Dramatic Rise in Polls After Debut Speech
In first, Gantz projected to have path to victory if he joins forces with Lapid ? Netanyahu, Gantz tied when Israelis asked who should be prime minister
Benny Gantz greeting supporters at the Tel Aviv Convention Center, January 29, 2019.Tomer Appelbaum
Former Israeli military chief Benny Gantz, largely considered the top rival to Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the upcoming Israeli elections, would receive 21 to 24 Knesset seats if the election was held today – eight seats more than the previous polls predicted. The dramatic rise comes one day after Gantz gave his first public remarks on his political platform in Tel Aviv.
Likud is forecast to receive 30 to 31 seats out of the 120-seat Knesset, while an alliance between Gantz and Yesh Atid Chairman Yair Lapid would receive 35 seats with Gantz at the helm.
When asked who should be prime minister, 36% of those polled by Channel 12 said Netanyahu while 35% said Gantz.
A poll held last week showed that Netanyahu would lose four Knesset seats if Attorney General Avichai Medelblit announces his intention to indict him for accepting bribes ahead of the election.
Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu in the Knesset, Jerusalem, January 20, 2019. Emil Salman
According to the poll, if the election is held today, Yesh Atid would receive 9 to 11 seats, Naftali Bennett and Ayelet Shaked’s new party, Hayamin Hehadash, would receive six to eight seats and United Torah Judaism, the ultra-Orthodox joint ticket, would receive six to seven seats. The Joint List would receive six seats, Ta’al six to eight, while Shas would receive four to five seats. Kulanu would get 4 to 5 seats, Yisrael Beiteinu with four seats, Meretz four to six seats while Orli Levi-Abekasis’s party Gesher might not pass the electoral threshold according to some polls or might get four seats.
More details soon
Politics? Prime MInister, yet? Gantz is better suited to comedy. This interview left me in stiches. https://www.ynetnews.com/articles/0,7340,L-5458973,00.html
Although he later denied it that this was his intention, Gantz broadly hinted in a recent interview in Yediot Achranot. that he intended to evacuate many settlers from Judea-Smaria and hand over the region to the PLO. Here is an article from Arutz Sheva that quotes his remarks at some length:
Gantz just gave his first interview to Yediot Ahranot. Part of it aired he probably put out stuff the left, center and certainly the right all hated! Made it sound like the Gaza retreat was a good thing and is a model with lessons to take from for Judea/Samaria.
Friday the rest of the interviews airs. If it is as bad he will start going down in popularity I believe.
Another important warning to the right over its suicidal divisiveness, from Israel Hayom:
A very wise warning to the Right from Israel Hayom:
In an interview with Arutz Sheva, Israel’s minister of tourism Yariv Levin gave this analysis of Gantz’s speech and what he was really saying between the lines:
@ adamdalgliesh:Saar is potentially okay from what I know of him and about him but will Bibi step aside or take the Likud down with him? I think he will be indicted and frankly who wants a PM spending all his time saving his ass. Not the best thing for the country.
By the way – just read this
Also Likud is weighing uniting with the New Right & also maybe Lieberman’s party. Would Bennett then be the #2 in the joint party and not Saar. Likud is supposed to have a primary to see who would be seated for it in what order. That would determine if Saar is the Likud #2 aside for party unification deals. Internal polls have said if they unite at least with New Right they would get more seats. Do not know about polling with Lieberman.
@ Bear Klein: He is an offside chance, but maybe Gideon Saar could replace Bibi as Likud leader if he is indicted. Saar at least has articulated a program of getting tough with Israel’s enemies, and has vowed not to withdraw from any territory if he becomes Prime Minister. However, even if he secures the support of the Likud central committee if Bibi is forced to resign, he still would be at a disadvantage in the election against Gantz, an ex-general. Israelis seem in love with candidates with a bit of brass on the shoulders and shirt pocket. Saar was never a high-ranking officer in the iDF. I don’t know what his military record, if any is.
The Jerusalem Post is running really hard for Benny Gantz and and running really hard against Netanyahu. They have published one puff piece after another about Gantz, with not a word of criticism. Not a word about his support for unilateral withdrawal. Not a word about his corruption. They proclaim him as “an officer and a gentlemen.” Every article about Netanyahu referencing the campaign denounces him as corrupt, a liar, arrogant, can’t get along with anyone. In every issue that publish another article about how Mandelblit plans to indict Netanyahu. Why publish nearly identical stories about this in every issue? Can a story republished every single day with slight variations in language be considered “news?” Under its present editor Amotz Asa-el the JP has become a horrible leftist-appeasement rag.
@ Michael S: No doubt about it, Michael.
@ Michael S: No doubt about it, Michael.
Haaretz was Quoting Channel 12 which Bibi says is propaganda. https://www.timesofisrael.com/netanyahu-calls-israels-largest-tv-news-broadcasters-propaganda-channels/
Sorry, Gantz 19, but the other two are 9. Gantz would need more than Lapid to win and Bibi has a coalition as well, including Bennet and Shaked’s new party. The left knows they have no hope electorally so that’s why the AG just announced he will issue indictment before election.
Be careful of Haaretz. Here it’s Likud 28, Gantz and Lapid, 9 ea. http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/258440
If the Israelis elect Gantz & Co., they may well throw away every gain they’ve gotten from Trump.
Bibi considering forming joint list of Likud & New Right for election, to counter Benny Gantz.
http://www.israelnationalnews.com/News/News.aspx/258432
She right on the mark! https://www.jpost.com/Israel-News/Minister-Shaked-The-Right-should-consider-uniting-if-Left-does-579345
@ Bear Klein: All good points, Bear.
Likud now has a danger because it needed to have a replacement for Bibi but he successfully drove out any legitimate successors to the top spot.
I would like Bennett/Shaked to win but this does not look likely at all!
Gantz is the flavor of the moment for the center and center/left. If he gets Lapid to join as a partner (#2) or Bibi gets indicted he may well get to be Prime Minister whether us on the right like it or not!
Ganz was co-author of a report by the left think-tank Institute for National Security Studies, advocating unilateral Israeli withdrawal from 65 per cent of Judea-Samaria and the establishment of a Palestinian state there that would not be required to sign a peace agreement with Israel. I have bolded the relevant passage about him in this Wikapedia biography of Gantz,