Peloni: Ever focusing on strategic outcomes, Martin Sherman reiterates his policy recommendation for a strategically stable outcome in Iran via dismembering of the Iranian state into its relative ethnic regions as first espoused HERE.
It is important to grasp that the protests across all aspects of Iranian society, even those which usually support the regime, did not materialize during the 12 Day War. While there were protests which emerged during that attack, it was far less broad of protest. Only after the recent financial collapse did we see the breadth of protest which truly threatened the regime in Tehran. This distinction lends itself to honestly question how much of the recent dissension is targeted towards the regime, and how much is actually the result of the change in Iran’s economy. The distinction between these motivations is quite glaring and relevant to Sherman’s argument regarding the interest of the protestors.
Video Loads Below
Highlights:
* Regime change is not sufficient and does not solve the problem in Iran.
* Iran should be divided into smaller states according to its ethnic regions.
* There is no basis to conclude that any emerging regime which replaces the Mullahs would be sympathetic to the West, and it could be just the opposite.
* Decisive action is required against Iran, sooner not later.
* The opportunity to permanently weakening Iran would serve to marginalize any threat which might arise from that country going forward, in the immediate or distant future.
* Supporting ethnic sentiments against a united Iran would be be a far better choice than supporting a central authority under a figure whose general support in Iran is questionable.
Iranian ethnic areas (Image by Mapper 01 – Own work, Wikipedia, CC BY-SA 4.0)
Dr. Martin Sherman spent seven years in operational capacities in the Israeli defense establishment. He’s the founder of the Israel Institute for Strategic Studies (IISS), a member of the Habithonistim-Israel Defense & Security Forum (IDSF) research team, and a participant in the Israel Victory Project.
Leave a Reply
You must be logged in to post a comment.