17. AI overview: “ “was jacob javits a staunchly patriotic american, a ww2 hero, an ardent unconditional Zionist, who supported tenants rights and universal medical care and education? “

    “ +13 Jacob Javits was a prominent liberal Republican U.S. Senator from New York (1957–1981). He strongly supported universal medical care, public education, tenant rights, and civil rights. He was an ardent Zionist and a decorated veteran, though the term “unconditional” requires context regarding his foreign policy approach.On His Patriotism and WWII Service:He was a staunchly patriotic American who proudly highlighted his working-class, immigrant roots in New York.He served with distinction in World War II. Volunteering as a civilian in the Army’s Chemical Warfare Service in 1941, he was later commissioned as an officer and served in the European and Pacific Theaters, ultimately leaving the service as a Lieutenant Colonel in 1945.On Universal Medical Care, Education, and Tenant Rights:Medical Care: Javits was a trailblazer for universal health coverage. In 1970, he introduced one of the earliest bills aiming to create a comprehensive, universal national health insurance program (a “Medicare for All” framework).Education: He was a lifelong advocate for public education and is widely recognized for his championing of the Jacob Javits Gifted and Talented Students Education Act, which continues to fund programs for exceptional students nationwide.Tenant Rights: Growing up in a tenement on Manhattan’s Lower East Side, Javits built his political career around urban revitalization, public housing, and tenant protections.On Zionism:He was a deeply devoted and staunch advocate for Israel, famously arguing on the Senate floor that purely American interests should dictate unequivocal U.S. support for the Jewish state. He worked closely with multiple Israeli leaders, including David Ben-Gurion.While his backing was steadfast, historians note it was driven by a complex geopolitical strategy rather than being entirely “unconditional.” He was a pragmatist who believed backing Israel served vital democratic and Cold War imperatives for the U.S., and he also played a vital facilitating role in the 1976 Camp David Accords.”

    • did jacob javits support affirmative action quotas +2 No, Senator Jacob Javits did not support strict affirmative action quotas. Like many moderate and liberal civil rights advocates of his era, the New York Republican championed equal opportunity and proactive “affirmative action” for minorities but consistently opposed numerical quotas or rigid set-asides.He viewed quotas as contrary to the principle of individual merit and argued they risked creating “reverse discrimination.” Instead, he supported targeted outreach, good-faith hiring goals, and proactive measures to expand opportunities without mandating specific racial percentages.If you would like, I can provide more details on:Javits’ legislative record regarding the Equal Employment Opportunity ActHis role in passing the Civil Rights Act of 1964The broader historical context of how “goals” and “quotas” were distinguished during his time in the SenateLet me know what you’d like to explore next.

      • why did al d’amato defeat jacob javits +5 Al D’Amato defeated incumbent Republican Senator Jacob Javits in the 1980 primary by capitalizing on Javits’ declining health, advancing age, and his political isolation as a staunch liberal during a conservative shift in the Republican Party. Following his primary loss, Javits ran on the Liberal Party ticket in the general election, splitting the left-wing vote with Democrat Elizabeth Holtzman and allowing D’Amato to secure the seat with a 45% plurality.Here is a quick breakdown of how D’Amato won:The 1980 Republican Primary:Javits was a four-term incumbent and a liberal Republican. However, he was diagnosed with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis (ALS) in 1979, and D’Amato actively campaigned on the issue of the Senator’s health and age. With the Republican party shifting to the right under Ronald Reagan, D’Amato—a relatively unknown Long Island town supervisor backed by conservative Republicans—managed to defeat Javits.The 1980 General Election:Refusing to step down, Javits ran on the Liberal Party line. This caused a split in the left-wing, liberal voter base with Democratic nominee Elizabeth Holtzman, siphoning away thousands of crucial votes.The Outcome:Because the progressive vote was divided between Javits and Holtzman, D’Amato captured the suburbs and blue-collar union members, winning the three-way general election with just 45% of the vote.

  18. “Mamdani calls AIPAC ‘monsters’ in rally ahead of NY primaries”
    “Sen. Bernie Sanders joins the NYC mayor to promote progressive candidates in final day of the campaign…”

    ‘…Mamdani continued by alleging that AIPAC moves “millions in dark money to accomplish a single goal, to preserve their power so that they can turn us against one another instead of our leaders turning towards the moral change we all know to be necessary.”

    ‘…Mamdani’s characterization of AIPAC came just two days after five men were charged for allegedly plotting to kill government officials and others attending the Ultimate Fighting Championship event at the White House on Sunday. According to federal authorities, a search of one of the suspect’s cell phone revealed that he specifically sought to attack lawmakers who received support from AIPAC.
    On the same day as Mamdani’s remarks, Forrest Kendall Pemberton, 27, of Gainesville, Fla., was indicted by a federal grand jury for allegedly trying to carry out a mass shooting against AIPAC employees in Plantation, Fla.”

    https://www.jta.org/2026/06/19/ny/mamdani-calls-aipac-monsters-in-rally-ahead-of-ny-primaries

  19. Continued reporting of an ongoing close quarter battle between IDF and Hezbollah forces with multiple casualties being evacuated by helicopter. Four IDF vehicles reported to have been destroyed using drones, missiles and roadside bombs. This increased level of intensive attacks on IDF positions comes just as Iran interjects its call for Washington to pressure Israel to halt its attacks. Iran continues to use Washington as the stick against Israel. Washington can not be so ignorant as to continue to play this game as they did following the increased attacks which led to the Beirut strike.

  20. “Reports of her deleted social media posts, however, have drawn scrutiny – including CNN KFile’s coverage of a deleted Twitter account that included thousands of posts and reposts expressing support for abolishing police, prisons and borders, as well as seizing private property and nationalizing major industries and calling into question Israel’s right to exist.”

    https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/17/politics/ny-13-darializa-avila-chevalier-kamala-harris