Is Trump going to distate Israel’s immediate future?
Photo by Khamenei.ir, CC BY 4.0, WikipediaWill Netanyahu be walking into a trap in Trump’s White House?
The post-war Trump Administration in the Middle East going forward seems to be based on monitoring Iran and restraining Israel.
A lot of this assumption derive from the gossip coming out of Gulf allies of Trump fretting about preferring to foster ties with their Islamic enemy Iran than with the Jewish state.
The notion of “let’s get rich together” will trump “Let’s get safe together” by removing the radical death cults.
It derives from the feeling of impotence displayed by the wealthy Arab oil states in restraining Iran and their multiple proxies.
Notice how silent they all were in the last month while Israel along was doing their dirty work for them.
This false Saudi-Trump assumption is that making those who control Iran rich will dissuade them from being so radical.
Wrong! They were rich, very rich, thanks to the largesse of Obama and Biden, plus their oil and their covert drug smuggling industry based in central America but they didn’t spend their money on golf courses and 5-star hotels. They spent it on a nuclear program and anti-Israel armed proxies.
I am sorry to tell Mr. Witkoff and the Saudi Crown Prince that nothing has changed in the mentality and the motivation of the Ayatollahs and the rest of this Iranian death cult.
Steve Witkoff and his boss need to get their heads out of their real estate mode.
It’s not about casinos. It’s about jihad.
America always believed that dollar bills would cure their Messianic pathology. It didn’t then. It won’t work now.
In 1986 during the Iran-Iraq war, America got involved with a hostage deal and believed that Iran was under so much pressure that they would be pragmatic. They thought that Iran’s revolutionary fervor would play itself out under the pressure of the Iran-Iraq war, so the US send them military spare parts hoping the moderates would head the decision-making process. It failed.
America was also myopic in once reaching out to non-existent moderate factions in the Kremlin.
They applied this delusional thought process to the Palestinians in which all Israel had to do was offer territory and other goodies to the moderate wing of the Palestinian movement and rainbows and peace would spread around the Middle East. We did, It didn’t, and we got blamed for it, led by a US President who brought down a damning untruthful United Nations Security Council resolution against us leaving the deceptive Palestinian death cult in place cashing in the dollars and using them to kill us.
Decades later, Israel woke up to the face that there are no Palestine peacemakers, not in Ramallah, and certainly not in Gaza.
It has always been a deliberately deceptive notion that Israelis were the enemies of peace. This falsehood holds even more sway today. It is what is infecting political though in the West and it invades their media.
We became hamsters running frantically on a wheel trapped in a cage of everlasting concessions with no way out until we are too exhausted and either died from our efforts or killed by those who never promised us peace in the first place.
But I digress.
Ahead of the Trump-Netanyahu meeting and whatever lies ahead, if Trump wants to impose an unnecessary ceasefire between Israel and Iran it has to be a Lebanon type ceasefire which entitles Israel to act every time our intelligence uncovers any military or nuclear movement by the Iranians, without giving advance warning.
The only problem with this is there is no counter government in Iran as there is in Lebanon, and the distance is far greater to Iran than next door Lebanon and it is not certain we would have the cooperation of countries along the flightpath of our planes as we had in early July.
In my humble opinion, Trump was wrong in stopping Israel from targeting remaining regime facilities. Given an addition week we could have decimated the points that stand in the way of an Iranian uprising against their oppressors.
In Iran you have Azerbaijanis and Turkmen. Azerbaijanis are a third of all Iranians and they have two neigboring homelands. To complicate matters, the Iranian Azerbaijanis calls themselves Turks and speak Turkish. There is irridentism in Iran which is a multi-ethnic society. Add to that the elitist Persians who see themselves as authentic in the land. Add to that mix the Baluchis, the Kurds within Iran.
Iran is ready for regime change and that does not mean American or Israeli boots on the ground, and another week of Israeli targeting would have opened the way for an uprising supported by neighboring countries to get of this evil regime.
As for Bibi agreeing with Trump to leave Hamas in place at the end of the Gaza ceasefire, Netanyahu cannot allow this to happen. He has been haunted since 7/10 by the left wing political and media rivals accusing him of leading Israel into wars in order to escape his court cases and falling popularity. Add to that the accusing finger that he presided over the 7/10 disaster.
But after the astounding success of our 12-day war against Iran, the leftist media and politicians have been silent. Some, including Lapid and Ganz, actually shook his hand and complimented him over his Iranian victory
However, now that Iran is behind us, they are now desperate for a moment of weakness to pounce on him again and that moment may be if the proposed ceasefire leaves Hamas in alive and in control of Gaza.
The other issue that is worrying is Trump’s love affair with the wealthy Arabs. Notice when Trump talks about potential new Abraham Accord partner. He will not include Saudi Arabia. This is because the Crown Prince cannot accept a public partnership with Israel without Israel conceding on accepting a Palestinian state, even though Saudi Arabia does nothing to persuade any Palestinian leader they must accept the reality of Israel with Jerusalem as its capital.
MBS cannot do that for one reason. He doesn’t want to be the next Sadat who courageously made peace with Israel and was killed by his own people.
If Bibi is forced to accept Hamas in any form in Gaza after a 60-day ceasefire, this could be Netanyahu’s House of Cards in which all his successes will collapse and be credited not to him, but to the Mossad and our pilots.
Netanyahu has to be at his wily best when he visits the White House.
Barry Shaw,
Israel Institute for Strategic Studies.
That’s what I’m afraid of. Bombing the Iran nuke sites was nothing more than Trump’s way of getting a quid pro quo from Bibi. Even when he does the right thing, it seems to be out of ulterior motives. Israel never learns that it cannot trust any president. I’m sure Israel had a plan to take out Iran’s nukes if necessary and should have done so rather than put itself in a position of having to “owe” President Trump and America.
The way to peace is through Israeli victory over hamas, hezbollah and Iran. But Trump won’t allow that because he wants to get the credit for having made a “peace deal” and in turn receive a Nobel Peace Prize. An Israeli victory would stand in the way of that. Trump won’t be the first president who chased a Nobel Peace Prize at Israel’s expense. Clinton’s Oslo Accords led to catastrophe for Israel, bringing about the second intifada and suicide bombings resulting in thousands of dead Jews in Israel. Clinton did blame arafat but alot good that did.
I’ve been skeptical about Trump’s Mideast policies in the past and have happily been proven wrong on more than one occasion. I hope that this Bibi visit is more subterfuge and that Israel won’t make a deal of 10 living hostages for hundreds of terrorists and a permanent end to the war in Gaza while hamas is still standing.
Just wait and see. It’s not going to happen. There’s a lot of misdirection going on. That’s what my gut tells me.
“AI Overview
+5
Donald Trump did not attend a magician school. He attended the New York Military Academy for high school and then Fordham University and the Wharton School at the University of Pennsylvania for college. He graduated from Wharton with a degree in economics.
The New York Military Academy is a private boarding school, where he was sent by his parents at age 13 due to his rebellious behavior. Some former classmates have recounted his time there, with disagreements over the specifics of his conduct and performance. There’s also mention of “chaos magic” in reference to his style of achieving his goals, but this is not connected to attending any magic school.
While the search results mention a YouTube video titled “The Magic School Bus Goes Inside Trump”, this is a satirical piece and not an indication that he attended a school of magic. ”
“AI Overview
+2
No, Benjamin Netanyahu did not attend magician school.
Instead, his extensive education includes degrees from the Massachusetts Institute of Technology (MIT) where he earned a Bachelor’s of Science in Architecture and a Master’s of Science in Business Management. He also studied political science at both MIT and Harvard University.
He is often referred to by nicknames like “magician” due to his adept political maneuvering and long tenure in leadership, but this is a metaphorical term and not a reflection of his formal education. ”
“AI Overview
+1
Based on the provided information, there is no indication that Caroline Glick attended a “magician school”.
Her educational background includes:
A Bachelor of Arts in Political Science from Columbia College, Columbia University.
A Master of Public Policy from Harvard University’s Kennedy School of Government. “
This is a decisive moment to strengthen Israel’s God given sovereignty in Judea, Samaria and Gaza , not place it back on the table with more anti-Israel war and destruction.
Bibi should merely agree to everything Trump demands… then do what’s good for Israel when he gets back…
Keelie
Absolutely not. Israel leadership must speak the truth to Trump and to the American people
Arab islam created Hamas
Hamas did October 7
That means no going back
Real change is objective necessity
Felix, on second thoughts, perhaps you’re right. The Israelis know far better than anyone what’s required in the Middle-East… and what’s not required.