Peloni:  This assessment mimics what I have stated before in large part.  Trump is not interested in regime change in Iran.  The closest he has indicated to countering this claim was when he stated it is time for a new leader in Iran, which calls to mind what he achieved in Venezeula.  I did believe that Trump would ultimately strike Iran, but his recent comments suggest that this may now be in doubt.  Time will tell if Trump will strike the regime at all, but I am more convinced than ever that it will be a limited strike, not in support of the Iranian people.

An Invasion is Unlikely

The Trump administration has fundamentally changed direction on Iran. US NATO Ambassador Matt Whitaker says the US will not try and force regime change in Iran, suggesting that “we don’t want another Libya scenario.”

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by Majid Rafizadeh  •  Gatestone Institute  •   January 31, 2026

Iran’s mullahs need to be offered an off-ramp to take the money and run, as Venezuelan dictator Nicolas Maduro was. A transitional government with the Crown Prince Reza Pahlavi, with the help of the US, could hardly be worse than the transitional government in Venezuela headed by Delcy Rodriguez. Pictured:  Ayatollah Seyyed Ali Khamenei Gives the Order of conquest to Brigadier General Ali Fadavi and four other commanders of the Islamic Revolutionary Guard who arrest American soldiers who attacked the Iranian borders in the Persian Gulf. By Khamenei.ir, CC BY 4.0, Wikipedia

• Turkey, Iraq, Lebanon, China, and other states provide Iran with safe geography, money, energy markets, financial loopholes, proxy shelters, and diplomatic cover.

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By Hugh Fitzgerald | Feb 1, 2025

A Hezbollah terrorist not very long ago revealed the extent of demoralization in the group, in an interview he gave to the Israeli broadcaster N12. More on his cri de coeur can be found here: “Majority of Hezbollah terrorists ‘work with Israel,’ Lebanese operative claims in N12 interview,” by Fraidy Moser, Jerusalem Post, December 25, 2025:

Israel has infiltrated Hezbollah so deeply to the extent that 70% of its terrorists are “working with Israel,” an anonymous terrorist in the Lebanese terrorist organization’s military wing claimed in an interview with N12 published on Thursday.

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Peloni:  Thousands of lives changed following Trump’s first decision to save the Mullah regime in Tehran.  I hope he doesn’t make the same mistake again.  Iran is not interested in negotiations, they are not able to be reformed, and they are directly responsible for thousands of American dead, from Iraq, Beirut, terror attacks across the decades, and their role in supporting the drug trade entering the US.  The hemorrhaging of American victims of this regime, along with the victims of Israelis, Europeans and Iranians as well, can end but it will take the resolve of ending the regime in Tehran, rather than sending them a lifeline by which they can continue their operations of slaughter around the globe.

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Mudar Zahran

* Recent events have stripped away pretense and exposed long-standing realities.

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Peloni:  A short message for President Trump:  Your peace plan is based on previously failed fantasies, using previously used support of terrorists as peace makers, while expecting something different than the previously resulting wars and slaughters…

Yigal Carmon | MEMRI | Jan 30, 2026

An image that Jared Kushner presented at the Board of Peace signing ceremony in Davos on January 22. Screengrab via Youtube.

Without buying into this dichotomy, which is simplistic and maybe even immoral when applied to post-War Gaza, it is clear that, the answer is as follows: In the Arab world in general, ideology – both religious and nationalistic – is stronger than any Riviera, while in the West, the ideal of the good life, though not necessarily a Riviera, prevails.

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Peloni:  More Israeli concessions amid more broken promises from their ‘peace partners’.  The Peace Processors are back in business making the same mistakes, similar demands, with no peace in sight.  In short, we are heading back to October 6 once again.  Forgive my sarcasm, but what was the point of the war?

Itay Blumental / KAN 11 and Elior Levy / KAN 11 | All Israel News |  Published: February 1, 2026

Rafah Border Crossing. By Ashraf Amra – United Nations Relief and Works Agency for Palestine Refugees in the Near East, CC BY-SA 3.0 igo, Wikipedia

The Rafah Crossing is set today, Sunday, allowing Gaza residents to enter and exit via the border with Egypt for the first time since the start of the war, as reported Saturday evening on Kan News.

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Peloni:  The Kurds have been completely abandoned by the US.  Their identity, their culture, and their lives are intended to be ‘trusted’ to the terror govt in Syria.  While yet a third ceasefire over recent days has now been arranged, they have been given no choice.  As Prof. Gil-White asserts, they have no choice but to fight because no one is coming to help them.  They are on their own.

An MOR podcast

Francisco Gil-White | MOR | Jan 31, 2026

• DESCRIPTION: The photo on the right shows young women fighters of the Yekîneyên Parastina Jin (YPJ) or Women’s Protection Units of the Syrian Democratic forces spearheaded by the Kurds who launched the democratic—and libertarian!—Rojava Revolution in northeastern Syria. The photo on the left, from just a few days ago (image credit: MEMRI), shows an ISIS jihadi monster—a soldier of the new ‘government’ in Damascus—celebrating that he killed one of these girls, bringing back her braid as a trophy. May the Lord rest her soul. Donald Trump has abandoned the Rojava Kurds, like we predicted he would. And Netanyahu obediently abandoned Syria when Trump gave the order. Nobody is coming to help the Rojava Kurds. Any agreement reached with Damascus, and any promises they take seriously from the US government, will spell their destruction. THE ROJAVA KURDS MUST FIGHT. There is no alternative.

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Peloni:  Trump’s message is pretty clear and can be seen HERE.  As Erin Molin states, ‘FINALLY’.  Recall that the carnival of antisemites and Iranian pundits among the MAGA talking heads are not in any way supportive of the philosemitic agenda which represents the majority of Trump’s MAGA base, but are instead far more closely aligned with Obama, who openly attacked Israel while supporting Iran as do Carlson and his allies on the Woke Right.  Their objective is not to support Trump, the Republicans, or MAGA, but to split the conservative base so as to allow the Dems a clear shot at victory in the midterms.  This is why Trump has needed to responded to their increasingly unmeasured antisemitic Pro Jihadi rants.  His mild rebuke of STFU was very long overdue, yet still rather mild and does not address the antisemitic nature of their commentaries at all.

Peloni:  This defensive Saudi arms deal comes alongside $6.7 billion Israeli deal for Apache helicpoters and ground vehicles.  Also, Khaled Bin Salman, Saudi Defense Minister, changes Saudi position on attacking Iran by 180 degrees.  Additionally, Saudis announce that the alliance with Pakistan will remain as a bilateral agreement without Turkish involvement.

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Peloni:  Amid the false narrative sold as “Settler Violence” for anti-Israel political purposes, it is important to note that violence within Israeli Arab communities in Israel continues to be characterized almost exclusively by intra-community crime, rather than inter-ethnic conflict with Jewish Israelis, something which has never waivered.   Also, despite making up about 20% of Israel’s population, Arab citizens account for more than 70% of all homicide victims in Israel with the number of 2025 Arab homicides being the highest ever.  The majority of these killings are related to crime involving illegal firearms and are generally related to gang violence, organized crime, and clan disputes.  

Following a deadly year for Arab society, President Herzog visits Sakhnin, calling for unity, determination, and decisive action to fight crime and ensure a safe future for all.

By SHOSHANA BAKER | JPOST | JANUARY 31, 2026

Click Link Below to Read Article

https://www.jpost.com/israel-news/crime-in-israel/article-885119

Peloni:  Recent report indicates that Iran now has underground missile base inside Iraq.  If this report is accurately reported, it would expand the focus of dealing with missile threats to include this wider base of Iranian capabilities.

Akram al-Kaabi, a leader of paramilitary forces in Iraq, verbally attacked Trump and his Iraq envoy, saying that repeated violations of sovereignty would not be tolerated.

By SETH J. FRANTZMAN | JANUARY 29, 2026

Iranian-backed militias in Iraq are becoming increasingly vocal about supporting Iran in the case of a war between the US and Iran.

The latest militia to say it backs Iran is the Harakat Hezbollah al-Nujaba group. Often called Nujaba, it is one of the militias that is closest to Iran in Iraq. It is also part of the Popular Mobilization Forces, a paramilitary in Iraq, and it is designated a terrorist group by the US.

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Peloni:  Channel 12 reports Israel denying any role in explosions.

BREAKING: Explosions reported across Iran — at least 7 cities

Tehran, Bandar Abbas, Tabriz, Parand, Qeshm, Nowshahr, Ardabil

North, south, east, west. All within hours.

Neither Israel nor the US have commented.

This is not gas leaks. This is coordinated. pic.twitter.com/kVoHzhxdDn

— Conflict Alarm (@ConflictAlarm) January 31, 2026

Mudar Zahran

Photo by European Parliament from EU – Formal sitting Address by His Majesty King Abdullah II, King of the Hashemite Kingdom of Jordan, CC BY 2.0, Wikipedia

Jordan’s king is pretty much its last. Even the Israeli military establishment has openly voiced that they believe this king is the last King of Jordan. It’s coming sooner or later, there’s no escaping that.

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Peloni:  Christine provides an important analysis of the disturbing trend coming from Saudi Arabia and Turkey since October 7, citing specific reports demonstrating this trend.  Normalization with the Saudis provides an import oportunity for the Saudis to shift their economy towards diversifying away from its dependence on energy production alone.  This was believed to be the path on which the future would be travel.  In the recent months, and in particular in recent weeks, this belief has been seriously called into question.  Some, such as Khaled Hassan, have come to completely distrust the motivations of the Saudis given their return to projecting antisemitic commentary as the official language of the regime.  Is there any real basis for ignoring the Kingdom’s retrograding policy aligning with our enemies?  Or is the romance with MBS at an end?

By Christine Douglass-Williams | Jan 30, 2026

By Hudson Institute – Flickr, CC BY 2.0, Wikipedia

The world seems largely to think that Israel is so eager for normalization with Muslim countries that ordinary conditions don’t apply. Saudi Arabia has already made it clear repeatedly that it considers no normalization possible without Israel’s return to its pre-1967 borders (aka “the Auschwitz borders”), and the Saudis also expect that East Jerusalem would be established as the capital of a Palestinian state. For the Israelis to accept such conditions would be utter madness.

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Peloni:  Is it believable that Trump will try to push thru a decapitation strike, where the regime falls, while not having confidence in what comes next, not even enough confidence to meet with Pahlavi?  I have noted that since Trump delayed the strike, that he would eventually carry out the intended strike on Iran, but I have also noted that it is unlikely that the strike will be intended to see regime change in Iran.  I hope that this view is inaccurate.  Certainly, the Iranian people, the people of the region, and the people of America, have all suffered enough slaughters at the hands of the Iranians to motivate the US to see a new regime replace the repressive stranglehold on the Iranians which has tentacles of slaughter all across the globe and is focused on the conquest of the US and the West.  Unfortunately, I have not seen anything which leads me to believe that collapsing regime in Tehran will be the true objective of any forthcoming strike.  This is what needs to be done, but I seriously doubt this will be the objective in any strike coming in the next hours, days or weeks.  Time will tell.

Ambassador Huckabee: Trump is ‘deeply affected’ by evidence of thousands of Iranians being murdered by regime in Tehran

Joel C. Rosenberg | All Israel News | Published: January 30, 2026

Does President Donald J. Trump’s point man in Israel believe the Iranian regime is ready to make major concessions rather than go to war?

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Peloni:  Our history is only precious to us, but more than this, our history stands as a threat to our enemies.  Hence, taking control of the archaeological record of our past is an essential aspect of enacting sovereignty.  In pursuit of this goal, the Israeli govt has FINALLY taken steps to nationalize a mere 1.5 square kilometer of land containing the ancient remains of the ancient capital of the Northern Kingdom of Ancient Israel.  It is heartbreaking to realize that Arab squatters have been empowered to seize this land and that the PA has been allowed to purposefully destroy the record of our ancient presence on our ancestral lands.  Hence, contrary to the image presented by the Al Jazeera propagandists, it is only disheartening to recognize that this act of cultural preservation of our history was ignored for decades as the PA and Arab squatters destroyed the documentation of our ancient past held in preservation in the land of our forefathers.  Well done!  Shomrom, the seat of power of our ancient Northern Kingdom, has been required for the benefit of history and our people.

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