Ukraine and the Danger Zone
Peloni: There is near zero chance that Trump will come to aid Ukraine. Ukraine’s needs are of the moment, but the US is entering into the midterm election season, during which it would be quite a toxic move for Trump to come to support Ukraine, and Trump will not threaten the chance of losing the congress to support the intransigent Ukrainians and their European allies. The victory in this war was always going to be decided along the lines of who has the greatest means to stay in the war, and as I have mentioned many times, Ukraine will not be able to overcome their deficit of men, munitions and moral. It appears we are approaching the point where the consequence of all of this goes from drip, drip, drip to an all out dam break. The US can not stop this, even if this were Trump’s most fervent desire to do so.
Will NATO and the US Intervene?
Photo by President.gov.ua, CC BY 4.0, Wikipedia
Ukraine is now entering the Danger Zone. Ukraine’s army is running out of men and material, and worse than that, important parts of the army are trapped by Russian forces. This includes Pokrovsk, of course, Zaphorize and a number of other areas. Meanwhile, Russia continues to pound away at Ukraine’s critical infrastructure: at some point all normal services will collapse completely.




