Professor Lichtman’s Crystal Ball
By Joe Fried, August 2, 2024
Perhaps you have heard of Professor Allan Lichtman and his prediction for the 2024 presidential election. He says that Kamala will win.
Lichtman uses a prediction system based on 13 historical “keys” that measure the strength of the incumbent party in a presidential election. Some of his keys, such as the charisma level of the challenger, are highly subjective. A list of keys is found here in a post by Andrea Widburg.













