Peloni:  Avi Abelow perfectly describes where things stand and how they will likely proceed from here with the new outlook on Trumps efforts to continue his attempts at negotiations between rounds of war.  He also captures an accurate assessment of the political leadership in Israel going into new elections.  It is important to acknowledge that those men who are being considered to replace Bibi as PM each demonstrated aspects of strategic failure in the days, months and years which have past since October 7.  To be certain, Bibi failed to act to safeguard Gaza as Jewish lands, and that was an important setback not to be lightly dismissed.  Yet, as I have noted often, if it were not for Bibi having stood down the calls from those who pushed for Israel surrendering to Biden’s policy of “Don’t” among other issues, the position of the IDF today would not be in controlling 60-70% of Gaza, rather the IDF would be positioned outside of Gaza, or with at most a tiny fraction of it, with Hamas still being fed weapons from Egypt thru Rafah without any Israeli interference.

Avi Abelow

President Donald Trump alongside Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth, Secretary of State Marco Rubio, Commerce Secretary Howard Lutnick and Interior Secretary Doug Burgum during a Cabinet meeting at the White House, Dec. 2, 2025. Photo: Daniel Torok / Official White House Photo via Flickr / United States Government Work

The strategic landscape has changed dramatically. Thankfully, the worries over the memorandum of understanding are now behind us.

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Peloni:  Will the latest break in the “ceasefire” lead Trump to grasp that he has little choice but to bring this war to a successful conclusion?  No matter what Trump decides, the Iranians will leave him little choice but to bring them to their knees, one way or another.

by Gerald A. Honigman

President Trump upon landing in China. Screenshot via Youtube

https://nypost.com/2026/07/11/world-news/iran-says-strait-of-hormuz-is-closed-after-firing-on-container-ship-warns-of-severe-retaliation/

As seen in the above link, the mullahs are at it again, playing the American leader like a fiddle. I say this as a NPA Independent who voted for him twice, not an anti-Trumper.

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Peloni:  Sen. Lindsey Olin Graham (1955–2026) was an important voice among supporters of Israel and America Jews.  He provided an important voice against Islamists and Iran, and he held a senior position within the American Right which often enough gave his voice an import resonance with Trump.

There is a rumor being spread about Graham having been poisoned, but there is little beyond speculation to support this suspicion.  This being stated, the timing of Graham’s death in relation to the threat raised against him by the Iranians adds to this speculation, something which was echoed by Graham in a eerie post which Erin Molan describes in the video below.  While any conclusion of foul play at this point is entirely speculative, it is noteworthy that the Iranians were noted to have hatched a number of assassination plots against Trump (at least two in fact) and key members of his former administration, and one Iranian assassin, who now faces life in prison, was actually convicted this past March for trying to hire an undercover FBI agent to assassinate Trump.  This, along with the recent spate of public threats against Trump, various heads of state in the Middle East and Europe, along with Sen. Graham and others, all the more directs our attention to the fact that this regime is too radical, too dangerous, and too destabilizing to remain in place.  Sen. Graham never lost sight of this fact, and worked to his final days to try to address it.

“I’ve never had this much fun in my life.”  – Lindsey Graham

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Peloni:  Trump remains fixated on improving Turkey’s position in the region by pressing Turkey’s proxy in Syria to do what it likely shouldn’t do, what Lebanon doesn’t want him to do, and what Israel can not afford for him to do – namely, invade Lebanon.

By Hugh Fitzgerald | July 11, 2026

Ahmed al-Sharaa with U.S. President Donald Trump at the White House, Donald Trump, Public domain

And both Israel and Lebanon are appalled. Trump sees Syrian leader Ahmed al-Sharaa as a “strong leader,” someone who can take on Hezbollah and deal better with it than Israel. That is not how either Beirut or Jerusalem sees things. More on Trump’s suggestion that Lebanon let Syria back in to crush Hezbollah can be found here: “Trump presses Syria to take on Hezbollah, raising alarm in both Lebanon and Israel, Associated Press, June 29, 2026:

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CENTCOM carries out additional round of strikes on Iranian coastal cities over the weekend

All Israel News Staff | Published: July 12, 2026

U.S. Navy warships and air assets continue to patrol regional waters enforcing the blockade against Iran, June 12, 2026. (Photo: US Centcom)

Shipping traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains an area of contention between the United States and Iran, as the Memorandum of Understanding and the ceasefire between the two countries appears to be collapsing.

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Peloni:  As Israel has moved towards providing good governance and fulfilling its sovereign responsibility to its own lands,  its enemies are being driven to distraction.  Their response is to emphasized fake data to substantiate false accusations of Settler Violence so as to prevent Israel from moving further with the policies discussed below.  The forgone conclusion that Israel will create a second Palestinian state from its own ancestral lands is the ultimate goal for which this newest blood libel has manufactured and promoted.

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Peloni:  Here we go…

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Peloni:  A horrifying but not terribly surprising metaphor for the West.

by Daniel Greenfield | July 10 ,2026

Consider this cautionary tale a capsule summary of the sad state of western civilization, of empty people who jump from cause to cause until it kills them.

Jamie Carney, a 43-year-old woman from a wealthy area in upstate New York, took up with a 28-year-old Muslim ‘refugee’ after meeting him at an anti-Israel rally. Her whole identity became built around that. Her Instagram profile reads “Free Palestine in  Fk.”

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Peloni:  These war refugees in Gaza should be sheltered elsewhere, not in Gaza.  The refusal to provide such an alternate safe space over the past 3 years to war refugees in a war zone only 25km at its widest margin demonstrates the continued commitment by the international community to further weaponize the population in Gaza against Israel.  The Gazans must be granted safe harbor, but not in Israel, not under the protection of the IDF.  There are only some two dozen Muslim nations.  Pick one, and leave them there.  Or choose from one of those nations in Europe which has demonstrated such an interest so far from their own shores.  The reality is that the psychopaths of Gaza were purposefully developed for a purpose which they are still intended to fulfill:  the slaughter of more Jews.  While this is the intent of the international community, it should be opposed by Israeli policies.  Open the doors and let the Gazans out!

By Samuel Ben-Ur | July 9, 2026

Israeli forces operating in Tel Sultan, Gaza, early in the war between Israel and Hamas. (IDF)

On July 8, the US-led Board of Peace announced that it would soon establish a “pilot zone” in southern Gaza. Planned for Tel Sultan, near Rafah, the goal of the zone would be to move unarmed civilians who have been vetted for Hamas affiliations to the Israeli-controlled side of the Gaza Strip, separated by the Yellow Line. In the first portion of July, there was an increase in Israeli strikes and reported ceasefire violations as Hamas and other groups attempt to reconstitute forces in the area under Hamas control.

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Peloni:  As I noted yesterday, the threat from Turkey being gifted advanced US hardware is its connections to America’s peer competitors, not just the presence of Russian advanced hardware in Turkey.  Furthermore, the transfer of the S-400 from one supposed US ally to another does not solve the problem, and if the S-400 is transferred to Qatar, the problem is even more troublesome given the US base located in Qatar.

Turkey’s decade-long standoff with Washington over the S-400 may finally be nearing an inflection point, though not in the tidy way Ankara once imagined, and not without a fresh dose of frustration from the NATO summit in Ankara. Turkey appears to be pushing ahead with plans to divest itself of the Russian-made S-400 missile defense system, hoping the measure will clear legal hurdles, allowing Ankara to purchase F-35 fighter jets from the United States.

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Peloni:  Must read article.

The Islamists are playing the longest civilisational war game in the world

Melanie Phillips | Jul 10, 2026

https://melaniephillips.substack.com/p/the-trillion-dollar-campaign-to-conquer

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Peloni:  Below is an important exchange between the Hudson Institute’s Zineb Riboua and Dr. David Wurmser about the basis on which the IRGC is fractured (full text below my commentary).

Peloni

Zineb,

I think this is the proximate cause of fissures, but I think it is a reflection of something much deeper. The Iranian regime is essentially a collection of mafia dons each possessing their own posses, and it always has been. These posses, which have ideological… https://t.co/4t2Tb9AMmo

— David Wurmser (@Wurmserscribit) July 11, 2026

Recall that the best way to understand—or influence—anyone is to grasp the fundamental motivations that drive their actions. Much of the current discussion surrounding the fractures within Iran centers on the supposed divide between “moderates” and “radicals” inside the IRGC. Riboua and Wurmser, however, explain that that this characterization misses the point entirely. Rather than representing an ideological struggle, the competing factions within the IRGC are better understood as rival power centers operating within an organization that functions much like a mafia.

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Cookie Schwaeber-Issan | All Israel News | July 10, 2026

President Trump Gaggles with Press on Air Force One En Route Joint Base Andrews, Jul. 8, 2026. Screengrab via Youtube.

What so many of us saw months and months ago, has finally become reality for Trump, who now admits that Iran’s leaders are “liars, cheats and sick people.”

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Peloni:  Yes, of course, the likely next ruler of the Islamic Kingdom of England suggests that English Jew Baiting has clearly not been substantial enough and he intends to do a better job of it.  Notably, recognition of a terrorist Palestinian state being led by terrorists clearly was too timid a response to the Islamist propaganda being hailed as reporting in England.  Diabolical insanity.

All Israel News Staff |Published: July 11, 2026

Andy Burnham, British member of parliament (MP) for Makerfield, alongside PM Keir Starmer. By Number 10 – Prime Minister Keir Starmer visits Holy Trinity Primary School, OGL 3, Wikipedia

Andy Burnham, a leading contender to succeed British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, called for a tougher British approach toward Israel in an interview with The Guardian, including the possibility of additional sanctions.

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Peloni:  See below an interview by FDD Senior Fellow Lt. Col. (Ret.) Jonathan Conricus as he interviews Hannah Puder, the producer of the film, “Operation Arnon,” the true story of how Noa Argamani , Almog Meir Jan, Andrey Kozlov and Shlomi Ziv were rescued and how the commanding officer in the rescue, Arnon Zmora died of wounds received during the mission.  See also Puder’s film, “Operation Arnon” at the bottom.

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The U.S. must pursue deep-sea mining so that the American economy—and our defense equipment and fighter jets—are no longer dependent on our biggest rival.

Janet Levy  Am Thinker  July 10, 2026

Deep sea mining schematic with independant platform. By G.Mannaerts, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikipedia

Our F-35 fighter jets are the most advanced and lethal multirole stealth aircraft in the world. However, their avionics, actuators, and radar systems depend on our biggest rival—China, the world’s largest producer of rare-earth elements, without which none of those systems, nor many others vital to the economy, could be built.

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Peloni:  As the Pentagon’s National Defense Strategy has come to focus upon burden sharing among its allies and partners, it becomes critical to properly vet those allies and partners as being reliably supportive of US interests.  The fact that Turkey violated its support of its alliances with Washington and the West is what drew Trump’s ire when Erdogan first took possesion of the Russian S-400.  Simply parting with the possession of this weapon system can not be the basis of restoring faith in Turkey as a reliable or dependable partner.  Its vocal abuses and threats to well established US partners demonstrates that Turkey is not worthy of any level of trust which might be placed in it divesting itself of the Russian war system.  So, why is Trump placing so much Trust in Turkey?  And why should Trump’s partners and allies do the same?

Sinan Ciddi | July 10, 2026

President Trump departed the NATO Summit in Ankara without announcing Turkey’s reinstatement in the F-35 program, a major disappointment to Turkish President Recep Tayyip Erdogan.

This omission is significant because it highlights the broader strategic issue at stake.

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