Why Might China Have Pressed Iran To Compromise With The US?
Peloni: The Chinese blink in pushing its Iranian pawn towards negotiating was an incredible development. It demonstrates China’s vulnerability which was being manipulated by Trump’s threat to trigger sending the entire Middle East energy sector back to the stone age. Given China’s role in securing Iran’s support in the ceasefire, it will be interesting to see how far the Iranians will go to prevent reigniting the war. As of now, the ceasefire is said to be shaky, but will Iran ignore China and withdraw from the ceasefire? It doesn’t seem likely. If this conclusion proves correct, Iran would have abandoned its Hezbollah proxy to comply which China’s push to strike a deal with the US, as the main focus of the IAF is no longer set largely on Iran. These are important developments, while we are still waiting for some inkling into what the Iran-US deal might actually be, given Trump’s announcement that the official form of the Iranian 10 Point Plan is not what is currently being discussed by the media.
Andrew Korybko | Apr 08, 2026
Iranian strike in Omani oil infrastructure prior to ceasefire. Screengrab via Youtube
The sequence that Trump threatened if no deal was reached before the expiry of his deadline would have cut China off from half of the oil that it imported by sea last year and likely set Afro-Eurasia aflame in resource wars for the indefinite future that would have derailed China’s superpower rise.
Screengrab via X
