Peloni: The countdown to the next war in the north began at the conclusion of the last war in the North. Only hopium and self deception could argue otherwise. The fundamental strength which the Shia community commands in Lebanon, and which it lends to Hezbollah, has in no way changed, and until it does, Lebanon will be remain as an outpost of terror on Israel’s northern border.
While we hoped Hezbollah would decide to behave and disarm, the terrorist organization has instead been rebuilding its forces and even found new routes for smuggling weapons from Iran. The question is not if it will renew its attacks against Israel, but when.
by Prof. Eyal Zisser | Nov 9, 2025
2023 Hezbollah drill in Aaramta. Photo by Tasnim News Agency, CC BY 4.0, Wikipedia
Exactly a year ago, the confrontation on the northern border between Israel and Hezbollah ended in what appeared to be a clear knockout. Hezbollah was defeated, losing its leaders and senior commanders, headed by Hassan Nasrallah, along with much of its military capabilities. It seemed the group would not recover. Lebanon elected a president, formed a government that declared its commitment to disarm Hezbollah, and the ever-optimistic US administration, detached from reality as usual, promised that a peace agreement between Israel and Lebanon was only a matter of time.
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