By Ted Belman
A recent JPOST poll found,
It predicted that Likud would win one more mandate than Kadima, 30 to 29, instead of the 28 seats for Kadima and 27 for Likud in the current Knesset. Israel Beiteinu and Shas would remain at 15 and 11 seats, respectively.
In a dramatic shift on the Left, Labor would fall from 13 seats to only six and Meretz would double its current total of three mandates to match Labor.
Arab parties would win 10 seats, down one, United Torah Judaism would rise from five seats to seven, and the two religious-Zionist parties – the National Union and Habayit Hayehudi – would each win three.
Asked who they would prefer as prime minister, 40% of respondents said Prime Minister Binyamin Netanyahu, 30% opposition leader Tzipi Livni, and 30% had no preference or opinion. Among voters who have not decided which party to vote for, 33% said they preferred Livni and 31% Netanyahu, while 36% would not say.
Labor is falling apart, probably because they are in the present coalition which the left hates. Their votes are going to Meretz, a big surprise, and to Kadima.
The capitulation voters are concentrated on Kadima. Too bad the right is not as concentrated on Likud. But to argue that Likud should find a party to amalgamate with, does not necessay mean that the amalgamated party would get the same number of votes as their present combined total.