By Ted Belman
The US offers $30 billion in arms over the next 10 years. That’s the carrot.
The British government has blocked almost one third of British military exports to Israel this year, citing possible threats to regional stability and fears the equipment might facilitate human rights violations.
According to official figures, the value of UK military sales arms to Israel declined by one third last year, and has fallen by a drastic 75 percent since 2005.
That’s the stick.
We don’t have to speculate on whether the US or the EU pressure Israel nor do we have to speculate on what the pressure is. It is obvious.
A quick review of what is a matter of record.
1. In 47 the US placed an arms embargo on Israel that lasted until after the ’67 War.
2. In ’56 President Eisenhower forced Israel to withdraw from the Sinai by threatening to preventing American Jews from sending tax deductible money to Israel.
3. After the ’67 war, France who was Israel’s primary arms supplier, reversed course and placed an arms embargo on Israel which is still in place today.
4. In ’69 France would not deliver 5 Israeli missile boats stored in Cherbourg to Israel which had been paid for.
5. During the ’73 war, Kissinger delayed resupplying Israel because he wanted Israel to get a “bloody nose” and demanded a ceasefire so that Egypt could “save face”.
6. Europe would not allow the US to use its airfields in the resupply forcing the US to pay handsomely to Portugal for such rights.
7. Reagan fought Sharon’s invasion of Lebanon in the early eighties and ultimately saved the Palestinians by taking them to Tunisia. He had agreed with the Arabs to save the PLO and ultimately to force Israel to take them back in, to set aside all of the Territories for a Palestinian state with no Israeli settlements and to return all the refugees.. (See Breakaway Ally: How Reagan’s 1982 Peace Was Drowned In Blood. This is highly biased but informative nevertheless.)
8. Bush Sr forced Israel to attend the Madrid Conference in ’91 by withholding the $9 billion in guarantees needed to finance Russian immigration and absorption in Israel.
9. In the late nineties, the EU threatened to rescind its free trade agreement with Israel if Israel didn’t exclude goods emanating from the territories.
10 Israel was forced to accept the Roadmap despite its 14 reservations
I invite you all to add to this list.
The bottom line is that the US is committed to shrinking Israel back to the green line and has been since the ’67 victory. Any resistance Israel puts up is ultimately worn down by this US resolve and Israel’s lack of options.
One of the key ingredients to softening Israel up to allow for this plan is to protect the Arab terrorists who constantly attack Israel. Israel is not allowed to end the terror or to defend itself. They are forced to tolerate it. This is a key US weapon in getting Israel to accept the inevitable.
Those of us who think Israel can resist this pressure are dreaming. But dream we must.