By Col. (res.), Shay Shabtai | BESA | January 26, 2025
ESA Center Perspectives Paper No. 2,326, January 26, 2025

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY: Israel, the US, and other international and regional actors are faced with a dilemma. They are unwilling to invest too many resources in countries/regions with poor governance, but need to prevent negative developments like famine and terrorism from arising. One possible approach to this problem is “Semi-Self Governance” (SSG), which allows local forces to take accountability and improve the lives of their civilian populations while allowing for external intervention when problems develop. This principle could align with President Trump’s strategic vision.
Israel, together with key countries around the world and in the Middle East and led by the United States, is debating the policy it should adopt toward countries or regions in its vicinity where there is no proper governance. The current challenges are the post-war Gaza Strip and the denial of the possibility of Hamas’s continued control; the “new” Syria, whose sovereignty over its territory and new regime’s characteristics are in question; and Lebanon, the central government of which is still weak in the face of the military and political dominance of the Hezbollah terrorist organization despite that group’s pummeling by Israel. Other countries or regions where proper governance does not exist are Yemen, Sudan, and Libya, as well as parts of Iraq and the Palestinian Authority in Judea and Samaria.
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