T. Belman. my own analysis goes as follows:
1. Trump delivered on his promises and thus all people who voted for him in 2016 will do so again.
2. Many people in the center who didn’t vote for him in 2016 have been won over by his performance. He is now a known quantity as president.
3. Chief among them are the blacks who are coming over in droves. Blacks are expected to vote for Trump 4 times more so than in 2016.
4. Big shift among Hispanics also.
5. Trump enjoys an enormous enthusiasm gap.
6. Biden is sleepy and creepy and crooked.
7. Trump has a lock on the law and order crowd.
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Ted, Your analysis I hope comes true but we will know in another week approximately. If the election is close we maybe waiting days for Pennsylvania results for example and this is a crucial state.
It Trump gets killed then it will not matter. If he ekes out an electoral college win it will probably be very important.
@ Sebastien Zorn:
Go to Real Clear Politics they have both house and senate maps here is one link
https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2020/senate/2020_elections_senate_map.html
Here is a very good, up-to-date synopsis of the Biden Gang’s nefarious activities:
https://www.breitbart.com/clips/2020/10/28/the-biden-five-the-definitive-breakdown-of-one-of-americas-most-corrupt-families/
These are all damning, very credible allegations. The only thing covering Joe Biden’s behind is the Masters of the Universe (Bezos, et al), who control most America’s perception of reality.
But, I’m having difficulty finding projections on the House and Senate other than a state here and a state there. Any theories?