Lebanon Will Get Worse Before it Gets Better
Peloni: Highly recommended article. Wurmser explains that the Lebanese national pact has betrayed the Christian-Druze homeland which was formed more than 300 years ago, and their future, and that of the Levant in general, will likely get worse before it can get better. Read and share widely.
Battle of Ayn Dera in 1711 shows way to avoid domination by Syria, Turkey
David Wurmser | The Editors | Jan 13, 2025
There is a spurt of great optimism on both sides of the political spectrum in the United States, and even Israel, that the Lebanese government, now that it has installed Joseph Aoun as its president, will finally leverage Israel’s devastating victory over Hizballah to assert Lebanon’s sovereignty.
In this optimistic view, the Lebanese government will uphold the November ceasefire between Hizballah and Israel. It will do so by executing both U.N. Security Council Resolution 1701, a 2006 measure under which Hizballah was to be removed from south of the Litani River, and U.N. Security Council Resolution 1559, a 2005 measure under which all armed factions are to be disarmed and the monopoly of power be returned to the Lebanese government. Moreover, for the first time in five decades, powerful regional forces seem held at bay; the PLO is weakened and Iran and Hizballah are laid waste. Lebanon is back in Lebanese hands. And indeed, the optimists assert, the speech Aoun gave upon assuming office contained language that lends substance to this promise: “The era of Hizballah is over; We will disarm all of them.”
