The Hormuz Hypothesis – What If the U.S. Navy Isn’t in a Hurry to Reopen the Strait?
Peloni: Is this hypothesis about why the US has failed to open the Strait of Hormuz proving accurate? Well, if Trump is about to declare victory after having not achieved victory, John Konrad’s analysis offer us some insight as to why he would choose such a course.
See summary in the comments: https://www.israpundit.org/the-hormuz-hypothesis-what-if-the-u-s-navy-isnt-in-a-hurry-to-reopen-the-strait/#comment-63356000295041
John Konrad | March 18, 2026
A port view of the reflagged Kuwaiti supertanker GAS KING underway. Photo by Department of Defense. American Forces Information Service. Defense Visual Information Center. 1994 -Public Domain, Wikipedia
By Captain John Konrad (Opinion) – The Strait of Hormuz is twenty-one miles wide. Two shipping channels, each two miles across, separated by a two-mile buffer. There is no alternative. Saudi Arabia’s East-West Pipeline to Yanbu and the UAE’s pipeline to Fujairah can handle maybe five million barrels combined. The math doesn’t work. The bottleneck is not political. It is geological and hydrographic.
Map of Strait of Hormuz. Image by Pascal – Public Domain, 


Israeli Air Force (IAF) F-35I Adir. By Source: William LewisDerivative: User:MathKnight – WikiCommons: File:230322-F-UT528-1038 – Red Flag-Nellis 23-2, 22-24 Mar, 2023.jpg, CC BY-SA 4.0, 



